DarrowRising

@kyledoops You sold at 97k and most likely will buy back at same level or higher. You’ve been messing around with wheat trades in between which gets you nowhere in the scheme of things

🚨 Trump turned up the heat on Iran He says: • The new deal is likely unacceptable • Strikes could resume • And he wants to eliminate the remaining missile capabilities This could mark the start of a more aggressive phase.

@ShaykhSulaiman Shut up ffs @BeatrixKiddo542

@TheFomoFactoryX You’re not getting any simple points on this. Sample size isn’t number of charts with different random indicators..sample size is the historical data points/patterns on a single chart, in this case 3 which is utterly pointless, dangerous and shows nothing

@darrowrising85 Replies to only 1 chart "YoU 0nlY UsE 0NE ChaRT" 1 tweet isn't the entire sample size dude. That's simply all you choose to reply to.

Historically, whenever we broke the 150 weekly moving average, bear markets have confirmed to be over.

@TheFomoFactoryX Seriously..read a maths book! What happened to the m2 charts that you lot were saying btc was following..it ended up devoting because the it was overfit to historic data, not even using timeframes that made sense as a comparison..same will happen to ism..its statistics

The 4-year crypto cycle is one of the most repeated narratives in this market. It's also wrong. Two peaks. Three years apart. The OTHERS index — every coin outside the top 10 — topped December 2021 and again December 2024. Three years, not four. The macro driver nobody discusses is ISM Manufacturing New Orders. Every Bitcoin top since 2011 has lined up with an ISM peak. Every bottom with an ISM bottom. Halvings don't drive crypto returns. Liquidity does. ISM is the proxy. I ran 4,569 historical 90-day Bitcoin windows through a similarity engine. The single closest match to today's price action is November 2022 — the FTX-week bear-market bottom. My invalidation is public: if October 2026 produces a fresh bottom, the 4-year camp wins and I update on camera. Until then I'm sized half in alts, half in cash. Are you still trading the 4-year cycle, or have you found a better framework? youtu.be/e3SQmToZC3Y?si…

@TheFomoFactoryX lol!! That’s my point. No statistician would use this small sample size and one variable to try and make point about the future, but crypto bros like you seem to do it endlessly to fit a narrative. Research statistical bias and overfittting and then tell me this is still valid

@darrowrising85 Bias is made by these indicators, not the other way around.

@DonAlt Ignoring the lines and looking at structure though, if this was a 15 min chart, surely you’d see more probability from here for the lower high and continue downtrend?

$BTC Seems kind of alright to me Not bad, not great Decent reaction to support having been hit, resistance kinda meh from here on out Might just have to give it some time

@Carolinakeith_1 @WatcherGuru Stables 🤦‍♂️ what a waste of time. I sold out of crypto to buy stocks mid last year and added on recent dip..you’ve just lost more money to inflation by waiting for crypto to come back and miss the stock market recovery!

@darrowrising85 @WatcherGuru The last 2, but I dont do calls brother. Just charts. Been in stables, where you been? Agreement isn't required, but appreciate it regardless.

JUST IN: Bitcoin falls under $76,000

@Carolinakeith_1 @WatcherGuru Don’t think probabilities on your side anymore. When was the last top or bottom you called within a few months of accuracy like this? ‘Maths’ is broken

@WatcherGuru Bottom in oct- nov, wasting time till then. Get ready peeps!

@WOLF_Financial @StockMKTNewz It’s called buy the appsolute top on any stock

@StockMKTNewz What app is that?

This is what Wall Street currently says about the stocks in my portfolio 👀

@StockMKTNewz lol!! Wall Street wants you to buy the tops which you do a lot of. Is bmnr still your biggest position? 🤦‍♂️

@StocksOnSpaces @StockMKTNewz remember when Evan was jumping in that leveraged eth nonsense stock at the top of the market..and still has been able to pivot from crypto..does he learn nothing from his guests??

@tradergeo_yt Alts? Who said anything about alts? You were talking about btc 🤦‍♂️🤔.

@darrowrising85 Well then I guess I’m the idiot that didn’t lose 90% of my wealth in alts!

For 2 years I've been saying the cycle is broken because $BTC took all time high pre halving BTC has also revisited its price at the time of the inauguration for first time in history further confirming my thesis that the cycle is broken

@Tradermayne Dungeon crawler Carl..especially if you game. Sun eater for epic storytelling but not as fast paced as red. Malazan for epic modern fantasy

Just finished book 4 of the the Red Rising series. Aggressively pushing them on my friends and family. Get me a ref link Pierce. Please give me some suggestions for similarly good books. I'll be done the 2nd trilogy in a couple weeks MAX.

@TonyRovere @Dagnum_PI Only because you have no choice..it wasn’t the smart choice though was it

@Dagnum_PI Excellently put. If you have been here this long, just be patient...

$DAG sucks right now. I'll say it. Down bad. No volume. Everyone's quiet. Here's why I'm still here. 🧵

@Dagnum_PI Utter nonsense. Try correlating the price of any alts vs date when any infrastructure was actually released or used..there isn’t one..unsustainable spikes at most which makes them awful investments and just gambling

I won't tell you when to buy or what price does next. But I've been in this space long enough to know what it looks like when infrastructure gets built before the market figures out it needs it. This is that. Be patient.

@SimonDixonTwitt @SecScottBessent @USTreasury How much actual new money is printed..it’s not a lot. It just moves around

TRANSLATION. If you sell your bonds & shares US markets break. We’d rather take your currency as collateral and print more dollars. It’s our only choice, as we burden Americans with more debt. We need to extract as much value from stocks and bonds for the transnational financial industrial complex whilst we can.

Discussions with countries, including our Gulf and Asian allies, about U.S. dollar swap lines are part of ongoing, routine conversations that @USTreasury has been having with our partners over a number of years. They are a testament to the U.S. dollar’s primacy and the strength of America’s economic shield. Additional swap lines can benefit our nation by reinforcing dollar usage and liquidity internationally, maintaining smooth functioning in dollar funding markets, promoting trade and investment with the United States, and, in hypothetical stress scenarios, preventing disorderly sales of U.S. assets as well as disruptions to U.S. markets, businesses, and households. Many of these countries have pristine sovereign balance sheets and large dollar holdings – larger than many major economies with whom we maintain permanent swap facilities. I applaud our allies’ foresight and watchful risk management by exploring additional financial buffers during periods of market quiescence. Extending permanent swap lines can be a major first step in creating new U.S. dollar funding centers in the Gulf and Asia. Dollar dominance and reserve currency status are strengthened by constant long-term initiatives, including countering the growth of problematic, alternative payment systems. Under @POTUS, this is American Economic Leadership at work.

@kyledoops Doesn’t change the fact defi has no real world adoption or the risks inherent. It’s a coordinated effort to limit the impact it has on their own platforms before they lose even more investors..nothing more

This might be a turning point for DeFi… After the rsETH incident it’s not just one protocol reacting Mantle stepping in with 30,000 ETH Lido considering support $AAVE coordinating recovery So this isn’t isolated anymore It’s protocols moving together That’s new Not just code but coordination under pressure Feels closer to a system than a set of apps Question is does this strengthen trust or expose how dependent things really are

@StocksOnSpaces @stocktalkweekly ramp for build out hasn’t started yet. How many companies rather than individuals do you know that are actually using models for their full capabilities on current models..they haven’t worked out how to use it, govern it, deploy it, adopt it..nowhere near