CFL68

@EYakoby Israel started a war to destroy Iran regime. The world saw what IDF did to Gaza. Command control broken in Iran a they are fighting back to hurt enemies and survive. I’m not sure what you are whining about. Yeah. It sucks. Stop the war.

BREAKING: 175 Israelis wounded in Iranian missile strikes on southern Israel. All civilians. Zero military assets were hit. Iran is committing nonstop war crimes.

@mariaICdata @Saul_Sadka @WStrohmacher These are friction points based on perceived (not incorrectly) US imperialism and Israeli treatment of Palestinians. There is no evidence of attacks trying to destroy America. American evangelicals have their own crazy return of Jesus Armageddon bullshit.

@CFL68 @Saul_Sadka @WStrohmacher In the past 20 yrs they’ve demonstrated it is not euphemism but a policy rooted in physical acts against Americans, allies and global shipping through the Houthis, Hamas and Hezbollah.

The IRGC can definitely hit the UK with a missile that can hit Diego Garcia, the distance is the same, and if it hadn’t been for the efforts of the United States and Israel, all of Europe would have been under a permanent jihadi nuclear cloud, since just as they were lying about the missile range, they were lying about building the nukes to put on the end of those missiles: nukes to destroy London, Paris, and Madrid, and bring about the Armageddon they are religiously bound to crave. No need to thank Israel and the United States for literally saving the world, but history will know what they did, and how the childish leaders of Europe stood on the sidelines and whined as the adults saved them from their own stupidity.

@AvivaKlompas @JonPegasus Tbh, we have all seen IDF use everything from phosphorus to massive bombs on Gaza, and everything in between. And we all see what is left of Gaza.

Iran is firing missiles that break apart mid-air and scatter smaller explosives across wide areas. These are indiscriminate weapons aimed at civilian zones. If Israel were doing this, the screaches of outrage would be deafening. But it doesn’t even make the news outside Israel.

@FischerKing64 Crook blames the cops not his own decisions. This tracks.

People are still surprised that Trump shows no grace for people who tried to destroy his life. Try to imagine reading in the newspaper every day that you are a Russian asset, a traitor, when you know you’re not. Then you’re investigated by a guy who is trying to frame you.

@AmbJohnBolton lol look at the map you blubbering fool. Look at Kharg island. How will US capture and hold it? The US navy is afraid of SOH, let alone the 500 miles of Iran’s coastline they will have to pass before even getting to Kharg island. 🤦🏻‍♂️🤦🏻‍♂️🤦🏻‍♂️

The U.S. should block Iranian oil shipments and take Kharg Island. It's not a long-term commitment, but it would cut Iran off from the rest of the world as the regime falls. Protecting traffic in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz should have been a priority from day one. youtube.com/watch?v=fJr-cW…

@TimHawks1983 @DrewPavlou But I do hope that Trump is happy with his tactical wins so he can declare victory and go home. Hopefully Iran lets him. Otherwise we are all fucked in ways we have not been fucked in generations.

@TimHawks1983 @DrewPavlou And sorry, but ‘neutering’ was not the objective. Trump was clear. Regime change. Unconditional. This is the only way to stop their programs and control nukes materials.

I find it very difficult to assess the true state of the war against the Iranian regime because the entire intellectual opinion class suffers from Trump Derangement Syndrome and wishcast for a US defeat

@Aelthemplaer Troops? How many? Where? This does not add up. While it could lead to defeat, it has no chance of victory. Bad bad move.

Looks like we're landing troops on Monday. If this goes badly, it will be our Teutoburg forest. If it goes well, it will be our Punic war victory. History well decide, it seems, if we are hitting our limit or about to overcome.

@rami_hashimi @solivitaguy Yeah a simple 2x2 risk analysis reveals that Trump’s half baked war to destroy the mullahs will likely end in catastrophe for the world, and make the US a pariah.

WHAT JUST HAPPENED BETWEEN IRAN AND TRUMP IN THE LAST 24 HOURS CHANGES EVERYTHING. BOOKMARK THIS NOW. Most people are still sleeping on what just happened. In the last 24 hours, we watched the most dangerous escalation sequence of this entire war play out in three moves. Three moves. Each one more dangerous than the last. Let me walk you through it. MOVE 1: Iran dropped official demands. Iran came to the table — not to negotiate. To set conditions. They want: → Ironclad guarantees this war never happens again → Every U.S. military base in the Middle East shut down — EVERY ONE → Full compensation from the U.S. and Israel for all damage done → A complete end on their terms Read that again. This wasn't a peace offer. This was Iran telling the world what victory looks like to them. They know what they want and they put it in writing. MOVE 2: Trump tried to strong-arm them. Instead of responding to Iran's terms, Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum. Open the Strait of Hormuz fully — or the U.S. obliterates Iranian power plants. "Starting with the biggest one first." That's the quote. Word for word. Three weeks of "winding down" language. Three weeks of both sides hinting at de-escalation. All of it evaporated in a single statement. Here's what nobody is telling you about that ultimatum: Trump didn't just threaten Iran's military. He threatened civilian infrastructure. Power plants that keep Iranian hospitals, cities, and civilians alive. Under international law, that threat alone changes the legal landscape of this war. And he gave them 48 hours. That's not negotiation. That's a man trying to bully someone into submission before the clock runs out. MOVE 3: Iran called his bluff and raised the stakes. Iran's military headquarters responded within hours. The message: if their energy infrastructure is attacked, ALL energy, IT, and desalination facilities of the U.S. and its allies in the entire region will be targeted. Process that. 💀 Saudi Arabia's oil fields — TARGETED 💀 UAE's energy grid — TARGETED 💀 Gulf desalination plants supplying water to tens of millions — TARGETED 💀 U.S. ally infrastructure across the region — ALL OF IT They're showing you two countries in a standoff. They're NOT showing you that Iran just threatened to turn a bilateral conflict into a regional catastrophe that collapses the global energy supply chain overnight. Here's the logic chain: → 20% of global oil moves through the Strait of Hormuz → Gulf energy facilities produce a massive share of the oil markets price themselves off → Gulf desalination plants are the primary water source for populations of Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Qatar → One exchange of strikes takes all of it OFFLINE → Oil doesn't spike. Oil DOUBLES. Maybe triples. → Food supply chains that run on fuel collapse within weeks → Inflation that makes 2022 look like a warm-up Now ask yourself something. Trump made his demands. Iran made their counter-warning. But notice the timing. Iran put out their terms FIRST. Reasonable or not, they went on record with what they wanted. Trump's response wasn't to engage with those terms. It was to escalate within hours with a bomb threat. Why would you respond to peace demands with an ultimatum? Who benefits from this war continuing? Ask yourself why. The clock is running. Iran isn't scared. Trump put a 48-hour timer on a bomb he may not be able to control. This is not a Middle East conflict anymore. This is the moment the war changes shape. The real escalation hasn't even started yet. 🚨

@Sam75614812 @WinnerInvestor @SuitablePolitic It’s called scorched earth and it is a standard approach. Why do you think the US has strategic nukes that would destroy the entire world? Trump said he wants to destroy them.

@WinnerInvestor @SuitablePolitic Will they really destroy their primary source of income just to spite the US? This seems far fetched, but not impossible.

We take Kharg Island and watch Iran try to stop protests without arms or money to acquire arms. And then we get the new regime to let us in and take the enriched uranium.

@DrNeilStone Strategic risks like knocking out 20% of global O&G?

The West overestimates the regime's strategic capabilities but underestimates it's bad intentions A terrible mix

@AhmadMansour__ Is this story even true? And is it surprising they would attack a base that is attacking them?

Aus rund 4.000 Kilometern Entfernung hat der Iran versucht, einen US-Stützpunkt im Indischen Ozean anzugreifen. Zwei ballistische Raketen wurden auf Diego Garcia abgefeuert – eine fiel unterwegs aus, die andere wurde abgefangen. Mit solchen Reichweiten liegen auch Städte wie Berlin, Wien, Zürich oder Paris grundsätzlich im möglichen Radius. Wer glaubt, Schweigen oder Wegsehen schütze vor islamistisch motivierter Gewalt, unterschätzt die Realität.

@SuitablePolitic Defend against whom? US won’t invade and there is no organized domestic opposition. THAT is where he should have started.

I think he's just gonna win the war. Western politicians have complicated matters to an endless degree by always talking about their escalator theories and what not. Are we escalating, deescalating, levitating? He's just gonna exhaust the IRGC's capacity to defend themselves.

@zriboua Meh. So many words. Trump never prepared the assets required to execute his strategy of regime change. He never recognized the risks. Now he is just a murder CB lien promising to hurt people. He is a villain.

My assessment: The IRGC has entered full survival mode. They don’t see it’s just too late. It can no longer deter the U.S., which is precisely what it was testing through its posturing around the Strait of Hormuz. Trump committed fully, he’s all in, and the IRGC had calculated that strikes on oil infrastructure would provoke a sort of backlash severe enough to constrain U.S. or Israeli action. It didn’t work. They are now buying time. The deeper problem is that IRGC has not grasped what buying time actually costs at this stage. A negotiated arrangement with Trump is no longer on the table. He wants a different Iran, not an adjusted one. The moment the IRGC fully internalizes that, it will find itself squeezed from all directions at once. The domestic factions that have tolerated the current leadership did so on the assumption it could eventually deliver some form of economic relief. Not happening. The rial has lost something like 90 percent of its value and the stupidity they did today to save the rial just tells you all you need to know, the major players got killed. If they stop now, we’ll get protesters encircling them tomorrow. They have no good options.

@HTWardish Difference is one side started illegal war, and the other struggling to defend itself. Everything is because Bibi and Trump thought starting a war with Iran was a good idea.

Want to know what really pisses me off? The U.S. mistakenly targets a school that used to be part of an IRGC base? Non stop coverage. Iran strikes a residential neighborhood and kills 30+? Radio silence. Someone explain that to me? Anybody?

@PoliticalStacy Trump can’t even run a casino. You are delusional.

I used to view Donald Trump simply as a solid, effective president... someone who delivered results on the economy, borders, and foreign policy without all the usual political polish. But over time, I've come to see something much bigger: the entire American political system has been rotten and corrupt for decades. It's not just isolated scandals or bad actors; it's a deeply entrenched network of career politicians, unelected bureaucrats, lobbyists, intelligence agencies, and media gatekeepers who operate as a self-protecting "uniparty" or "swamp." They prioritize their own power, insider deals, endless wars, and special interests over the actual needs of everyday Americans. Elections often feel like theater, with the same outcomes no matter who wins—more debt, more control, more erosion of freedoms. What sets Trump apart is that he's the only major figure in modern politics who's truly taken on that machine head-on and actually shaken it. Previous leaders talked tough about reform but ultimately played along with the system, got rich from it, or were too tied into it to challenge it meaningfully. Donald Trump, as a DC outsider who didn't need their approval or their money, has exposed the corruption, fought back against weaponized institutions, and forced the hidden power structures into the open... even when it meant relentless attacks, impeachments, indictments, and lawfare aimed directly at him and his children. He's far from perfect, and the battle is far from over, but for the first time in my lifetime, someone has genuinely threatened the status quo and refused to back down. That's why the pushback against him has been so ferocious: he represents the real possibility of dismantling the corrupt system rather than just managing it. To me, supporting him now isn't just about one good presidency... it's about finally having a fighter who's willing to take on the whole rigged game for the sake of the country, and God help us if he fails.

@HeTows Impeachment and prison. This guy is off his rocker.

This is the Gaza dynamic all over again. The weaker side has an important card. The stronger side is willing to pay a high price for it, but not any price. The weaker side digs in its heels because it overestimates its own negotiating position and underestimates the stronger side’s resolve. (Often, they are misinformed about the mood on the other side by following that side’s opposition media.) Then the weaker side gets pummeled and thoroughly devastated, and will eventually have to settle for a lower price than what it could have gotten earlier. This is all Israel-Hamas reloaded. Once you see it, you can’t unsee it.

@Legal_Fil Wow what a perfect excuse for a shitty half baked ass backwards plan with no chance of success and fair chance to wreck the global economy.

It is a cliché to say weak men make for hard times. But weak men & women are what allowed the Iran situation to get to this point, and, if we must suffer hard times now, it is due to decades of weakness from European & US leaders who were only concerned about short-run politics.

@mariaICdata @Saul_Sadka @WStrohmacher They made it clear many times that ‘death to Us’ is a euphemism for our imperialism in the Mideast. Yes they are adversaries. Yes they are bastards. That does not make Trump’s plan viable.

@CFL68 @Saul_Sadka @WStrohmacher Threat is assessed by combination of capability and intention. They have the intention (Death to America, 40 years of terrorism against US assets) now they demonstrate ballistic misdile range capability. Other nations might have capability but no intent against US.