Dan

2.1K posts

Dan banner
Dan

Dan

@daninvests_

Personal Finance, Equity Investing, Markets

Remote Katılım Mayıs 2009
314 Takip Edilen243 Takipçiler
Dan
Dan@daninvests_·
@GrindeOptions I don’t think in 3.5 years but possibly the next 7-10
English
0
0
2
454
Cole Grinde
Cole Grinde@GrindeOptions·
When $SOFI achieves $100/share, the company will achieve a $128 billion dollar market cap. I think this is definitely attainable by 2030. The stock is trading around a $21 billion dollar market cap today.
Cole Grinde tweet media
English
34
7
206
30.9K
Tannor Manson
Tannor Manson@Futurenvesting·
@daninvests_ Not as fast as $NVDA, but I agree with you. They are surprising cheap.
English
1
0
9
1.7K
Tannor Manson
Tannor Manson@Futurenvesting·
The market is splitting Big Tech into two distinct tiers👇 Forward P/Es ABOVE 30x: • AMZN: ~31.9 • AAPL: ~31.4 • GOOGL: ~30.9 Forward P/Es BELOW 24x: • NVDA: ~23.8 • MSFT: ~22.5 • META: ~18.8 The market is separating: “Priced for acceleration” (>30x) “Priced for execution” (<24x) Which side are you on?
Tannor Manson tweet media
English
35
13
182
34.6K
Dan
Dan@daninvests_·
@SRuhle Soooo, almost like it would have been a good idea for a well run airline to acquire them and turn it around?
English
0
0
2
8
Options selling with Christian
It may not be tomorrow, or a week from now, or a year from now But at some point in the future, Jensen Huang is going to walk on stage at GTC or some other event and say something to the tune of “memory is no longer a bottleneck” Every memory stock will instantly fall 30-50% + within a month
English
97
5
507
87.1K
Dan
Dan@daninvests_·
@Liathetrader yep. if not just better on yield, better on headaches and trouble
English
0
0
1
29
Lia the Trader 👸💸
Lia the Trader 👸💸@Liathetrader·
Just took a ride with a friend of mine. He is 62, has a paid-off condo, and $100,000 to invest. That’s all he has. He works a part-time job making at most $2,000 monthly and can’t find a better one. He is short on bills every month. Needs 3,5-4k. He wants to buy a shitty real estate property with his $100k and rent it out. (I don’t even know what you buy in FL for 100k? Garage? ) I suggested passive income from dividend stocks instead. I believe the market provides a better investment with this money. Am I right?
English
256
12
310
76.9K
Dan
Dan@daninvests_·
@jimiuorio This is a classic case of thinking they had good intentions and morally superior but in reality their policies are destructive and anti what they claim to care about. So it’s either incompetence or outright corruption
English
0
0
0
5
Dan
Dan@daninvests_·
@TheBTCKnight yes but timeframe is probably much further out than people think
English
1
0
2
19
Dan
Dan@daninvests_·
@TheLongInvest I generally think this is true. The companies or assets still need to be viable and growing long term. don’t want a shitco under the 200wma
English
3
0
3
658
The Long Investor
The Long Investor@TheLongInvest·
What’s the cheat code to the market? Buying under the 200 WMA Historically the market and the majority of positions will always reset back to this support line But there are two problems with this: 1. People won’t wait for the pull back to this MA 2. People don’t believe it can recover after hitting this MA. Understanding fundamentals help this
English
22
22
527
51.9K
Helios Alpha
Helios Alpha@escasnor·
@MMatters22596 Assuming $SOFI has a P/B ratio between 2-3x which is applicable for a profitable growing bank, book value per share would have to grow to between $43-65M. We're currently at $10.81M... that means we need a 4 to 6x over the next 2-3 years. Possible but very unlikely
English
2
1
4
2K
The Analyst
The Analyst@MMatters22596·
$SOFI I think many investors don’t fully realize how big this could become over the next few years. From a chart perspective, $SOFI is giving me strong $PLTR and $HOOD vibes. Over the next 2–3 years, prices around $130+ are clearly possible.
The Analyst tweet media
English
44
45
567
53.6K
Dan
Dan@daninvests_·
@MMatters22596 possible over a 10 year time frame for sure
English
0
0
1
239
Dan
Dan@daninvests_·
@signulll in today’s economy yes. enough margin for error and gives you the ability to meaningful control your time.
English
0
0
0
429
signüll
signüll@signulll·
~$10m is the sweetest spot for wealth. beyond that it’s marginal returns & you don’t feel hungry.
English
176
59
2.1K
718K
Emini tic
Emini tic@TicTocTick·
Meta one day will NOT be in S&P500. It’s yahoo dot com of today. Bookmark me.
English
81
11
534
69.2K
Tannor Manson
Tannor Manson@Futurenvesting·
Does $META really deserve to be down -10% on those earnings??
Tannor Manson tweet media
English
72
4
186
35.4K
Dan
Dan@daninvests_·
@CAgovernor Notice “defer” and not “remove”
English
0
0
0
6
Governor Gavin Newsom
Governor Gavin Newsom@CAgovernor·
Let’s be clear: LA fire survivors who lost their homes shouldn’t have to pay property taxes based on a value of a property that no longer exists. Today my office urged LA County to offer clarity and assurance for these impacted survivors so that they can continue to defer payments without penalty.
English
1.4K
233
1.9K
300.7K
Dan
Dan@daninvests_·
@StockOptionCole UX is important but business fundamentals are more important. and they have 14M members so there is obviously value they’re providing
English
1
0
0
270
Cole
Cole@StockOptionCole·
If you have used the Sofi app before you'd know it is completely garbage in today's modern world financial services app Don't know why anyone would invest in this right now. Know your products before you invest in them $SOFI
English
12
2
22
8.8K
Dan
Dan@daninvests_·
@realroseceline this is genuinely thoughtful but misses two key points: fee based revenue is accelerating at 41%, stablecoin accelerating, and member growth hit new all time highs. they’ve been hitting these despite the bad macro cyclical environment which is where your argument breaks for me.
English
0
0
0
12
Rose Celine Investments 🌹
Rose Celine Investments 🌹@realroseceline·
Thoughts on $SOFI Regardless of how you dress it up, $SOFI is a lending business at its core. No matter how you package it, they make money by issuing loans and earning the spread, which ties everything to credit quality, interest rates, and funding costs. That’s not just a detail, thats literally the business. The issue is that lending businesses are cyclical, whether people want to admit it or not. When the cycle turns even a little, defaults rise, charge offs increase, and margins compress. It doesn’t take a crisis, just a shift in conditions for things to tighten. This is not a durable model that compounds smoothly, it is a conditional model that works best when the environment is supportive. The risk is also more concentrated than most people realize, which makes it even more fragile. A large portion of the book is in personal loans, which are unsecured and highly sensitive to unemployment and consumer stress. That’s where the first place cracks show up in any downturn. So it’s not just credit risk, it’s concentrated exposure to the weakest part of the credit system. The growth looks great on the surface, and that’s exactly why it’s seductive and pulls people in. But in lending, growth can actually hide risk rather than eliminate it. The real question is not how fast originations are growing, but whether the loans being made are improving in quality or simply increasing in volume. Those two paths look identical in the short term, but lead to very different outcomes over time. Another things I see people miss is how these books are accounted for in practice. A lot of what you see is effectively marked to model, not fully marked to reality yet, because losses are estimated before they are realized. That allows earnings to appear smooth and controlled while risk builds underneath the surface. When the cycle turns, provisions rise and charge offs hit, and what looked stable changes very quickly. This is where the structure of the model really matters, because lending does not scale in a straight line. In good times you see steady growth, low defaults, and stable spreads, which creates the illusion of consistency. In weak conditions, defaults jump, funding tightens, growth slows, and margins compress. The downside tends to accelerate faster than the upside, which is what makes the model fragile. At the same time, $SOFI is trying to position itself as something much broader than a lender. It’s a bank, fintech platform, technology provider, and a financial super app all in one. That sounds compelling, but in practice it makes the business harder to value, harder to execute, and harder to dominate in any one category. It becomes a bit of everything, but not clearly the best at anything. The super app idea also sounds better in theory than in reality. Financial products tend to have low engagement, low loyalty, and are highly substitutable for most users. People don’t build daily habits around their lending apps the same way they do with social, simply out $SOFI is no Instagram. Funding is another critical piece thats underestimated. Even with a bank charter, the model still depends on cost of deposits, securitization markets, and access to capital. If someone else can fund more cheaply, they can price more aggressively and take share. That means the real product is not the app or the interface, it is the cost of capital behind it. Management will always emphasize member growth, product expansion, and engagement metrics. Those are important, but they are not the core driver of value in a lending business. The real driver is risk adjusted returns on the loans being originated. Those two things can diverge for a long time, which is why the story can look strongest right before it starts to weaken. 1/2 👇
English
21
11
177
45.1K