Caroline Soler

on the cutting room floor of our Virginia precincts analysis: a *map* of the referendum results & 2024 prez results along proposed district lines feat the data work of the amazing @jadelson. we contextualize these results in the article 🎁 link: nyti.ms/4sLUktJ

our VA precinct analysis is up. featuring @carolinelsoler & Luke Vrotsos, our new elections analyst! nyti.ms/4sLUktJ

I'm going to break my self-imposed social media ban to note something that I might write if I wasn't leaving on a trip tonight: If you want to solve gerrymandering, it is a solvable problem.

icymi: i’m collecting all electoral + presidential approval polls for the NYT poll trackers send poll results/memos my way: caroline.soler@nytimes.com

there's a new comprehensive report out from @YouGovAmerica using CES data to plot trends in partisanship over the past two decades. i've got a piece up today in @goodauth summarizing some key findings. links to both in the reply!

in conjunction with this report, we are also today releasing the data for the 2025 CES common content. includes interviews with 17,000 American adults conducted in late 2025. dig in! doi.org/10.7910/DVN/DF…

THE Siena University? Home of the NYT/Siena poll? (I feel like this will land with a niche audience.)

we've put out the call for teams for the 2026 cooperative election study! be the unsung hero who organizes your colleagues for a module tischcollege.tufts.edu/research-facul…

We are witnessing a murder at The Washington Post. This massacre will be the enduring legacy of Jeff Bezos and Will Lewis and the leadership who stood by. But please read my love letter to the paper that felt like home, and will always be my “we.” ❤️‍🩹theatlantic.com/politics/2026/…

Access to The New York Times online now available for free across the New York Public Library system nypl.org/press/new-york…

This is a must-read for anyone trying to say anything about U.S. public opinion on ICE and the recent killings in Minneapolis. nytimes.com/2026/01/23/pol…

Breaking News: Less than a third of voters think the U.S. is better off than it was when President Trump returned to the White House, a New York Times/Siena poll found. nyti.ms/4pQiYIc

2025 was an election “off-year”, but there were many consequential races. For those of us working elections it was hardly a year off! Some of the key takeaways, brought to you by @carolinelsoler, @alexlemonides & me. 🎁 a link, for the holidays: nyti.ms/4s5533p

really good deep dive on immigration attitudes from @TuftsUniversity and CES alum @carolinelsoler (and @RuthIgielnik & @christinezhang) nytimes.com/2025/11/19/pol…

i'm just the messenger here nyti.ms/49ldtg7

Zohran Mamdani has nearly twice the support in the New York City mayoral race as his closest rival, a New York Times/Siena poll found. nyti.ms/4pb3u2B

Many Trump supporters now think U.S. elections are fair. "The fact that trust in U.S. elections can swing so dramatically – based purely on who wins – exposes how fragile Americans’ faith in democratic institutions has become." Read our latest: goodauthority.org/news/many-trum…

the outcome of the 2024 election increased confidence in U.S. elections among Trump voters, but they still lagged behind Harris voters...newest @goodauth post with @carolinelsoler goodauthority.org/news/many-trum…

Did nonvoters prefer Republicans or Democrats in the last election? We have the data. See it here: goodauthority.org/news/trump-als…

in a new @goodauth post with @carolinelsoler using vote validated CES we show that nonvoters preferred Trump over Harris for president but Dems over Reps in down ballot races goodauthority.org/news/trump-als…