cfbfastR

Full game stats for Florida State vs Alabama can be found at Game On Paper (@gameonpaper): gameonpaper.com/cfb/game/40175…

It's back! The annual Ohio State Sports Analytics Conference will be March 28 - March 29. Join us for two days of insights from 14 expert speakers, SSI's student research fair and an action-packed Hackathon. Interested? Visit this link: go.osu.edu/osu_sportsanal…

🚀 New Article Alert: Bayesian NFL Win Probability Model in Python 🏈📊 Curious about predicting NFL win probabilities using Bayesian modeling in Python? Our latest Substack article by Matt Rosinski dives into implementing a Bayesian Hierarchical Model with PyMC! 🔍 What You'll Learn: * How to transition from Stan to PyMC * Pros & cons of scaling continuous variables * How to visualize Bayesian models with ArviZ * Predicting NFL win probabilities across different scenarios * Why PyMC? * Seamless integration with Python libraries * Advanced sampling algorithms * Accessible and flexible for data scientists Don’t miss out on this detailed, step-by-step guide (ALL code is provided) to building and interpreting win probability models with PyMC! 🔥 📖 Read (and subscribe) the full article now: athlyticz.substack.com/p/implementing… #DataScience #BayesianModeling #Python #NFL #PyMC #sports #data

This is no scam, we are the folks behind Game On Paper! We're finally getting this account off the ground just in time for Week 1. More to come!

Georgia Tech had a 99.1% postgame win expectancy according to @cfbfastr More dominant than the final score reflects, which shouldn't be surprising after watching the game

we are so back gameonpaper.com/cfb/game/40163…

One of my favorite graphs. The 2024 NFL Draft first round as high school recruits. The lone unranked player was Jared Verse, who went from unranked at Albany to a first round talent at FSU #NFLDraft #CFB

Last graph before the festivities begin, this is every first round QB since 2016 and their consensus big board ranking vs. actual draft pick ranking. Ordered from biggest value (Lamar Jackson) to biggest reach (Daniel Jones) #NFLDraft #CFB

If you're interested in developing your own models but don't know where to start, the first thing you need to know is where to find data. That can come from any number of sources, like the sports-reference sites, or official league pages. If you can download a .csv file, you can start to fiddle with data. Or it can come through extensive, robust packages you can access using Python or, even better, R. (@sportsdataverse maintains a great list of what's available.) We've got an ongoing Intro to Data Science series to help get you started and learning the basics of how to acquire and analyze data, both in Excel or in R.

FYI, the original Ko-Fi link in the episode notes has an issue, we've updated it, and if your episode already downloaded, the link is ko-fi.com/sportsdataverse

This week @SaiemGilani of @sportsdataverse joins us to discuss Army/Navy, stats, and his fantastic work with Game on Paper. Also, we discuss how we are handling bowl season, and a special message from Josiah spotifyanchor-web.app.link/e/puWYVeO7sFb

Internship opportunity with the NFL!

EPA/play (min. 80 plays) for power 5 quarterbacks this season (from @cfbfastr): 1. jj mccarthy, 1.06 2. caleb williams, 0.68 3. jayden daniels, 0.63 4. jaxson dart, 0.63 5. brady cook, 0.60 6. bo nix, 0.52 7. jalen milroe, 0.52 8. quinn ewers, 0.51 9. shedeur sanders, 0.48 10. carson beck, 0.46 11. jason bean, 0.43 12. michael penix, 0.41

Week 10 DETMER standings are out! The top is still extremely close, with Davis Brin, Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi, and Brayden Schager all close together for the top spot. We love to watch all of these QBs sling the ball, consequences be damned.

Using @cfbfastr, @CFB_Data for win probability and Wikipedia for rivalries, here are the excitement scores (calculated by sum(win probability added) over game) for every rivalry 2014-2022. The common wealth cup has highest median excitement score over this time.

A late update for our Week 5 DETMER scores! The Mountain West is ruling the roost, with 3 of the top 4 QBs in our metric.

@diawlectical If you or anyone else needs to know, your API key must be set as an environment variable, as shown here: #college-football-data-api-keys" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">cfbfastr.sportsdataverse.org/#college-footb…

@cfbfastr Can you please check your DMs? Thanks

Week 4 Update: Median play difference has dropped down to 4 plays