Probabilistically Certain⚡ ∞/21M
10.1K posts
@chriskapilla
Perhaps the most important thing you can know about someone is this: When was the last time they changed their opinion about a previous deeply held belief?
The Israeli government is about to pass a law mandating the death penalty, only for Palestinian prisoners. Mass execution by hanging, solely on racial lines. This is apartheid and the next step in the genocide of Palestinians, already systematically tortured in Israeli prisons.
BREAKING: Israel's Channel 12 says that in case of a US ground operation in Iran, Israeli soldiers will not be participating on the ground.
Four weeks into the war, the emerging picture is deeply problematic. The conflict appears to have produced a more radicalized Iranian regime, still in possession of significant stockpiles of 60% enriched uranium, while retaining the ability to exert influence over critical global economic chokepoints, and maintain a steady pace of projectile launches. This has come in exchange for a partial degradation of Iran’s forcd buildup primarily in the conventional domain. Even in this respect, however, the achievements remain limited and, more importantly, It is clear that Iran will rebuild its capabilities, and even if it takes longer than expected, it will ultimately succeed in doing so. The absence of a clearly defined exit strategy has led to a gradual slide into a war of attrition, one that is imposing mounting costs on the economy, military readiness, and, critically, the civilian home front all over the ME and beyond. At the outset of the conflict, the current trajectory suggests a far more ambiguous outcome. At best, the results are mixed; at worst, they point to a troubling gap between operational success and strategic effectiveness. While the end state of the campaign remains uncertain, the current trajectory suggests that accumulated operational gains are not translating into strategic success, and may, in fact, be leading to strategic failure. #IranIsraelWar
If missiles were dropping on US cities the two factions in US politics would be "we should bomb them into the stone age" and "we should exterminate their entire country".
