crackalamoo
268 posts

crackalamoo
@crackalamoo
the guy who writes all of Claude's answers


I know I’m not AI-pilled enough but bio is a great antithesis to this. The most remarkable bio discoveries and technologies (CRISPR as the queen bee example) come from super random cross-field serendipity that AI might be able to find but does not (yet) have the taste to really elevate and pursue without human prompting to really dig in. So much taste + intuition + judgement behind biological invention and discovery Plus step change discoveries in bio often end up being bottlenecked not by ideas + raw quantitative analytical power but by the ability to run hyper-nichy basic science experiments (which are often least amenable to lab automation leveragable by our future ai scientist overlords)






🚨 Anthropic Co-Founder Christopher Olah: “I lead a research team that studies the internal structure of these [AI] models … And I will be honest, we keep finding things that are mysterious — even unsettling.”









academics are unprepared for the coming world where much scientific progress is majorly a function of inference compute. whether OpenAI points the Eye of Stargate at your particular field will decide its acceleration. talent will leach away into the labs. it's already begun





I suspect math will be like Chess and Go due to verifiability. The period of fruitful collaboration between humans and AI will be short (i.e. a few years or less, not a decade). Progress in math will be jagged, with harder to formalize fields coming last, but I suspect this jaggedness will be compressed in time -- I expect superhuman performance at (nearly?) all areas of math within a few years (a few = 2-3?). AIs will also be better at asking pure math questions than humans, and will quickly develop theories beyond human comprehension. Human theorists will have a recreational comparative advantage over other humans in understanding these theories, but AIs will be better at communicating these theories to applied researchers. Pure mathematicians will need to become applied researchers to do productive work, until applied research is also automated. Confidence level for prediction: 50-65% for gist, 40-50% for all above claims being correct.


A simple cabbage but full of beautiful geometric patterns.














