CBABES

@urmudder @VeePeggy @RonCab13 @BraddrofliT And 60 years of population growth lol

@VeePeggy @RonCab13 @BraddrofliT JFK almost lost to Nixon. He didn’t win by a landslide. There was huge anti Catholic sentiment in the US. Why would you even use that as an example? Do go on, though. 🙄

Let’s stop pretending this makes sense: if Democrats really had the power to rig the 2020 election, why the hell wouldn’t they use it again in 2024 to keep Trump out? The conspiracy falls apart the second you apply basic logic. Looking forward to MAGA comments.

@BraedenSorbo @RealBenLuigi Interesting the security guards jacket is ‘Securit’ so it’s either AI or not in America. Click bait garbage.

@RealBenLuigi Oh wonderful

This is a mall in Virginia. Every day I am more radicalized, I’m a foreigner in my own country.

@SteveMcMan98991 @tcddoyle @jim_benemann Hegseth has been ending every presser with some blame to the Biden administration

@tcddoyle @jim_benemann Other than the slog part, they are well into that phase!

I think it’s pretty clear at this point that Biden and his team thoroughly miscalculated how this war would turn out.

@AlienSupara @GeraldineHocki3 @gedeepeg @Mlu__N2 This must have been part of the oversupply from Hammacher Schlemmer liquidation sale

@GeraldineHocki3 @gedeepeg @Mlu__N2 You can find cheaper ones in online marketplaces or second hand sellers. A bunch of these end up on sites for unwanted stock.

can someone please tell me what is the thing where she put her phone inside? i have never seen something like that before.

@markvalorian The data is better here now and Insurance rates have dropped a precipitously on these types of parametric risks as more markets have started to offer and FanDuel/DK have used own data to understand risks more too

As it turns out, the premium estimate may be wrong here...Yahoo did a similar promotion previously and they were charged $11 million for the insurance contract, aka 169x EV, assuming the 1/120B individual odds of success--well in excess of the 3-5x EV values I was seeing before for $1million hole-in-one kinds of competitions. This implies either there was something else negotiated into their insurance deal that bloated its cost or the multiples charged on EV scale dramatically higher with higher prize payouts... Makes me wonder about this whole market now...if the premium you can charge on risk is dramatically higher with higher prize values, certainly insurance companies would be clamoring over themselves to insure these kinds of promotions? And if so, why would it not organically push the market rate down? I've been doing some research and can't really get anything definitive...AI is hitting the slop wall too...so if anyone knows how this works, I would be interested to hear.

Mind boggling stat from running the numbers on this: The $1M secondary prize for the best bracket is probably costing Kalshi about 2-3 times *more* than their cost to offer a BILLION for the grand prize. This is assuming they pay out the million themselves and are charged a premium of 4-5x the present EV of the grand prize by their insurer.

@grimcity @noturtlesoup17 Haha it’s a legal term for stuff an idiot says while in police custody after being read their rights and they are speaking without an attorney. But it is a solid phrase

@noturtlesoup17 "spontaneous utterances" i hope to be able to use that in a sentence one day

It’s a BEAUTIFUL DAY here at the DC superior court, where I am waiting for Bryan Betancur to be arraigned for one of his many crimes.

@LainNJD @joesignorellonj @RepNellie I’ve spent way too much time trying to figure out what prompt her team used in chatgpt to come up with this abomination of a breakdown haha

@joesignorellonj @RepNellie its outrageous

Counterpoint:

@CFL68 @RealBababanaras He didn’t post it with the 9/11 footage. This is added to create hate and division. The post was originally in response to Trump admin pretending the early 2025 plane crashes were fine and he deleted it after being condemned.

@RealBababanaras This is probably a fake provocation. Seriously. What could possibly be his motivation to post this? But there is surely motivation to defame him. See?

Mehdi Hasan has deleted this post because it exposes him. This reflects the thinking that no matter what profession they are in, their main work is to spread Jihad. Can we make him famous by sharing his thoughts so that the world can be saved from another terrorist attack ?

@BobScheurle @jmaxmann @johnsb01 Absolutely not but we have to start trying to get out of a hole before it’s not even remotely possible to fix by the time our kids are grown up.

@jmaxmann @johnsb01 So you want to penalize regular citizens for the mismanagement of previous governors. Is that fair?

This is from ⁦@johnsb01⁩ story on NJ.com today. The baby boomers raided the pension fund to balance budgets for years, and we are paying $6 billion per year in that subsidy. Now— that generation wants us to subsidize them further through StayNJ. Lunacy.

@MattFriedmanNJ This is basically the red vs blue voting map with a different cut of the data

And there are just way more red counties, which makes this pretty much meaningless. There's fewer blue counties, which tend to have way more people than the more numerous red ones.

@oas34889 @aXL23 @HanShawnity You missed the fine print on that 90%. It was 90% of ‘MAGA Republicans’.

I think the argument is ended with the polls depicting 90% of Republicans supporting President Trump in the Iran war/conflict a week in (taking into consideration more crossover registered Democrats to Republicans than ever historically). So again this depicts it’s the 10% whether extreme left or right who create 99% of the focus/attention to their claims agenda. Americans who voted President Trump aren’t deaf and blind nor need someone to narrate what he said since day one - “No forever wars” does not equal no wars. No President in history has had no wars, nor would anyone be stupid enough to make that claim. These factions were never the majority views of anything ever, they just manipulate media, platforms, optics to present as such. In truth, it seems both the extreme left who pretends to represent their majority, and the extreme right who pretend they represent their majority, have more in common than 90% of real Americans. The majority of Americans are centrist and either L/R extreme ideology is rejected, always was.

Speak for yourself, Joey boy. I don't feel betrayed. Millions of others don't feel betrayed. MAGA overwhelmingly supports the military operation. The grifting podcast bros feel betrayed? Fine by me.

@StefMylesTennis @mollyfleck @royermattw The story itself is silly in a really sad way - but even being so afraid to tell Trump your actual shoe size to seem more manly? And walk around like you’re in 5th grade pre growth spurt is seriously demented

@mollyfleck @royermattw That would require functioning common sense.

Oh. My. God. He makes ALL of the men in his cabinet wear these Florsheim Oxfords? And none of them fit?

@donavonindocawl @beer_wisconsin Interesting. I wonder what happens to that number if non work cars(read contractors with 100k trucks) that are purchased by consumers are removed

@cbabykid @beer_wisconsin 90th percentile according to Kelley Blue Book. kbb.com/car-news/avera…

If you've got a $955 annual registration fee for a car you bought in 2023 in MN, that means you dropped a cool $75,000 on this ride. Presuming you put a down payment of $15K on this and you have excellent credit, that means your car payment is $1,084 a month. Anyway, evergreen.

@donavonindocawl @beer_wisconsin It’s gotta be what? 96th percentile? Possibly higher?

@beer_wisconsin $75,000 is not a “decent” car, it is a luxury car.

@MangoAggro @barkmeta You must not work in or around any non tech companies haha I’d say at 99% of companies you’re not even allowed to legally use Claude for work product

@cbabykid @barkmeta I think the current impact is already massive

Nobody wants to talk about what this headline ACTUALLY means… “Thousands of CEOs say AI had no impact.” They’re not saying it because it’s true. They’re saying it so you don’t quit before they’re done with you. Hiring is frozen at every major company. College graduate unemployment just hit a record. AI budgets doubled this year. Progressive companies like Block and Salesforce have already begun the switch to AI. They need employees calm. They need employees productive. They need employees to keep showing up and training their AI systems until it’s ready to replace them. The unemployment armageddon is just around the corner, and no one is paying attention… Things are about to get VERY interesting.

@MangoAggro @barkmeta This is not what they are saying. They are saying it has had *no impact now* which is relatively true. This is a past tense discussion not a future state. There are so many legacy pieces in place for all types of jobs and confidential data etc that require massive contracts etc.

CEOs swearing AI changes nothing never learn from history. Same line they used for every efficiency play since the nineties and jobs always disappeared anyway. Your daily output just became the cheapest training run any vendor ever got. Build it yourself or watch it replace you from the inside.

@EngagementBater @jbillinson I’m a 13 and 6’. It doesn’t always transfer that way :-(

@jbillinson Vance wears a size 13? How thick is that man’s cock?

JD Vance anonymizing the guy in the Oval who wears a size 7 is an incredible tidbit in this story

@Truth_Bureau @MikelaWacho @CrazyVibes_1 Especially from Uber Eats. Not even a dedicated grocery store delivery service.

@MikelaWacho @CrazyVibes_1 Order a shit ton of milk is logical? Bro just go to the store your damn self and get it stop making people do the heavy lifting on this shit

@KossakTier @smilo1234 @81716ja37821615 @MarkDiStef It was somehow taken as a group of overpaid HR staff conniving to layoff hardworking men in the mines while they created a ‘hostile’ work environment where you can be fired for showing and form of masculinity

@smilo1234 @81716ja37821615 @MarkDiStef lmao it WAS social media content for the company, gen z boss and a mini is the owner and the people in the video are all the employees, they weren't goofing off while unseen male workers slaved away like many seem to think

Im going to have track these girls down aren’t I and see how their business is tracking

@MarioDaBean2 @stealyoredbull Always a banger when used right lol

One thing no one ever mentions is how during the 2008 election the Obama camp basically discovered that John McCain’s ‘torture story’ was completely made up and that his ‘war hero’ story was a lie. But instead of attack him for it they just let it go and let him keep is narrative