Dan Lucraft

If I had to choose between really great tests or a really great commit history that carefully explained every change, I’d probably choose the latter.

@RollingHedge Ah got it - so the AI focussed infra basis for valuable economic activity going forward

@danlucraft The foundational stack: energy, compute, data, connectivity, and capital layers - the whole architecture and infrastructure that makes the automation revolution possible.

The three part finale is here. Diagnosis is one thing; the operational picture is quite another. What you actually do about it all - is the question Part Three takes up. Britain has four exits from the Long Winter: 1/ Renewal 2/ Slow decline 3/ Gilt-forced populist rupture 4/ Or the patrician outcome, where substrate ownership concentrates in a narrow class, the welfare state becomes a patronage system, immigration imports the client populations the ruling class needs for its political units, and the productive cohort with international optionality emigrates because the patrician class is structured to encourage it. The country exists on the map. The country the readership grew up in does not. Three of the four are darker than the consensus admits. This project exists to prevent the fourth. Capital. Family. Politics. The Long Winter: Part Three 👇 open.substack.com/pub/anglofutur…

@NeilDotObrien 2036: Wetherspoons Settles Landmark “Kids Tiramisu” Tax Case for £34bn

Tax simplification latest: HMRC tax officials are going to have to decide what counts as a "children's meal". This will be like the Scotch Egg egg / tea cakes thing all over again. Love the fact that children's meals won't "normally" include booze.

@christiancalgie @joe_armitage @tomhfh Same but for listing a playlist in reverse chronological

@joe_armitage @tomhfh I'm still furious they removed the 'sort search by upload date'

The YouTube app appears to have annoyingly removed its ‘history’ tab. This was overwhelmingly useful for me at least to return to very long podcasts, which I tend to listen to in chunks rather than all in one go. Baffling decision. Far harder now to return to content I was enjoying!

@tomhfh Updated and still there for me

@tomhfh I’m not sure I dare press this now! I want to to just see how bad this is 😬😬 This can’t be real - it just can’t

@peterrhague Yep!

Who in the UK is staying up late with me to watch this?

@DanNeidle @karlrgibson1 Is that confirmed anywhere? This doc says "an allowance to encourage long-term investment by only taxing real gains" - so what's the eligibility and size of this allowance? Are they implying only on long-term holdings? It doesn't say straight up "CGT is only on real gains"

@karlrgibson1 nope - everyone entrepreneurs get a low rate (typically they'd have little/no base cost to index)

Stunned, appalled, shocked etc to see actual tax reform from a politician. This from Wes Streeting today. A thread on why capital gains tax is broken. It's too low AND too high. & why this is a good proposal.

They sent 10 separate teams out to my house over a period of three months. Every single one - EVERY ONE - arrived with no idea of what the previous had done. Eventually they seemed to give up on connecting us. No point calling them to ask why - no human you can reach is able to tell you anything about it. When I finally I broke, I drove to Curry’s and bought a Starlink and was online within an hour and that’s worked great since. Truly dire company

Congrats to @virginmedia for being perhaps the WORST company I’ve ever had the misfortune of dealing with in Britain. Three engineer visits, five plus calls to Indian call centres, and still you can’t activate the TV contract you upsold me when I simply called to get my connection back. Awful, awful business model.

@RossKempsell What does it mean for a trader to think of the uk as an emerging market? How will they change what they do?

I spoke with a smart trader this morning who told me that markets are starting to think of the UK as though it were an emerging market. This will get worse under Burnham PM and Miliband Chancellor. The last high net worths will leave. Borrowing will soar. Let’s stay and fight tho

@julianblacks_ I didn’t quite follow this bit - why did the roleplay essay reduce or remove the use of AI?

Some students committed serious time, imagination, and even emotion to these, while others simply did what they needed to do to satisfy the requirements. But the key results were two things: they did the writing, not AI, and some made a sincere attempt to see an issue from someone else’s perspective. They tried to write with empathy.

This is going to be long. Last semester I suspected I had a major issue with use of AI in my survey courses, so I inserted what is known as a trojan horse (not the virus kind) into the directions of a paper assignment. As it turned out, I did in fact have a major problem, and a post on Threads about it accidentally went quasi-viral and ultimately became a Huffington Post article and an NPR interview. (Links at the end)

I think it’s a little more complicated. 1. There would be accession negotiations where some things could happen. Not the same deal for sure, but still. 2. A euro opt out when so many other states are effectively permanent non-euro members now doesn’t seem crazy. Or the very least we could probably make a commitment to join that acts like Poland’s does, basically fictional now. 3. BUT they’d never make any big concessions *before* a formal application, certainly not before a referendum. So we’d go into a vote with the Remain Out side able to say the EU’s position was “join the euro”

@TomBaldwin66 Whether you personally believe it is irrelevant, as it is a statement of fact. The EU themselves tell you what their rules are for membership. No cherry picking remember.

I don’t believe this true. The terms of re-entry would be easier to negotiate than convincing EU we were there to stay. Until the UK has a centre-right party that kicks it addiction to economic self-harm, this will be the biggest obstacle.

@khaki_allstar @JoeLongBalls Lies!

@JoeLongBalls Untangle your sheets (and regular clothes) when they come out of the washer and you won't have any problems drying on the first go

I'm gonna let you in on a little secret, when you're washing your bedsheets just run that dryer twice, don't even bother checking

@JoeLongBalls What if they’ve tangled up into a ball so tight it takes ten minutes to undo it

@andrew_lilico They will try to do it without a referendum

These Labour MPs seriously believe the UK's future lies as part of the euro, the Schengen Area & the Single European State? And they believe UK citizens are going to vote in favour of that - & do so repeatedly enough for it to actually happen?

@CoachDanGo Thinking back over my normal diet over the last twenty years I can’t imagine I could have been eating less than 3000 calories a day, probably more. I don’t really understand that because it would imply I’d weigh a thousand pounds now.

"I ate in a calorie deficit but didn't lose weight." No, you did not. Jeremy Ethier ran a small metabolism experiment using astronaut-grade accuracy. What he found was that out of 9 people, not one had a fast or slow metabolism. Everyone burned almost exactly what their body weight predicted. The most interesting part he found was that most people underestimated how much they ate by 500–1,000+ calories a day. A skinny guy who couldn't gain weight guessed 2,000. He was actually eating 3,300. An overweight girl who wanted to lose weight guessed 1,800. She was at 3,000. Not one had an abnormal metabolism. Every single one had a tracking problem. Studies actually show people underestimate their daily calorie intake by 20–50%, with the gap widest among those who need accuracy most. People are not broken, but their tracking is. Fix that and the math takes care of itself.

This is actually quite amazing - Anthropic no longer offer a reasoning model! (On phone at least)

Anthropic have turned thinking off completely (on phone at least). Opus 4.7 NEVER thinks, since some point in April. I pay for the Max plan. What am I paying for?

@aswren I wonder if these estimates are based not on “profit” but on what people have heard about how much senior execs are paid. NHS vs supermarkets makes sense then

People are calling the public dumb. As a common man defender I want to point out that, like with estimates of 100x more illegal migrants this is pointing to *something*. Supermarkets seem very well managed, so profit margin 50%, whereas the NHS…

@romanhelmetguy I think he was saying something like: Homer may well have being using this word to suggest Odysseus was complicated in the way some diseases are complicated. So first, really? And second, if that is true then this translation completely strips that connotation.

You've really got to read this whole exchange to understand how funny this is. I promise it's worth it. This guy's a professor and can't even read a dictionary. They're all this dumb or dishonest btw.