Daniel Reck
1.4K posts

Daniel Reck
@danhreck
Hello Internet, it's Daniel. I am an Assistant Professor of Economics at the University of Maryland. My research interests lie in behavioral & public economics.












Thanks for being so civil and generous in your reply here! I didn't intend to cast doubt (right then) on the use of negative probabilities in models. But now that you bring it up, I'll ask: if there is a measurable set E of states in the model whose probability is negative, what is the price of a contract that pays $1 if E does not happen? Is that contract simply not allowed to be discussed in such models?



So far Trump's using this inefficient and regressive tax for (a) tax cuts >> his suggest tariff take (b) a complete replacement of the income tax?! (c) childcare! (why not?) and (d) a sovereign wealth fund. Last time, much of $ went to farmers hurt by retaliation. Sheer fantasy.


3 years ago, ‘DUNE’ premiered at the Venice Film Festival.



The discussions of unrealized capital gains for the very rich (ie those with wealth exceeding $100M) are often missing a key fact - two thirds of unrealized gains at the very top is from gains in private businesses (From SCF data eml.berkeley.edu/~yagan/Capital…) @jasonfurman @MargRev






