ℭ𝔯𝔢𝔰𝔱𝔞

@game_for_one Belief

Every perp chat I’m in feels like shorting crypto on any bounces is free money. And every on-chain chat I’m in is buying NEET. Which part of the bear market are we in..

@anulagarwal You are searching in App Store not you system

Apple is a $3.7 trillion company yet can't fix their search Pretty annoying tbh

@virtualbacon Maybe we'll get better entries.

Benner Cycle vs. Miran Cycle: A Macro Overlay for Markets and Crypto (2025–2030) The Benner Cycle, developed by 19th-century farmer Samuel Benner, is a historical pattern chart forecasting ~27-35 year economic cycles of booms ("Good Times" with high prices and sell signals), busts ("Panic Years"), and bottoms ("Hard Times" for accumulation). It's eerily aligned with past events like the 1929 crash, 1970s stagflation, dot-com bust, and 2008 crisis, with a ~90% hit rate on major turns (though critics note overfitting and missed nuances). Modern extensions project bullish peaks around 2025–2026, cooling through 2027–2028, and a deep bottom in 2029–2030 ideal for risk assets like stocks and crypto if liquidity cooperates. The Miran Cycle (inferred from Fed Governor Stephen Miran's dovish speeches and votes) refers to expected Fed policy pivots on liquidity and rates. Miran, a Trump appointee (confirmed Sept 2025, term to Jan 2026), dissents for faster easing amid QT's end (Dec 1, 2025) and "emergent funding signals." He's bullish on deregulation shrinking the Fed's $6.9T balance sheet, lower r* (neutral rate ~mid-2%), and immigration/tariff impacts cooling inflation paving for cuts to mid-2% funds rate by 2026. This "cycle" boosts risk assets during easing (e.g., post-2025 QT pause) but risks tightening if fiscal woes (tariffs, debt) spike yields. Period-by-Period Comparison Your outline nails the synergies: Benner's structural turns + Miran's liquidity tailwinds = amplified signals for crypto (BTC, SOL) and equities. Here's a structured breakdown:

77777

@exitpumpBTC I believe a mean-reversion bounce is coming next week.

$BTC Sitting right at AVWAP from yen carry trade blow up low. Decent place to stop dumping and give some bounce.

@Pentosh1 ~125k

Curious as to what you all believe the $BTC highest price will be for THIS year?

Goooooood morning

@pakpakchicken Market looks overextended—pullback might be coming. Question is, will it be a dead cat bounce? One thing’s clear: Trump doesn’t seem to care if we hit a recession. 🤔📉

Doing a correlation analysis with the help of Claude 3.7. Global M2 to price of bitcoin. Today is the bottom. Uploaded data sets of M2 Money Supply and BTC. An hr of guidance, got the results. The optimal lag period is 57 days with a correlation coefficient of 0.824. The 57-day optimal lag provides important insights for understanding how monetary policy changes may influence cryptocurrency markets with a two-month delayed effect. Plotted the graph on Tradingview for visual representation. Links below

@TruckPump 14-11 Zone

Where do we bid fellas

This move on Hype looks like pure FOMO

@TruckPump mean reversion to mean reversion

Stop buying every red candle so you can actually buy the bottom

@TruckPump Probably goes to 83k

thoughts

BTC

@SalsaTekila ~83k

@TruckPump ~104K

So how are we doing this fellas

@TruckPump 💯

Plan for this week is to bid alts below last weeks lows and bet on this weeks move below those lows being a deviation 🫡

@TruckPump I do think Alts have some juice left.

Im pretty bearish here next couple weeks for alts, might be wrong. Will switch sentiment if BTC spot trades at a premium to futs. One more ETH pump above 4k and I will look for shorts

@ksicrypto Think we go down to 73K.

Think we go down to 66k from here. Gonna be a while till we see 100k again

@exitpumpBTC @CryptoCapo_ Local top is in.

I was on the call with @CryptoCapo_ and he said that he’s bullish af and he’s buying $BTC

@52kskew ~105K Local Top

Okay, so where to next fellas? drop your price estimates & targets

@blknoiz06 What ? x.com/0xSisyphus/sta…

gmove