
Alexander Coman
36 posts



$ABCL AbCellera indicated earlier this year that upfront payment amounts for T-cell engagers could be "in the double-digit million-dollar range." They've since validated this with the announcement of their Jazz partnership which included $56 million in upfront payments. They went on to say: "potentially more valuable GPCR-targeting drug candidates have shown triple-digit million-dollar amounts". This indicates that they could see GPCR drugs fetching an even higher price tag than TCEs... Foreshadowing maybe? 👀 (Source: Feb 2026 Form 10-K)



$ABCL dropped Phase 1 data and the stock sold off. I think that’s a mistake. ABCL635 hit every single checkpoint Phase 1 is supposed to hit. No liver toxicity at any dose. Zero serious adverse events. Testosterone suppression confirming strong NK3R target engagement. Half life of approximately 24 days, which is exactly what you need to support once monthly subcutaneous dosing. The pharmacokinetic profile came back clean. The tolerability profile came back clean. The company immediately advanced into Phase 2 on the strength of this data. The market sold it because Phase 1 doesn’t come with efficacy numbers. That’s a different thing from the data being bad. Phase 1 confirmation is what makes Phase 2 credible, and that’s exactly what this was. The piece that keeps coming back to me is the hepatotoxicity comparison. Veozah, the only approved oral NK3R drug, has a Black Box Warning for liver toxicity and still pulled $234M in 9 months. ABCL635 showed zero liver enzyme elevations across all doses tested from 30mg to 900mg in the Phase 1 data released last week. That’s the dosing headroom that Astellas never had. If higher doses are safe, you can push efficacy further than Veozah ever could. Goldman sitting on 4.3M shares. Baker Bros increased from 9.1% to 10.8% the day before the readout. These people saw the data before we did. They added going into the announcement. $655M in liquidity. EPS beat. Revenue beat. Phase 1 cleared. Phase 2 on track for Q3. The sell off gave us a better entry on a story that actually got cleaner this week, not worse. Treating this as an accumulation phase.




@alc2022 It’s seems even more true in the biotech space that you only need 1 winner for life changing returns. A few small equal sized bets could payoff big time





Please meet 24-year-old Moroccan national Mohamed Bekkali, the man who threatened to make a female Canadian police officer his slave. He has a long rap sheet, including identity fraud. Mohamed now claims he is being targeted and a victim of racial profiling and Islamophobia.




















