Crab Trader
597 posts

Crab Trader
@crabtrader
crypto $ and fresh crabs
Changtang, Tibet Katılım Mayıs 2021
123 Takip Edilen42 Takipçiler

I like how this is going in China
So far so good. Better to be friends and build peace. The world wants peace and prosperity.
"It's an honor to be with you, it's an honor to be your friend, and the relationship between China and the USA is going to be better than ever before." - President Donald J. Trump 🇺🇸
The White House@WhiteHouse
"It's an honor to be with you, it's an honor to be your friend, and the relationship between China and the USA is going to be better than ever before." - President Donald J. Trump 🇺🇸
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Based on my understanding of the markets, the idea of a 60K sweep is no longer valid for the bottoming process.
It was before, while we were deviating the 2025 range.
But now, that we have reclaimed it, if we were to go to 60K again, we would likely go way deeper, and likely below 50K and then further lower aka the death spiral.
Anyone who played along with us is in the most comfy spot one can wish for rn
We escaped the majority of the downside in 2025 & early 26 & then got to rebuy the lows of this drop (all publicly documented). The worst case scenario now is we get to sell at B/E or above it (depending on where you bought) but at the same time we do not have to stress the FOMO of this being the bottom
I just wanted to make a notice to all my free followers, that if you believe this was the bottom, to no longer be waiting for a sweep of 60K and if you don't believe it was, then we likely go way deeper.
Cheers 🥂

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@spectatorindex But the orange man said Iran no longer had missiles and that he had obliterated them. Which one is it?
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@spectatorindex Of course, admitting it would be a big mistake and yet that doesn't change the facts
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@spectatorindex But does Trump have a plan to deal with that alleged surrender? Or is Iran playing, no surprise, in the Russian book where they are buying themselves some time to reorganise while Trump announces victory over Iran version 2?
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@DaanCrypto Trump is having a close eye on trad markets, whenever his indicator of his economic success is falling down, he is showing with a nice phrase, recently "the war is almost done". But yeah, that inflated balloon can only withstand that much
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While $BTC has sold off at the end of the year and in 2026 so far, the S&P 500 has remained roughly stable.
Even during the current crisis, stocks remain pretty resilient all things considered.
Obviously if the situation sustains or worsens, stocks will eventually feel some pain, you can already see some weakness over the past few trading days.
But all in all, the market is not panicking at all as we speak.

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@i_am_jackis Never happened to me while watching Netflix, lesson is there.
Wishing you speedy recovery and back to your doings.
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@seth_fin Thing is, no one is taking him seriously, his days are numbered
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Take this into your small minds.
The President of the United States of America is talking about making the USA the capital of crypto and #Bitcoin, in front of the world’s elite at the World Economic Forum.
Take it in. Can you? Is it possible for you to understand that this is more important than your TA charts and lines?
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@i_am_jackis @satoshiisjesus 👀 you need to disclose it at some point, then what?
US, unlike EU, is a lawless land
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@crabtrader @satoshiisjesus Yes & we have a historical evidence already of such a behaviour in the US with Gold
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Netherland commiting financial suicide by introducing 36% tax on unrealized gains from financial markets.
People don't realize it yet but this is the most bullish narrative for SPOT Bitcoin and precious metals - Gold & Silver.
Again, not paper but SPOT.
And as you can imagine, more degenerated countries will likely follow suit.
Whether there is a hidden intention behind to pump certain prices of assets or whether that is just pure stupidity I do not know.
It will lead to a capital exodus from NL too.

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@i_am_jackis @satoshiisjesus So the idea is people will not disclose their spot holdings??
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If you are holding spot aka "physical bitcoin" or physical gold & silver then everyone will just say FU government
If you gonna hold it on paper on a brokerage account or crypto exchange it will be taxed ofc
That is the exact reason why it is so bullish because as BTC has become a "paper asset" and other commodities too. This makes it once again a spot asset
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@spectatorindex Joint investment with Russia 😅
USA will build in Russia and later Russia will take it all.
Old playbook
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@DrProfitCrypto What if it hits low '40s much sooner? How that would change your approach?
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#Bitcoin – What’s Next?
The Big Sunday Report: All We Need to Know
🚩 TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown: Psychological Breakdown
In last week’s Sunday report at 78k, I made it very clear that a new box is forming. I expect Bitcoin to move sideways between 57k and 87k, a 33% range, as already stated. This sideways phase is not bullish, it is the preparation for whats coming in the next months. I expect a leg down after this phase, with a breakdown from the box toward lower targets in the coming weeks or months of 44-50k region.
One year ago, in 2024, Bitcoin spent an entire year moving inside a box between 58k and 74k. At that time, I repeatedly explained that this box had three main purposes. The most important one was the drawing of future reference lines for the next bear market. I said many times that the 2024 box would play a key role again during the 2026 bear market, in the same price areas. That is exactly what is happening now. Bitcoin is currently trading in a zone where it previously consolidated for an entire year before breaking higher toward 100k. In a bear market context, this same zone is not support, it is structure, and structure eventually breaks. Once the sideways phase is complete, I expect a breakdown below the box.
Current Plan and Range Logic
I am expecting a large sideways movement between 57k and 87k. My clear intention is to buy between 57k and 60k, which is the bottom of the current box. It is critical to understand that the bottom of the box does not mean the final bottom for Bitcoin. It means the bottom of the current phase. I buy 57k–60k for percentage gains, not for the long term plan as I usually do. As an example, Bitcoin is already up roughly 16% from the 60k buy entry I shared a few days ago.
Does this mean 87k is a guaranteed target? No. It means two simple things. First, Bitcoin between 57k and 60k is in a recovery and bounce phase, which usually includes sideways action. Second, the highest level I expect Bitcoin could reach during this phase is around 87k, depending on the strength and duration of the sideways market. If the market allows a visit to the 87k area, I am open to adding more to my existing shorts that were opened between 115k and 125k and are still fully held.
Positioning and Execution
Some people like to complicate things. From my perspective, it is very simple. I am holding shorts from 115k–125k. At the same time, I placed multiple spot buy orders between 57k and 60k. Some of these orders were triggered around 60k and are already up around 16%. I plan to hold these gains because I expect continued sideways action and no immediate further downside in the coming weeks. I consider 57k–60k the local bottom, not the macro bottom, and I expect this area to be tested multiple times. That is exactly why buying there makes sense to me. There is no reason to sell while upside potential remains. When the moment to sell comes, I will metion once I sold or planning to sell. Bitcoin will move sideways until it no longer does. The largest and most aggressive long-term bets will be placed much lower, between the 50k level and into the low 40s. That is where I will re-enter with serious size for the next cycle, while taking profits from the 115k–125k short, and thats the area I believe Bitcoin will be finally bottomed out. This area is expected to be hit in September-October as my calculations show, in the meantime? A long and boring sideway as mentioned above.
Why I am Buying Now in a Bear Market
Some ask why I am buying now if I expect Bitcoin to eventually bottom around 54k–44k. The answer is simple: markets do not move in straight lines. Even in bear markets, there are powerful counter-trend rallies. In 2022, Bitcoin dropped from 68k to 33k almost without pause. Then, within two months, it rallied from 33k to 48.5k, a 50% move, before continuing down to the final bottom at 16k. This is how markets work.
We are in a bear market. The bounces are temporary and exist to build liquidity for further downside. My ultimate bear market target remains below 50k, in the 40s area. That is where my largest positions will be built. Until then, my short from 115k–125k remains fully open. I am not longing with leverage. I am buying spot between 57k and 60k while keeping the short open.
Join premium here: whop.com/drprofit-tradi…
THIS IS NO FINANCIAL ADVICE AND EDUCATIONAL CONTENT ONLY

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@seth_fin @elonmusk It's because he is an idiot, he is in a position to change a lot shity things in that world, instead he is choosing to engage as a far right extremist politician with nazi views, fermenting hatred on his social media, destabilising democracies in Europe.
He chooses his path
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@crabtrader Yea yea yea been hearing it for 5 months but still above 74k 🤷♂️
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