cloudsweeper99

I suspect math will be like Chess and Go due to verifiability. The period of fruitful collaboration between humans and AI will be short (i.e. a few years or less, not a decade). Progress in math will be jagged, with harder to formalize fields coming last, but I suspect this jaggedness will be compressed in time -- I expect superhuman performance at (nearly?) all areas of math within a few years (a few = 2-3?). AIs will also be better at asking pure math questions than humans, and will quickly develop theories beyond human comprehension. Human theorists will have a recreational comparative advantage over other humans in understanding these theories, but AIs will be better at communicating these theories to applied researchers. Pure mathematicians will need to become applied researchers to do productive work, until applied research is also automated. Confidence level for prediction: 50-65% for gist, 40-50% for all above claims being correct.

Everybody talks about the Magnificent 7, but my focus is on the  “Munificent 7”. Who are they?   They are oil companies and asset-heavy businesses generating real free cash flow yields in an AI sector that is trying to achieve breakout despite increasing constraints by energy, materials and physical scarcity.   Those oil company yields are 15.5%, whereas the AI hyperscalers are 0%. Read that back again.   The Munificent 7 are named that for a reason.

The sun is not billions of years old, but rather around 6,000 years old, according to the biblical timescale.

TRUMP ON IRAN WAR: EVERYONE TELLS ME IT'S UNPOPULAR BUT I THINK IT'S VERY POPULAR