Chezisoursavior
1.2K posts


@lkn4chnge @RealAlbanianPat In the Singh era yeah, not historically
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@RealAlbanianPat NDP are the junior branch of liberals, People now recognize the connection, NDP is now insignificant
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@aiidancash @jccuthbert It won’t revert to the 70s era, more like the 2000s and 2010s where Canada was a clear cut above
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@chezisoursavior @jccuthbert Would be quite weird if 50+ years of progression reverts no?
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about that inevitable USA hockey takeover…
Scott Wheeler@scottcwheeler
Quite the sight seeing these four names at the top of the league in scoring.
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@aiidancash @jccuthbert Just give it up bro, your golden generation is in its prime right now, it’s not getting better from here
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@GrnElects where can I find the data tables for this poll?
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@RealAlbanianPat @grok are these calculations correct?
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Latest EKOS Poll modelled out (For entertainment purpose only)
🔴LIB: 204 seats (+35)
🔵CON: 110 seats (-34)
⚜️BQ: 15 seats (-7)
🟠NDP: 12 seats (+5)
🟢GRN: 2 seats (+1)
🔴Liberal Majority Government
(+/- change from 2025 election)
Feel free to ask for any ridings

Charestiste🇨🇦🍁@RealAlbanianPat
According to EKOS Conservative is polling 5% lower in Alberta than in Ontario, incredible pollster
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@MarinaC34558 @RealAlbanianPat Except abacus has been consistent.
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@chezisoursavior @ivandemigoal @MikeBartner Celebrini and mckenna could be too much. Absolute studs.
But bedard sucks ass
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@RealAlbanianPat @SommelierOfSmut @cadwaveanalysis As far as I can tell he’s just making shit up, dude blocked me because I asked him to post a seat map lmao
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@SommelierOfSmut @chezisoursavior @cadwaveanalysis How do you define seats delta? Please explain in coherent language, I have no idea what you mean by seats delta, nobody ever used this term before, where did you get the 7.8% value? how is the delta calculated?
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Latest Abacus poll modelled out
🔵CON: 165 seats (+21)
🔴LIB: 146 seats (-23)
⚜️BQ: 23 seats (+1)
🟠NDP: 7 seats (-)
🟢GRN: 2 seats (+1)
🔵Conservative Minority Government
(+/- change from 2025 election)
Feel free to ask for any ridings

Charestiste🇨🇦🍁@RealAlbanianPat
New Abacus Data poll 🔵CON: 42% (+1%) 🔴LIB: 40% (-) 🟠NDP: 8% (-) 🔷BQ: 6% (-1%) 🟢GRN: 3% (-) 🟣PPC: 1% (-) ⚪OTH: 1% (-) (+/- change from last Abacus Data poll)
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@cadwaveanalysis @chezisoursavior @RealAlbanianPat The 7.8% delta suggests a con seat count of 146-149 and a Lib seat count of 149-152 when applied to a 4% popular vote swing.
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@chezisoursavior @cadwaveanalysis @RealAlbanianPat The delta can be tracked in every federal election. It was 9% in 2021 and 7.8% in 2025.
There is also an accepted 3.2% delta away from any acting government in off cycle polling within Canada.
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@cadwaveanalysis @RealAlbanianPat It dropped from a 9% delta to seat equity to a 7.8% delta.
That still means the Conservatives need almost an 8% polling lead to form government.
Your assertion that 2% poll lead is a majority conservative government is absolutely ridiculous.
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@dylan_eduu @Prominent_Bryan So it isn’t almost all you need at all, hell it’s not even half
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@chezisoursavior @Prominent_Bryan And the other 7+ we find in BC and other places in Ontario
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@dylan_eduu @Prominent_Bryan Eh, it’s only 5/13 required seats
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@Prominent_Bryan Brampton is literally almost all we need to form government
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@NewsroomGC We in the USA love Canadian people, seems your Goverment don't appreciate our USA much, or want much beyond a one way street our lopsided deficit is so messed up and you all will probably jump in further with China's CCP OK THX and of coarse the EU first!!
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The Government of Canada is launching a news email subscription service.
Subscribers to this pilot will receive news releases and statements in their inbox, three times per day.
Subscribe now: ow.ly/Y0nf50UURSz

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@CDNprojections Wow that’s bad, hopefully they start using the old one again
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