
Em d'Entremont
55.7K posts

Em d'Entremont
@dentremontem
Cyborg. Beloved by cats, dogs, small children, and the occasional Marine.








This is like a bomb in Russia. Ilya Remeslo, a long-time Russian patriot, professional informer, and lawyer, suddenly launched a direct attack on Putin: Vladimir Putin is not a legitimate president. Vladimir Putin should resign and be tried as a war criminal and thief. Five reasons why I stopped supporting Vladimir Putin. Someone had to say it. 1. The war in Ukraine. The war, which began as a "police operation," has already claimed 1-2 million lives. I supported the annexation of Crimea in 2014 precisely because it was bloodless. We all thought back then that Putin was the unifier of the Russian lands. And here we are now—bloody attacks, the deception of contract workers, and much more, which any SVO participant will confirm. An absolutely hopeless war, enormous losses, it could last another 5-10 years—are you ready for that? No one is calling for war against Russia. But the war is currently being waged solely because of Putin's complexes; we ordinary citizens don't benefit from it, we only lose. And a few more points: 2. Enormous damage to the Russian economy and the well-being of its citizens. 3. Suppression of internet and media freedom. 4. Putin's term in office. 5. Putin doesn't respect his voters and refuses to listen to them. Conclusion: Vladimir Putin is not a legitimate president. Vladimir Putin should resign and be tried as a war criminal and thief.




Odesa came under heavy attack in the early hours this morning. 3 people were injured - two in the Primorskyi district. The other injury came in Kyivskyi, where a university dorm + an apartment tower block were hit. There was also damage, but no injuries, in Khadzhibeyskyi area.









JUST IN: The most irreversible consequence of this war is not happening in Tehran. It is happening in a barn in Iowa. A farmer is standing over a kitchen table looking at two seed catalogues. One is corn. One is soybeans. Corn needs 180 pounds of nitrogen per acre. Nitrogen costs $610 per ton on the CBOT March futures settlement as of yesterday, up 35 percent in a month. Soybeans fix their own nitrogen from the atmosphere through root bacteria called rhizobia. They need nothing from the Strait of Hormuz. The farmer is choosing soybeans. Millions of acres are choosing soybeans. And once the planter rolls into the field, the choice cannot be reversed until next year. USDA projected corn at roughly 94 million acres for 2026, down from 98.8 million. Soybeans at 85 million, up from 81.2 million. Those projections were published February 19, before urea surged past $683 at New Orleans. The actual shift will be larger. USDA Prospective Plantings reports March 31. By then the seeds will be in the ground. This is the transmission channel the world is not watching. A 21-mile strait enforced by provincial commanders with sealed radio orders just rewrote the planting economics of 90 million acres of the most productive farmland on Earth. Not through sanctions. Not through diplomacy. Through the price of a single molecule that corn cannot grow without and soybeans do not need. Now follow the cascade. The Renewable Fuel Standard mandates 15 billion gallons of corn ethanol annually. That consumes roughly 43 percent of the entire US corn crop. The mandate is set by the EPA. It does not flex when corn acres shrink. It is inelastic demand consuming a fixed share of a declining supply. When supply tightens against a fixed mandate, the remaining corn reprices upward. Corn above $5 per bushel compresses every margin downstream. The US cattle herd stands at 86.2 million head, a 75-year low per USDA NASS. Poultry and pork operations face compression from higher corn prices. Feed is the single largest cost in livestock production. When feed reprices, protein reprices. When protein reprices, every grocery shelf in America absorbs the increase. This is the protein cascade. Corn to feed to meat to eggs to dairy to the checkout counter. Each link tightens because the link before it tightened. The originating cause is a urea molecule that cannot transit a strait because a provincial commander’s sealed orders say it cannot. The farmer did not start this war. The farmer cannot end it. The farmer responds to the price on the screen and the biology of the two crops in front of him. Corn needs the molecule. Soybeans do not. At $610 the arithmetic is settled. The planter rolls. The season is locked. Israel just authorised the assassination of every Iranian official on sight. The US has spent $16.5 billion. South Pars is burning. The Fed is holding rates because oil inflation will not break. Gold touched $5,000. Bitcoin is bleeding. China is running exercises near Taiwan. Sri Lanka shut down on Wednesdays. And underneath all of it, a man in a barn is making the decision that determines whether four billion people pay more for food this year. He has never heard of the Mosaic Doctrine. He does not know what a sealed contingency packet is. He knows what nitrogen costs. And he is planting soybeans. Full analysis - open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…



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