DataGaffer

We’ve officially launched our new NEC Index. ✅ No paywall (FREE) ✅ 327 teams ranked ✅ Updated every matchday Named after 🇳🇱 NEC Nijmegen — one of the most enjoyable, attack-driven teams in Europe — this rating measures a team’s true offensive identity and scoring environment. NEC blends: • Shot volume • Goal production • High-total match tendencies • Real betting performance (Over & team total history) Find teams for FREE —-> datagaffer.com

@tuckers35 VAR will always be a negative to this sport. Just get rid of it.

I’ve had enough of football Ive had enough of inept officials on the pitch and in the VAR VAR state that its handball Ref over rules and says it’s a perfectly good goal The game is officially gone

Congrats to NEC! 👏 Well deserved — the most entertaining team in Europe this season. At a time where defensive football feels like it’s taking over, NEC showed that attacking football can still lead to the best season in club history. Massive credit to @dickschreuder. What a manager.

🇪🇸 La Liga projected scores after 10,000 simulations 📊 • Barcelona 2.80 - 0.97 Real Betis • Sevilla 1.31 - 1.67 Real Madrid • Atletico 1.86 - 0.92 Girona Highest projected total: Barcelona vs Betis — 3.77 goals ⚽

Over 9.5 Corner Insights 📈 Strong matchup trends for corners today. Example: 🇳🇱 PSV vs high pressing teams (75th percentile PPDA) this season: Over 9.5 corners — 6/6 (100%) There playing Twente who is 75th percentile in PPDA. datagaffer.com

@bdevita14 It’s embarrassing

@datagaffer I’d say it is shite. So sad how we spent all this money poorly

Our front 3 right now is Garnacho, Delap, Neto.

@datagaffer What game we watching gaffer

Probability Score 📊 After 10,000 simulations, these are the matches most likely to produce goals. Probability Score combines: • Over 2.5 % • BTTS % • Team Total probabilities Highest goal environments today: • Gladbach vs Hoffenheim — 73.1% • Bayern vs Köln — 72.6% • Frankfurt vs Stuttgart — 69.4% • Valerenga vs Sarpsborg — 65.7% • Zurich vs Servette — 65.4% Built to identify the strongest overall attacking matchups on the slate.

@PeterManyi3 Borrusia Monchengladbach*

@datagaffer Clarification on Dortmund team please, cause it's Bremen

Today’s Matchup Trends 📈 🇩🇪 Dortmund vs Hoffenheim BTTS has hit in all 9 recent H2H meetings (9/9 — 100%) 🇩🇪 Wolfsburg vs ≤45% possession teams BTTS has hit in all 9 matches (9/9 — 100%) 🇪🇸 Racing Santander vs poor defensive efficiency teams BTTS has hit in all 9 matches (9/9 — 100%) 🇩🇪 Frankfurt vs elite attacking efficiency teams Over 2.5 goals has hit in all 14 matches (14/14 — 100%)

@LaymencapitaL Yeah I meant Gladbach

@datagaffer Think its Gladbach vs Hoffenheim gaff..

@that_boyRoland @MrK_JrMCFC @RisingStarXI I don’t think u truly understand the difference between the prem and the eredivise. Switch them around and Doku would look like cruyff, Godts would look like Garnacho.

@MrK_JrMCFC @RisingStarXI I'm a city fan who just hate being bias that's it that's me

🇧🇪🚨 𝗠𝗜𝗞𝗔 𝗚𝗢𝗗𝗧𝗦 (𝟮𝟬) HAS NOT BEEN CALLED-UP for the 2026 WORLD CUP. ✈️❌ WTFFFFFF!!!! 🤦‍♂️

Attacking xG Performance 📈 Biggest attacking overperformer right now: • Bayern Munich: +0.86 goals per match above xG Meanwhile some major clubs continue to heavily underperform their xG: • Crystal Palace: -0.49 • Chelsea: -0.36

@fmeetsdata Will Mjallby be in the champions league or playoffs ?

The dream continues! Mjällby 🇸🇪 completes the domestic double 🏆🏆 after beating Hammarby 🇸🇪 in the Cup final!

One of our highest Pace Scores ever 📈 FC Thun vs Young Boys (96.5) already has 5 goals at halftime. Pace Score measures the best goal environments using our attacking indexes: • Pace = openness • AGIX = first-half aggression • NEC = attacking intent

How to read the table 📊 • Eff = Defensive efficiency Higher number = stronger defense overall. • “6” column = last match defensive luck Negative = conceded more xG than goals. • Score = overall defensive luck across last 6 matches Large negative scores = strongest overperformance. The biggest regression signals are when: ❌ Defensive efficiency is average/poor + ❌ Defensive luck score is heavily negative That combination usually isn’t sustainable long term and often points toward teams due to concede more goals soon.

Defensive Luck 📉🍀 These teams continue to overperform defensively, regression usually catches up eventually. Teams I have conceding today ⬇️ • Sion • Lugano • Midtjylland • Young Boys • Copenhagen • Oviedo

@WhoScored There due

Crystal Palace are the biggest underperformers of xG in the Premier League this season (-21.86). 📉😲

@Encore_Djibinho This was my fault, I had the over in both legs

Lors de la saison 23/24 le PSG devait gagner la Ligue des Champions, Dieu ne voulais juste pas que Mbappé la prenne avec nous