DataFox

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DataFox

DataFox

@datafox21

Grew up poor farm kid, Self Taught AI/ML, Now AI Leader Here to find asymmetric life friends & investments Tweets: Markets, Sports History, Health

Dallas, TX Katılım Nisan 2011
879 Takip Edilen3.6K Takipçiler
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DataFox
DataFox@datafox21·
$BTC Price Update We've gotten a little bit of a bounce from the recent low of 81K to 91K (12%) so it is time to break out the bullish vibes? Well, historically, any time [except March 2020, COVID] we've had 2 weekly closes below the 50W SMA that was the sign of the bear market. In the interim, it's important to note that each time there was a retouch the 50W SMA at some point soon, and if history rhymes that'll be late Jan 2026. So some hopium if you're hoping to exit at a higher price before history says we most likely drop to 35-45K. And for that bottom. For those looking to buy at "the bottom", timing has often been pretty consistent in BTC's history and that time would likely be sometime around Dec 2026.
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healthbot
healthbot@thehealthb0t·
The secret to living to 100? HIGH CHOLESTEROL A massive Swedish study tracking over 800,000 people for 35 years just revealed: Every single centenarian had HIGH total cholesterol. The higher your LDL, the longer you live.
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Jason Goepfert
Jason Goepfert@jasongoepfert·
Today will be the 2nd consecutive day the S&P 500 $SPY closes at a record high, with more than 4% of its stocks hitting 52-week lows. Anyone wanna guess the only other time in 100 years this has happened?
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DataFox
DataFox@datafox21·
@LukeGromen So you’re saying Bond markets are entirely based on verbal sentiment nothing actually of substance?
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Luke Gromen
Luke Gromen@LukeGromen·
"Professor, don't you find it curious that a new US-Iran peace deal leaks almost every time the 10y UST yield breaks 4.4% on the upside?" "Actually, if I think about it, I don't find it curious at all."
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Simplifying AI
Simplifying AI@simplifyinAI·
Google just put a 2029 expiration date on Bitcoin's cryptography. And it is so dangerous they are refusing to publish the code. We thought a quantum attack on crypto was decades away and it would take millions of qubits and massive computing power. But we were wrong.. Google Quantum AI just dropped a paper proving you don't need a futuristic supercomputer to break the elliptic curve cryptography that secures Bitcoin and Ethereum. You only need 1,200 logical qubits. That is a 20-fold reduction in the hardware previously thought necessary to crack the network. Here is the terrifying part: When you send Bitcoin, your public key is exposed in the "mempool" for about 10 minutes before the transaction is confirmed in a block. Google’s researchers compiled a quantum circuit that can theoretically derive your private key from that exposed public key in roughly 9 minutes. It takes the dreaded "mempool attack" and turns it into a mathematical reality. Now, take a deep breath. Existing crypto is not dead today. Google did not actually execute this hack. The physical hardware required to run this circuit (roughly 500,000 physical qubits) does not exist yet. Today's best quantum computers are only hovering around 1,000 physical qubits. But the math is officially solved and Google just proved exactly how to build the key.
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John Arnold
John Arnold@johnarnold·
Many years ago I hurt my knee playing sports. I was referred to the orthopedist for one of the local pro teams. After keeping me waiting for 2.5 hours, he diagnosed a cartilage tear and recommended surgery. I was so mad at his manner and tardiness I left without scheduling. The next week I got a second opinion from a much younger doc who was likely more current on the recent medical literature. He looked at the same MRI. He said he could do surgery now but his advice was to wait 30 days and see if it healed on its own. It did. Medical reversal is when a practice that became widely used is later shown to be ineffective or even harmful. Examples like meniscus surgery show the need to keep gathering evidence. A not immaterial part of the practice of modern medicine doesn't improve health, and may be net harmful.
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Kevin C. Smith, CFA
Kevin C. Smith, CFA@crescatkevin·
Free cash flow race to the bottom.
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Financelot
Financelot@FinanceLancelot·
"We've never seen a 50% rally in the semiconductors in 15 sessions. 50%!" "We've only seen something like that before, and it was literally in March of 2000. Right before the top." Fresh 🥐 crumbs from @jam_croissant
Financelot@FinanceLancelot

The Nasdaq $NDX breakout began today. The speed of this rally is absolutely insane, likely getting us back to the trendline by next week. The question is what happens when we get there? The 25 year parabolic is curling backward in time.

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Codify
Codify@CodifyBaseball·
How Often MLB Starters Pitched 7+ Innings: 1988: 48% 1989: 44% 1990: 41% 1991: 42% 1992: 44% 1993: 41% 1994: 41% 1995: 37% 1996: 37% 1997: 38% 1998: 38% 1999: 34% 2000: 36% 2001: 34% 2002: 35% 2003: 33% 2004: 32% 2005: 35% 2006: 31% 2007: 29% 2008: 29% 2009: 29% 2010: 34% 2011: 34% 2012: 30% 2013: 31% 2014: 31% 2015: 29% 2016: 23% 2017: 19% 2018: 18% 2019: 16% 2020: 11% 2021: 13% 2022: 14% 2023: 12% 2024: 13% 2025: 11% 2026: 9%
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Samantha LaDuc
Samantha LaDuc@SamanthaLaDuc·
Has anyone pulled out from $GOOGL earnings the AI as a business vs investment? Google put $3B into Anthropic in 2023 worth $112B on paper now. Their $1B SpaceX bet from 2015 is now worth $107B on paper now. Just askin'
shirish@shiri_shh

Google just reported $62.6 BILLION in quarterly profit… but HALF came from a $37.7B 'paper gain' on private investments in companies like SpaceX and Anthropic. The reason their VC funding team is top-tier

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Sid Prabhu
Sid Prabhu@sidprabhu·
Congrats to Jerome Powell for missing the 2% YoY inflation target for the last 60 months of his tenure as Chair, including his entire second term. 🐐
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Charlie Bilello
Charlie Bilello@charliebilello·
Jerome Powell held 63 press conference as Fed chairman and over that time there wasn't a single question about the 40% money supply spike in 2020-21 or $18 trillion increase in the national debt during his tenure as the root causes of inflation. That's either unbelievable incompetence on the part of the most renowned financial journalists in the business or questioning/dissent is not allowed. Which is it?
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Charlie Bilello@charliebilello

The Fed expanded the money supply by nearly $9 trillion under Powell. Inflation has averaged >4% per year over the past 6 years. Powell's explanation? It was nearly all due to rolling “supply shocks" over which the Fed has no control. The truth: this inflation was made in Washington as it always is - from too much government borrowing/spending and too much government creation of money.

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Nicolas Hulscher, MPH
Nicolas Hulscher, MPH@NicHulscher·
FDA officials COVERED UP 25 COVID shot safety signals, including SUDDEN CARDIAC DEATH, HEART ATTACKS, BLOOD CLOTS, NEUROLOGICAL DAMAGE, and DEMENTIA. The senior FDA medical officer who uncovered them was ordered to “CEASE AND DESIST.” FDA leadership called her work a “major distraction.” Dr. Ana Szarfman developed a superior VAERS analysis system that fixed “masking”… but they SHUT HER DOWN and BURIED IT.
Senator Ron Johnson@SenRonJohnson

Today, I released a report showing that Biden health officials knew that safety signals for COVID-19 injection injuries were being hidden by their VAERS analytic algorithm. They were shown an updated algorithm that signaled serious adverse events, but they refused to use it. Their cover-up jeopardized the health of millions of Americans. Read my interim report and see the records here:

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DataFox
DataFox@datafox21·
@benjamincowen Why? He and Yellen put us in the worst possible situation in modern history.
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Benjamin Cowen
Benjamin Cowen@benjamincowen·
In a couple years, you will probably look back and wish Powell was still chair of the Federal Reserve.
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DataFox
DataFox@datafox21·
The problem is that if you buy the S&P at this current valuation, the 10-year forward return is negative when you buy the S&P with a PE of 22. That's what history shows.
Patrick OShaughnessy@patrick_oshag

Paul Tudor Jones says the US is more dependent on equity prices than ever, and explains what a 35% correction would trigger in the economy: "We're 252% of stock market cap to GDP. In 1929 we were 65%. In 1987 we got to ~85-90%. In 2000, 170%. If you think about the periodicity of significant bear markets. Since 1970, we get a mean reversion about every 10 years. Let's say mean revert to the past 25 or 30-year PE. That would be a 30, 35% decline. Well, 35% on 250% of GDP is 80, 90% of GDP. 10% of our tax revenues are capital gains, they go to zero. So you can see the budget deficit blowing up. You can see the bond market getting smoked. You can see this kind of negative self-reinforcing effect. In the stock market, we're over-equitized as a country. We have the highest individual equity weightings in the history of the country. And then the real problem is if you look at private equity in 2007-2008, that was about 7% of institutional portfolios. Now it's about 16% of the institutional portfolios. We're so much more illiquid than we were in 2008. The problem is that if you buy the S&P at this current valuation, the 10-year forward return is negative when you buy the S&P with a PE of 22. That's what history shows. So yes, the S&P is spectacular long-term, if you have a hundred-year view. But that's because that's an average of a hundred years, including times when the S&P 500 PE was 6, 7 and 8, or one third of what it is right now. Valuation matters a lot, and the stock market's really high and it's gonna be really hard to make money from here with any kind of long-term view."

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Brandon Luu, MD
Brandon Luu, MD@BrandonLuuMD·
No matter how terrible you feel, sometimes the best move is to laugh it off. A single laughter session can drop cortisol by over 30%.
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Dividendology
Dividendology@dividendology·
S&P 500 returns since 2009: 2009: 🟢 +22.57% 2010: 🟢 +13.24% 2011: 🟢 +0.97% 2012: 🟢 +14.23% 2013: 🟢 +29.08% 2014: 🟢 +14.69% 2015: 🟢 +1.40% 2016: 🟢 +13.67% 2017: 🟢 +20.80% 2018: 🔴 -5.18% 2019: 🟢 +31.32% 2020: 🟢 +17.40% 2021: 🟢 +30.63% 2022: 🔴 -18.63% 2023: 🟢 +26.79% 2024: 🟢 +25.73% 2025: 🟢 +18.14% 2026: 🟢 +4.98% Can we really expect this level of growth over the next 17 years?
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Mushtaq Bilal, PhD
Mushtaq Bilal, PhD@MushtaqBilalPhD·
Students who take notes by hand get better grades than those who use laptops, especially in STEM fields.
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John Birch Society
John Birch Society@The_JBS·
The 57 Republicans who voted No on the amendment to STOP the government from controlling your car. Mark E. Amodei (NV) Don Bacon (NE) Stephanie Bice (OK) Gus Bilirakis (FL) Mike Bost (IL) Ken Calvert (CA) John R. Carter (TX) Tom Cole (OK) Mario Diaz-Balart (FL) Neal Dunn (FL) Chuck Edwards (NC) Jake Ellzey (TX) Randy Feenstra (IA) Randy Fine (FL) Brian Fitzpatrick (PA) Chuck Fleischmann (TN) Vince Fong (CA) Andrew Garbarino (NY) Carlos A. Gimenez (FL) French Hill (AR) Jeff Hurd (CO) Brian Jack (GA) John James (MI) David Joyce (OH) Thomas Kean Jr. (NJ) Mike Kelly (PA) Jen Kiggans (VA) Kevin Kiley (CA) Young Kim (CA) Kimberlyn King-Hinds (MP – Northern Mariana Islands) Darin LaHood (IL) Nick LaLota (NY) Mike Lawler (NY) Frank Lucas (OK) Nicole Malliotakis (NY) Celeste Maloy (UT) Brian Mast (FL) Dan Meuser (PA) Max Miller (OH) Mariannette Miller-Meeks (IA) Tim Moore (NC) Blake Moore (UT) James Moylan (GU – Guam) Greg Murphy (NC) Dan Newhouse (WA) Zach Nunn (IA) Hal Rogers (KY) Maria Elvira Salazar (FL) Mike Simpson (ID) Elise Stefanik (NY) Glenn Thompson (PA) Mike Turner (OH) David Valadao (CA) Derrick Van Orden (WI) Rob Wittman (VA) Steve Womack (AR) Ryan Zinke (MT)
Pubity@pubity

Every new car in the U.S. will be required by law to have tech that puts constant surveillance on the driver by 2027. AI in your car will determine if you're sober and fit to drive, automatically turning off the vehicle if it determines you're a danger on the road.

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DataFox
DataFox@datafox21·
@FinanceLancelot @grok fear mongering aside what is this interview with Eric Weinstein? Who was he referring to in terms of the next 18 months was it having nothing to do with the big changes of AI in terms of employment? Who was the interviewer?
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Financelot
Financelot@FinanceLancelot·
We have 18 months left and nobody is prepared.
Financelot@FinanceLancelot

A prolonged war with Iran does appear to be the goal here for many reasons. 1) We're breaking apart the global supply chains into multiple isolated trade blocks. Asia, Europe and the Americas. By destroying Europe through energy shortages it gives rise to Israel as the regional power. 2) We're seeing vast youth unemployment due to many factors like automation and AI. What do you do with so many unemployed? Send them to war. 3) We're at the top of the largest housing, stock market and private credit bubbles of all time. 2008 was just housing, 2001 was stocks. Today it's everything, just like 1929. 4) They need to fundamentally change the economic system so it is designed to function with AI. That's what Technocracy is all about. It will also involve merging the Treasury and Federal Reserve. 5) The interest payments on government debt is now unsustainable. They need to get the Treasuries out of circulation through some kind-of engineered global sovereign debt crisis. 6) The era of cheap debt is over. Now rates move upward in waves in this new 40 year cycle. 7) The global economy is at the end of a 100 year cycle. That's typically when large economic resets occur. 8) Institutional collapse is part of the plan to concentrate power among the Tech titans instead of the bankers. That's Technocracy. 9) Global energy and food shortages are the perfect way to introduce a CBDC, through lockdowns and rationing. 10) This is the last war that can be fought with humans. All future wars will be robots and AI, making them pointless. If we are entering a 100 year mini ice age, war is the perfect way to eliminate some of the global population and get people used to centrally controlled supply chains.

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