Chris

@alch3my101 @Kalshi good work man, hard to find the confidence to take size even when you’re 99% certain. Killing it

In late December 2025, I started on @Kalshi with $100. This month I hit $10,000 in monthly profit, and my portfolio currently sits just above $18,000. Amidst all that, a crazy stat is that, losses aside, 65% of my portfolio has come from just 4 markets. This is way beyond Pareto, and I think it's one of the things that makes Mentions exciting and somewhat addictive.

@JPdegen donated some $ to you on this, shouldn’t have tried to trade this game and the natty at the same time 🥲. Great catch.

Can always count on knicks fans to get you home with Brunson MVP chants. As Grady likes to say At the Hornnnnnnnnnnnn. 🏀🗑️

Nice win on the natty. Ankle was mentioned multiple times for the reasons I listed above.

Pretty strong lock on the Men's National Championship game today, Ankle Y. Yaxel Lendeborg re-aggravated his left ankle sprain in their last game against Arizona. Uconn player Demary Jr has also been dealing with a lingering ankle sprain throughout the whole tournament. FV 95+ .

@FlourideJ @locksy I like to look for reasoning on strikes outside of the historical data. Researching players, teams, and keeping up with current nba news.

@crispy_trade @locksy Chris if u don’t mind me asking— What are ur fav nba mention strikes or spots to look into? Been struggling to find my footing in these mentions markets any suggestions R greatly appreciated @crispy_trade

Traded my first Kalshi mention market on Jan 27th and in a little over 2 months turned my 1k deposit into 10k. Grateful I was able to find my niche in the NBA mention space, and I’m hoping to apply the same skills and research into politics as I look to size up.

@OtikoPotskhora2 I do both

@crispy_trade You trade live or premarket?

@radarmentions @HiveLiveHQ There are a lot of places news can drop from that shifts the markets, what are some of the most important sources to be aware of when trading political mention markets ie. White House, Fox News, others? And how to filter the noise the sources have

@HiveLiveHQ i'll be taking notes from these legends as we go... lmk if there's any q's i should ask them while i'm on with them!

Introducing: Sunday School This is a unique opportunity to hear top mention market traders Foster, PMT, and radarmentions share their wealth of knowledge on the ins and outs of mention markets Watch our livestream on Sunday at 12pm ET, don't be late for class! 🪱🍎📚

@rigatohni what signals are you looking for when you live trade? Obv price action but anything specific to the speaker or event?

🚨ALPHA: What will Trump say during the Inter Miami CF visit? I did the work so you don't have to. Below is a word Matrix from all trump sports team/soccer related speeches since taking office... Biggest takeaway from this data is he seems to stay fairly on topic and only talks for about 15-25 minutes. Most rally word matrixes don't provide too much actual alpha, but this one is different and is super helpful when bidding this market. I will let you guys know if I bid a few No's pre speech(which I prob will) but otherwise will be mostly live/last minute trading this! Messi is confirmed present as well, so this will be a fun one! Is Messi or Ronaldo Trumps GOAT?

@rigatohni didn’t he just say national guard at the black history month reception?

@mikestrade Right is most recent

🚨ALPHA: What will Trump say during his Georgia rally? I did the work so you don't have to. Below is a word matrix from Trumps last 15 speeches. a mix of economy/peace/SOTU and just you know... Trump, dating back a long time. Accumulate as you please and keep a close eye on recent news!

@AlexMonahan100 why do u tweet underdog picks when you know they get rid of the lines when u bet them? Not bashing just genuinely curious. No one can rlly follow these plays.

3 pick'er & a good read... Play #1: Newton u20.5 PRAs from the NCAAB Screen: oddsjam.com/ncaab/screen/p… Look at the data... 1) PrizePicks/DraftKings/10Bet have Newton's line @ 19.5 PRAs 2) Casumo has Newton @ 17.5 PRA... There are four independent data points telling you Underdog is *too high* so hit the under... It's like being able to buy Facebook stock at a steep discount (say $180) when it's currently trading @ $205.78 in the market. That's how sharp bettors think... You hunt for value like a savvy investor/day trader. You follow the value & don't bet with your gut/emotions Play #2: Boeser u2.5 SOG from the @OddsJam Positive EV Tool (bet in bold/green = profitable): oddsjam.com/betting-tools/… Let's get paid homies 😈

@plusev is there any math involved in this play considering what % of the time Jalen would need to either tie or exceed the projected line in 5-6 pick to be profitable? I know bumps from the 1-3 range make a big difference but does 7.5-8 make enough of a % increase in profitability?

All that is factored into market implied odds. Market says that 7.5 is a fair 50/50 line for him....Prizepicks has it at 8. Regardless of how you "feel", you should be taking the under value on Prizepicks.

@AlexMonahan100 @OddsJam gone within seconds

3 pick🎯 Play #1: Tucker o4.5 from the Positive EV Tool (play in bold/green = profitable): oddsjam.com/betting-tools/… Underdog 3 pick = -122 odds, so @OddsJam is showing plays on Underdog that are profitable (e.g. Positive EV) @ -122 All books have Tucker's over *heavily* favored (around -140 odds). Getting -122 in a 3 pick = solid value... The market is also "crossed" or "arbitrage" with FanDuel (-122 o4.5, +124 u4.5) which is a market inefficiency. By definition, either the o4.5 @ -122 or the u4.5 @ +124 is profitable. This increases your confidence in playing the o4.5 on Underdog. Article explains more is here: oddsjam.com/betting-educat… Email me any questions about sharp, profitable betting strategy - alex@oddsjam.com

@AlexMonahan100 couldn’t tail u posted the play past 8:30 😕

pretty in green ... who tailed 🤨

@EVMoneyNick shoulda taken some notes from Luka

patrick beverley get 3 rebounds while playing the most minutes out of any laker challenge (impossible)

@AlexMonahan100 @OddsJam should post some fake bets so they bump the line 😂

5 pick 🎯 Play #1: Rozier o4.5 from @OddsJam Positive EV Tool Books are pricing this -130 to -160 odds. The over is heavily favored 5 flex odds = -119 So, as a sharp bettor, you're looking for value @ -119 Read this thread if confused: twitter.com/AlexMonahan100… lmk questions

@EVMoneyNick yo what happened to the bankroll

😐

@EVMoneyNick u still making yt vids?

@mikestrade damn bruh, at least u doubled up

what a night