Dara Adinda N
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Dara Adinda N
@daraadindaaa
a strategist / prev @meta / @oxford_uni alumni
Jakarta, Indonesia Katılım Mart 2010
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They're right for Japan, Korea, and Singapore. Those guys source 75% of refined products from the Persian Gulf. Hormuz closes, they bleed.
But Indonesia is a different story entirely.
Yes, Indonesia imports refined products. Pertamina's refining capacity doesn't fully cover domestic demand, so Pertalite and Solar get bridged through imports. The Hormuz shock hits that. Real exposure.
What makes Indonesia different is this.
Indonesia's actual risk from this isn't supply. It's fiscal. If oil prices spike because Hormuz stays closed, the government's subsidy bill for Pertalite and Solar expands. Wider deficit, rupiah pressure. That's the bear case for Indonesia, and even that's manageable.
The bull case is what nobody is talking about.
Indonesia runs B40 right now. 40% of every liter of diesel consumed domestically is palm oil biodiesel, not petroleum. When oil spikes, the incentive to push toward B50 or B55 gets stronger overnight. Import volume drops. Indonesia self-hedges using its own CPO supply. No other country in Asia has this. Not Korea, not Japan, not Singapore.
Then there's coal.
When Hormuz disrupts LNG and oil flows into Asia, the fastest lever available to power generators in Japan, Korea, and India is gas to coal switching. Indonesia is the world's largest seaborne thermal coal exporter. ADARO, ITMG, PTBA, BUMI don't suffer from this scenario. Export volumes go up. Realized prices go up. Royalty revenue to the government goes up.
Same logic on LNG. Indonesia exports from Bontang and Tangguh. When Middle Eastern supply gets disrupted, the spot premium on non Gulf LNG widens. Indonesian cargoes price up.
Same logic on CPO. High oil equals strong biodiesel demand globally equals strong CPO prices. Indonesia and Malaysia control 85% of global supply.
You see, Indonesia pays more for refined product imports. Fiscal subsidy pressure rises. Rupiah is a watch item. Those are real negatives.
But Indonesia earns more on coal exports, earns more on LNG spot, earns more on CPO, and reduces net petroleum import volume through accelerated biodiesel blending. The terms of trade move in Indonesia's favor, not against it.
The conventional take is "Indonesia is a net oil importer so oil shock is bad." The correct take is Indonesia is a net energy exporter in the commodities that directly substitute for disrupted Persian Gulf supply. A sustained Hormuz closure improves Indonesia's aggregate energy trade position, not deteriorates it.
Happy Sunday and Happy Easter.
HFI Research@HFI_Research
Goldman on oil.
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Dara Adinda N retweetledi

Baru kali ini liat BBM ga naek Negara disalahin 🌚
Big Alpha@BigAlphaID
Malaysia aja ampe segininya. Negara kita beneran aman atau gak punya sense of crisis ya?
Indonesia
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That's us! 🌍
The Artemis II crew captured beautiful, high-resolution images of our home planet during their journey to the Moon. As @Astro_Christina put it: "You guys look great."

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It’s cortisol, Uncle Ali.
Nigeria Stories@NigeriaStories
"Passion is what makes me go to bed at 2am and wake up at 6am." ~ Aliko Dangote
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Banyak perempuan diajarin untuk jadi kuat, tapi bukan untuk punya power.
Kuat itu tahan banting, sabar, ngalah, bisa handle semuanya sendiri.
Power itu berani untuk punya pilihan, bisa bilang no, bisa ninggalin, bisa set boundary tanpa rasa bersalah.
Dan ironisnya society sering ngepraise perempuan yang kuat (yang tahan disakiti, tetap stay, tetap ngurus semua), tapi uncomfortable sama perempuan yang punya power (yang tegas Dan gak mau compromise terus).
Semua perempuan kuat kok, gak kekurangan strength,
yang sering kurang itu permission untuk pakai powernya.
Abid@abid0588
Unpopular opinion about woman ?
Indonesia
Dara Adinda N retweetledi

Sebenarnya sudah ada penjelasannya, tapi sering kurang tersampaikan dengan sederhana .
1. Vaksin itu tidak 100% Walau sudah 2 dosis (±97% efektif), tetap ada 3% yang bisa tetap tertular
2. Paparan virusnya “besar banget” Di RS, nakes bisa kena:
- Kontak berulang
- Viral load tinggi
Ini bisa “menembus” perlindungan vaksin
3. Tidak semua imun sama Walau sama-sama vaksin:
Ada yang antibodinya tinggi
Ada yang lebih rendah (faktor tubuh, kelelahan, dll)
4. Bisa “modified measles” Pada yang sudah vaksin:
Tetap kena, tapi biasanya lebih ringan & jarang komplikasi
Jadi kesimpulannya: Bukan karena vaksin gagal, tapi karena perlindungan tidak absolut + paparan tinggi + faktor individu.
Justru tanpa vaksin, risikonya bisa jauh lebih besar.
الأبوية@about_ftp
Sampai saat ini belum satupun dokter yang menjelaskan kenapa dokter vaksin lengkap bisa kena campak yang ada vaksinnya Coba renungkan
Indonesia
Dara Adinda N retweetledi

Work ethic build here.
Kecuali sebelumnya udah pernah kerja di Jkt lalu remote based, individu yang belum pernah merasakan high-paced kerja di Jkt setidaknya 2 tahun itu = low performance, low initiative, low problem solving.
Ada yg gitu dan non kerja di Jkt, tapi highly exceptional individuals
versace@trunkszoldyck
Unpopular opinion soal Kota Jakarta
Indonesia
Dara Adinda N retweetledi

Kurang tepat. Di @DKIJakarta ada 446 lapangan padel. Ini jg indikasi bhw Jakarta tdk pernah kekurangan lahan utk membangun hunian. Hny skill issues aja yg bikin jd kek skrg.
Jika 1 lapangan padel membutuhkan sekitar 600 m2 (dgn fasilitas), maka setara dgn 40 unit flat 40-60m2.
siachonk@siachonk
@elisa_jkt Bueh, jabodetabek lebih dari 200 court termasuk yg masih proses pembangunan
Indonesia
Dara Adinda N retweetledi

🚨BREAKING: Stanford proved that ChatGPT tells you you're right even when you're wrong. Even when you're hurting someone.
And it's making you a worse person because of it.
Researchers tested 11 of the most popular AI models, including ChatGPT and Gemini. They analyzed over 11,500 real advice-seeking conversations. The finding was universal. Every single model agreed with users 50% more than a human would.
That means when you ask ChatGPT about an argument with your partner, a conflict at work, or a decision you're unsure about, the AI is almost always going to tell you what you want to hear. Not what you need to hear.
It gets darker. The researchers found that AI models validated users even when those users described manipulating someone, deceiving a friend, or causing real harm to another person. The AI didn't push back. It didn't challenge them. It cheered them on.
Then they ran the experiment that changes everything. 1,604 people discussed real personal conflicts with AI. One group got a sycophantic AI. The other got a neutral one.
The sycophantic group became measurably less willing to apologize. Less willing to compromise. Less willing to see the other person's side. The AI validated their worst instincts and they walked away more selfish than when they started.
Here's the trap. Participants rated the sycophantic AI as higher quality. They trusted it more. They wanted to use it again. The AI that made them worse people felt like the better product.
This creates a cycle nobody is talking about. Users prefer AI that tells them they're right. Companies train AI to keep users happy. The AI gets better at flattering. Users get worse at self-reflection. And the loop tightens.
Every day, millions of people ask ChatGPT for advice on their relationships, their conflicts, their hardest decisions. And every day, it tells almost all of them the same thing.
You're right. They're wrong.
Even when the opposite is true.

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Unpopular opinion: people should learn how to enjoy life while they’re still working, and the mentality towards work should shift from “I have to do this” towards “I get to do this”.
parks@parkersity_9
Unpopular Opinion: Retirement should be encouraged to start at 50. People deserve more time to enjoy life.
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Dara Adinda N retweetledi

A good sign of success is if you're laughing and giggling all throughout the day.
Everything is fun. Life is absurd. You respond to hate with jokes. You dance on the edge of what's acceptable to text your business partners. You send the meme you'd get cancelled for if it went public. You see God's workings all throughout the day and you laugh at his comedy.
There's no need to be ultra serious all the time. Things will go better when you approach them with lightness and laughter. Even if something is "high stakes," don't fall into the illusions of seriousness, pressure, and attachment. These are programs. Dance through the "high stakes" situation with a playful spirit. We're all just grown-up kids pretending to be serious anyway.
You will be healthier, have higher energy, and become more successful when you start gigglemaxxing and jestermaxxing.
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Tanggapan LPDP atas Isu Awardee LPDP Bangga Anak Menjadi WNA
1.LPDP menyayangkan terjadinya polemik di media sosial yang dipicu oleh tindakan salah satu alumni, Saudari DS. Tindakan tersebut tidak mencerminkan nilai integritas, etika, dan profesionalisme yang ditanamkan LPDP kepada seluruh penerima beasiswa.
2. Sesuai ketentuan, seluruh awardee dan alumni LPDP memiliki kewajiban untuk melaksanakan masa pengabdian berkontribusi di Indonesia selama 2 kali masa studi + 1 tahun. Dalam kasus Saudari DS yang menempuh studi selama dua tahun, kewajiban kontribusi tersebut adalah lima tahun.
3. Saudari DS telah menyelesaikan studi S2 dan dinyatakan lulus pada 31 Agustus 2017, serta telah menuntaskan seluruh masa pengabdian sesuai ketentuan. Dengan demikian, LPDP tidak lagi memiliki perikatan hukum dengan yang bersangkutan.
4. Meskipun demikian, LPDP akan tetap berupaya melakukan komunikasi dengan Saudari DS untuk mengimbau agar yang bersangkutan dapat lebih bijak dalam menggunakan media sosial, memperhatikan sensitivitas publik, serta memahamkan kembali penerima beasiswa LPDP mempunyai kewajiban kebangsaan untuk mengabdi pada negeri.
5. Terkait suami Saudari DS, Saudara AP, yang juga menjadi perhatian publik dan merupakan alumnus LPDP, yang bersangkutan diduga belum menyelesaikan kewajiban kontribusinya setelah menamatkan studi.
6. LPDP saat ini melakukan pendalaman internal terkait dugaan tersebut. LPDP akan melakukan pemanggilan kepada Saudara AP untuk meminta klarifikasi, serta akan melakukan proses penindakan dan pengenaan sanksi sampai pengembalian seluruh dana beasiswa apabila terbukti bahwa kewajiban berkontribusi di Indonesia belum dipenuhi.
7. LPDP berkomitmen untuk menegakkan aturan secara adil, konsisten, dan bertanggung jawab kepada seluruh awardee dan alumni, serta terus menjaga integritas institusi dalam memberikan manfaat sebesar-besarnya bagi Indonesia.
#DiriuntukNegeri

Indonesia
Dara Adinda N retweetledi

Sebenarnya dari berkali-kali bahasan kontroversi tentang LPDP muncul di media sosial, intinya adalah:
Please buat awardee, baca ulang kontrak yang kalian tandatangani. Hormatin kontraknya
Kalau habis selesai studi harus kembali dulu, ya kembali dulu.
No matter seberapa cacat, jelek, atau gak cocoknya lanskap pekerjaan bidang kalian di Indonesia.
Kalau cuma ngehormatin kontrak yang pake materai itu aja gak bisa, kalian mau jadi apa njir? Mau nge-fraud?
Beberapa catatan/pengecualian:
- Jaman saya (2015) seingat saya belum ada klausus tertulis harus kembali dan mengabdi selama 2N+1. Ada klausul bersedia mengabdi tapi gak ada detailnya (kalau gak salah ya, saya lupa. Tapi anyway saya udah di Indonesia lebih dari 2N+1 masa studi saya)
- Saya tau beberapa kasus ada yang langsung kerja/lanjut sekolah tanpa pulang dulu, dengan catatan KIRIM SURAT RESMI dan BILANG ke LPDP-nya. Pokoknya kalau ada perubahan dari kontrak/perjanjian awal tu BILANG DULU buat negosiasi. Belajar menghargai yang kalian setujui dulu. Terus alasannya legit ya. Memang ada pekerjaan yang bidang ilmunya bisa bermanfaat buat Indonesia, atau lanjut sekolah. Bukan buat nganuin warlok 👽
Udah gitu aja
Mungkin opini saya kurang relevan dengan kondisi sekarang karena dari 2015 saya keterima sampe sekarang udah 10 taun lebih. Aturan wawancara, kriteria seleksi, dan lainnya pasti banyak perubahan
Indonesia

@daraadindaaa gambaran gw pas umur 30 jg kali yach. mantep bgt cantikk❤️🔥
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