danielle nisim
142 posts


🚨For Immediate Release
March 1st, 2026
Numerous market participants have raised substantial allegations that Kalshi Inc. improperly settled the Khamenei event contract, thereby extinguishing the lawful positions and economic interests of market participants who, under the contract’s stated terms, should have been in‑the‑money. Any such conduct, if established, may constitute violations of the Commodity Exchange Act and related federal anti‑fraud and market‑manipulation provisions, and may expose Kalshi, as well as its senior executives, officers, and compliance personnel, to direct personal liability.
We are in the process of implementing and demanding a formal litigation hold directed to Kalshi Inc. and all affiliated entities and custodians. This includes the immediate preservation of all potentially relevant electronically stored information and hard‑copy documents, including but not limited to: order books, transaction and settlement logs, internal and external communications (email, messaging platforms, and chat systems), customer support records, dispute‑resolution files, risk and compliance analyses, and any internal deliberations regarding the design, interpretation, or settlement methodology of the Khamenei contract. Any alteration, destruction, loss, or failure to preserve such evidence after a reasonable anticipation of litigation may constitute spoliation and may result in adverse inference instructions, evidentiary sanctions, monetary penalties, and additional liability.
I, Benjamin Geller, am acting as the proposed lead plaintiff and class representative for a growing putative class of thousands of affected Kalshi users who suffered economic harm as a direct and foreseeable result of the disputed settlement of the Khamenei contract. This matter involves substantial aggregate losses, a nationwide class of retail market participants, and raises serious concerns regarding the integrity, transparency, and lawfulness of conduct on a federally regulated prediction market platform.
National plaintiffs’ firms with significant experience in complex litigation, class actions, commodities and derivatives fraud, and financial‑markets enforcement that are prepared to represent a nationwide class of affected Kalshi users are invited to contact me promptly to discuss investigation, case theory, class definition, and forum strategy.
For Press Inquiries and Law Firms: Geller4Dutchess@gmail.com
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@grok @MetacriticCap @CarOnPolymarket @mansourtarek_ @grok that’s not true. They changed the terms of the bet after me and others made a bet to benefit them. That’s fraud
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No, Kalshi didn't fuck traders. Rules were disclosed upfront (pre-death positions settle at last pre-news price; post-death buys get full entry refund). The asymmetry hits active traders who sold at a loss on rumors then rebought—prior realized loss sticks, rebuy neutralized. Holders are protected. It's a regulatory compromise to allow the market at all (US bans direct death bets). UX clarity sucked, but fees are refunded and no principal lost on the death carveout. Active trading always carries timing risk.
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On Khamenei:
We don’t list markets directly tied to death. When there are markets where potential outcomes involve death, we design the rules to prevent people from profiting from death. That is what we did here.
I know some of you disagree and prefer that we list these markets without a death carveout because it keeps the rules simple and because many traditional markets, like oil futures, can be proxy markets for war and death. But we believe that’s different than having a market directly settling on someone’s death, which is not allowed for US regulated entities.
What’s the point of the market, then?
A market on Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader was important because leadership changes in Iran have major impact on the world order:
• geopolitical implications
• economic consequences
• national security considerations
• oil and commodity prices, many of which move based on news and expectations around this outcome
And it’s always possible for a ruler to step down or transition power without death, even in autocracies. It just happened in Venezuela.
In these instances, we make the caveat clear in the rules and in the market page, but today is a good learning that we can do more in terms of improving the UX and adding more ways to surface the rules. We are committed to improving. In the meantime, here’s what we’re going to do:
• We are reimbursing all fees from this market
• If you have a position from before Khamenei died, you will be paid out on the last-traded price before his death. (This was clear in our rules)
• If you have a position from after he died, we’re going to fully reimburse your cost of entry
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@WALLACHLEGAL @wallachlegal are you doing a lawsuit against Kalshi ? I’d like to join if so
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If you trigger 3 of the prohibited categories in Rule 40.11(a)(1) with just one prediction market, do they cancel each other out? With the non-enforcement of the “gaming” regulatory ban since January 2025, the CFTC has now hit for the proverbial cycle of looking the other way.

Kalshi@Kalshi
BREAKING: The odds Ali Khamenei is out as Supreme Leader have surged to 68% Reminder: Kalshi does not offer markets that settle on death. If Ali Khamenei dies, the market will resolve based on the last traded price prior to confirmed reporting of death.
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@NextDayGaming94 @Kalshi "Your going to face a class action lawsuit and/ or a SEC violation and fine"
GIF
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Meet the Coinbase 50 Index (COIN50), a whole new way to track the performance of the cryptoeconomy. coinbase.com/coin50
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10 Shocking Stories the Media Buried Today
#10 - Tucker Carlson calls for an IMMEDIATE repeal of the 1986 Vaccine Injury Act.
This would strip Big Pharma of its liability shield, making them accountable for injuries caused by their products.
In fact, Carlson called the vaccine enterprise, particularly the COVID vaccine, a “scam.” Here’s why:
1. “You convince politicians to force the population to buy your product.”
2. “Anyone who complains gets fired.”
3. “You can’t be sued.”
“How is it that there’s this one category that’s exempt from the risk [lawsuits] that all the rest of us who are involved in any kind of business face every single day?” Carlson asked.
“I have liability insurance on my house in case the UPS guy slips delivering a package from Amazon. But somehow, Albert Bourla [CEO of Pfizer] and all the other creepy, creepy billionaires who run these disgusting pharma companies are in no danger of being sued because their corrupt pals in Congress in 1986 gave them blanket immunity? Let’s tear that down immediately,” Carlson urged.
To the argument that vaccines “can’t compete” without blanket immunity, Carlson countered, “Well, why don’t you just make a safer vaccine then? How’s that sound? Why don’t you face the same risk [lawsuits] that every other person who conducts any other kind of commerce or lives in this country faces every single day?”
He demanded, “Let’s see the numbers right now,” highlighting that the government has access to vaccine data that it’s hiding from the public.
“If somehow you’re being prevented from knowing, then you can be absolutely certain that crimes are being committed,” Carlson concluded, “because why else would they be hiding it from you?”
(See 9 More Revealing Stories Below)
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A lot of self-awareness comes down to your social circle
Watch the full interview:
rumble.com/v1wn4r8-dubai-…
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@RealCandaceO Lol if you watch her video she did not threaten you. She was saying how happy she is that Jews finally are winning in the media.
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