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intrepid
326 posts


@smileycapital it gets easier to make money the longer the cycle goes on, not harder
just gets harder to keep it so I guess does it really make it easier?
#figtalk
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something to ponder upon, while a lot of you are either underwater in bad alts or underallocated, I guess late night ramblings episode;
trader in me wants compression highs to provide unbreakable supply for the time being, further increasing my stack on derivatives, as chop continues until Q4 while you all descend into madness and I take your money in both directions
investor in me that's been fully allocated for ~19 months wants the wall to break into thin air above us, pure price discovery into 90k+
typing this makes me realize how privileged & well positioned I am for either scenario, one could say lucky, hah, but hey, majority of you [~97%] weren't going all-in at 18-20k BTC, so here's a lesson, importance of cyclical/multi-year conviction and the balls to take it
there's no trading system alive that will outperform that, hence the extreme adaptability and close to 0% chance of failure for me personally, everything else seems suboptimal at this point
relevance of allocating everything at the bottom, close to it, and doing nothing. "oh but if it was that easy wo-". yeah, it's not easy, it's likely the hardest thing to do in the financial markets, if you can't stomach it your chances of such flexibility later in the cycle, unbiased approach when facing volatility and ultimately stone cold emotions at the picco top - are close to zero. your chances of making it big are diminished largely by decisions you've made at the first innings of the bull cycle. your reactions at pivotal market points are emotional, your long-term entries are oftentimes in the red, you've been months, quarters late to allocate, you WILL feel the need to overcompensate once the true parabola begins. and that's where it all breaks. I will be quietly exiting, while majority will chase due to dissatisfaction with their gains compared to the market itself, bottom to top.
don't get me wrong, you can still make it, but chances are slimmer. even today I'm getting questions "should I allocate, should I buy ETH, Solana". man, woman, whatever, you're over a year late at this point, slap yourself. you need a completely different approach now in order to catch up. you've waited, what, 18 months of compression at bottom [18-30k BTC] while equities rallied, ETF rumors, approval and so on? which part of 'markets are front looking' do you not understand, most of you are actually looking behind, if anything, waiting for confirmations, scared.
food for thought
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@typografl @based16z @inversebrah checked your profile… eth maxi. couldn’t make more sense if it wanted too lmao
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@costcomaxi @based16z @inversebrah LMAO, the guy gets called out for pumping rugcoins, tries to shift convo to me calling sol a poorly designed VC coin (which it is), and pupet tags inverbrah. LMAO
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@MaxLevXBT @0xjune_ CARL1SLwhaK4eaF633jgEgYgJ7UDJmTa9XGHfMgPud5e
thank me later
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