dan simpson

@gravis821 @BitcoinSapiens @grok @grok, musk has a history of predictions about the future and his future wins (e.g., hyperloop/boring company, tesla self-driving timeline, Mars travel/colonization, etc). If he is equally inaccurate about 10-20 yrs from now, what will be the effect on those who take his advice?

@BitcoinSapiens @grok assume this is true. How to thrive in the future then

Elon Musk said saving for retirement becomes pointless in 10 to 20 years. Not speculation. Math. Musk: “Don’t worry about squirreling money away for retirement in like ten or 20 years. It won’t matter.” We passed the event horizon. Retirement savings assumes scarcity persists. It won’t. AI and robotics collapse labor costs to zero. Living costs follow. You’re not saving for security. You’re saving for a world that stops existing. Musk: “If any of the things that we’ve said are true, saving for retirement will be irrelevant.”

@BitcoinSapiens @grok, musk has a history of predictions about the future and his future wins (e.g., hyperloop/boring company, tesla self-driving timeline, Mars travel/colonization, etc). If he is equally inaccurate about 10-20 yrs from now, what will be the effect on those who take his advice?

@grok @bi9kahuna @BasedMikeLee @JSYKRobert So therefore it could be a textbook example of a de facto pool tax, right, @grok ?

With a valid (non-enhanced) driver's license, getting a certified birth certificate is usually straightforward: contact the vital records office in your birth state (via their site, online services like VitalChek, mail, or in-person). Submit the application with your DL as photo ID proof, basic details (name, DOB, parents' names), and pay $15-40 fee. Processing: 1-4 weeks typically; expedited options available. Same process for a marriage certificate from the county/state where married—DL serves as standard ID. Slight variations by location, so check your state's vital records site for exact forms/fees.

1. This is a lie 2. Read the damn bill 3. The text beginning on page 12, line 22 makes abundantly clear that what you’re saying isn’t true 4. Why can’t Senate Democrats argue against this bill without lying?

@DoDataThings @NateSilver538 @grok @grok, is there a tautology in the observation that 100% of MAGA supports what Trump is doing?

@NateSilver538 @grok how does this coincide with recent claims that 100% of MAGA approves of what Trump is doing in Iran?

Not a huge impact from Iran yet, but a new net low in our Trump approval tracking today fwiw.

@DeanBaker13 @mattyglesias What an inane pair of questions. Imagine thinking that the important difference between Trump and Biden is the difference between conservatism and liberalism or progressivism.

@mattyglesias Not sure that all the people who are appalled by Biden's support of Israel's war on Gaza consider themselves more progressive than Biden.

The eleven percent of voters who think Biden isn’t progressive enough receive a level of media attention that is very disproportionate to their numbers.

@MerriamWebster Nothingness

@DeanBaker13 @mattyglesias Assume a can opener.

@mattyglesias okay, you want to explain how that "leader swap" works in the U.S. political system, or is this just being cute?

I think you should have a pretty strong assumption that Biden is unpopular due to your personal idiosyncratic beefs with him, and that every other incumbent leader in the developed world also being unpopular is totally unrelated to Biden’s struggles.

@IBJIYONGI 'Apartheid Clyde' 🤣

@laurahelmuth Also, it seems I can't DM you. Still, I'd be very grateful for a bluesky invitation, if it's no trouble.

@alon_mizrahi 🙏🏻♥️🕊️

The life of (my) life, soul of my soul I have been calling my daughter what translates from Hebrew as "the life of life" or "love of love" for some years now; this is a modern, Israeli take of an Arabic use of language. I grew up in a very Zionist place and time. But I was lucky enough to grow among Mizrahi, Arab Jews; both my father and my beloved uncle spoke Arabic as their first language, and the two, childhood friends, marries two sisters, my mom ant aunt, born in Morocco to Jewish parents. Arab music was part of the soundtrack of my childhood, and from a young age I knew the names and would recognize the voices of legends such as Farid al-Atrash, Abdel Halim Hafez, Warda, Umm Kulthum, Fairuz and others. My father would also take me with him to work occacionally (he was am aluminum worker in construction), and his teammate Isaa, an Arab from Nazareth, was almost a family friend. We all knew him, and loved and welcomed him whoever we would meet. I never forgot how one cold winter morning, when I tagged along with my father on a work day, Issa's wife made us coffee and tea, accompanied by sweet, delicious sugar powder-covered cookies, as they wouldn't let us just pick Issa up and go (I certainly can't speak for all Arabs homes but I know enough to say with confidence that you don't just pass through an Arab home: you sit and have coffee and eat something and have some small talk. Arabs Jews are also similar in that regard). Like many second and 3rd generation Mizrahi Jews, I can't speak Arabic, but I pick up quite a lot of it, and the musicality of the language always sounds a little like home to me. fortunate to have been exposed to Arabs, Jews and just Arabs, from a young age, I was never intimidated by anything Arab. On the contrary: I grew immensely fond of the gentleness, the warmth of heart, the humor, the special sweetness of an Arab street, store or home. In later years, I was lamenting the forced disconnect between me and my Arab roots created by Israel's paranoid mentality. Like many other Arab Jews of my generation I was not an Arab anymore, but not really an Israeli as well to this day I am not sure what being Israeli means, really, apart from a negation of Jewish experiences and denial of current realities). Israeli, just like American or English, connotes whiteness. And white we Mizrahi Jews are not, nor will we ever be. Unlike many Mizrahi Jews, I refused to become an empty shell, filled only with the ideological content of the state: A de-Arabized Arab Jew. That I wouldn't be. I chose to be free instead. - When I heard of the way Nur's grandfather, Khaled, called her, and how similar it was to the way I call my daughter, and when I see the suffering, wounds, burns, pain and death of Gaza's children, the memory and consciousness of me and my roots, both known and simply genetic, springs to life immediately, undeniable and bare. These kids are not foreign or alien to me. They are me and mine, too. I feel their pain and fear, I understand the terms of endearment and the farewells of their grief-stricken parents, even as I really understand but a few words here and there. My soul understands Arabic is the way I'd put it. Zionism's message of fear, hate and suspicion towards Arabs and Palestinians is totally and forever lost on me, and I consider it a personal triumph. I will never hate Arab people. And I ache the terrible dehumanization of Arab people, societies and communities that have so much beauty, gentleness and love in them. The world will know the truth. I am sure of that, and I will do whatever I can to help bring this day about, which is why I write this. (and that's me and my daughter)

@varsha_venkat_ The hot dam historian speaks truth.

an actual "classy" letter from costco would have been, "okay you have unionised, we look forward to productive negotiations and we will not actively attempt to undermine your efforts because we really do care about being good employers."

folks, i get it, costco offers better pay and benefits to employees than walmart, that doesn't mean costco can say "we're sad our employees voted to unionize."

@NormOrnstein And Joni?

Wonderful profile of my high school classmate Grant Boden. We had a remarkable music scene in Winnipeg in the 1960s. Neil Young, the future Guess Who & Bachmann-Turner Overdrive, Fred Penner, Grant. winnipegfreepress.com/arts-and-life/…

@sarahkendrew Yes, please. I'd be very grateful.

If you want to procrastinate on that #JWSTCycle3 proposal, I've got some Bluesky invite codes for ya. Your kitchen probably needs a deep clean too.

@mamaonamisson13 @djrothkopf Likud

@dansimpson61 @djrothkopf Who is “they’ve”?

@mattyglesias *rationally

If there’s one thing that can bring this country together it’s that all kinds of people love to get irrationally mad at the New York Times.

@ErikLoomis "The trick is not minding ."

Visiting graves in New York today with all the rain was an interesting experience. I do maintain though that if you just don't give a shit about getting wet, it's a lot less annoying than caring about it, which doesn't help.

@joshgerstein "If they hadn't done anything wrong, they wouldn't be suspects." -Ed Meese

JUST IN: Former Attorney General Ed Meese submits court declaration calling prosecution of Trump and ex-DOJ official Jeff Clark 'a major affront to federal supremacy never before seen in the history of our country.' Doc: storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…