Derek Brown
24K posts
Derek Brown
@derekbrown
leader • reader • taco eater • fly eagles fly • founder • builder • onchain chef • previously addepar, linkedin
Nashville, TN Katılım Nisan 2007
561 Takip Edilen6.2K Takipçiler
Do people care enough about
Poppi vs Olipop to bet on it? 👀
Andrea@iiiitsandrea
someone actually built a Polymarket for cpg (launching late July)
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Derek Brown retweetledi
Agreed with Alex, but i don’t believe that it’s a flaw with prediction markets as a technology.
Rather, it’s a flaw with how prediction markets are being used today.
True information markets are coming.
Alex Johnson@AlexH_Johnson
The only way that you can say that most people aren't using prediction markets for entertainment when a majority of prediction market volume comes from sports bets is to argue that most people betting on sports through prediction markets are doing so in order to hedge real economic risks, which is absurd.
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Millions spend hours with AI characters.
But characters forget, creators don't earn, and the best experiences sit behind paywalls.
We raised $1.5M to build the character economy with @lattice_fund, @cbventures' Base Ecosystem Fund, @JME_Ventures; bootstrapped by @worldcoinfnd.
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@charmsai @lattice_fund @cbventures @JME_Ventures @worldcoinfnd Love this! Always rooting for @Gon0x_ and the Charms team.
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@billvick @nativeonbase I'm currently pursuing a different, unrelated opportunity full-time. I'm not selling my Native and may revisit in the future, but it's currently on indefinite hold.
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Just had the NewCo team here in Nashville for our first offsite. Exhausted from the fun, but stoked for the next two months.
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This is all the more true as prediction markets move towards actual information markets.
The farmer doesn’t have an edge in the NBA Finals or Zelensky’s suit.
But in corn prices or weather markets?
Absolutely they have an advantage.
good@thenarrator
prediction markets are the first financial product where a farmer, a nurse, and a truck driver have structural edge over a hedge fund analyst. domain knowledge finally has a market that rewards it
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Derek Brown retweetledi
the prediction market platform that wins long term is not the one with the most sports markets but the one that becomes the default venue for macro factors like unemployment, interest rates, inflation and volatility
those are the markets institutions need year round, not every four years
today’s winners might not be tomorrow’s
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Derek Brown retweetledi
Derek Brown retweetledi
@griffgreen @eth_mty I know it can be impractical, but maybe this should be revisited.
One way to tradeoff radical decentralization may be radical transparency?
In this instance, 3 abstainers or 3 people who weren’t pinged because a majority was already reached is very different than 3 “no” votes.
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@eth_mty Sadly the conversations within the security council are confidential, I can only comment on my own opinion.
We did get 9/12 though.
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ɴᴏᴛᴇꜱ & ᴛʜᴏᴜɢʜᴛꜱ:
• Nothing revolutionary in this session. Another positive outing for American innovators in this space.
• Great to hear more support on record for Clarity.
• The goal of "make America crypto capital" reiterated.
• A point was made about Hyperliquid that was framed as a "gotcha", but actually made @ChairmanSelig's goal of onshoring markets all the more important.
• A couple congresspeople wanting Chairman Selig to stop doing his job until additional commissioners are appointed. These are the same people who have questions about whether or not the gov't is more efficient. LOL.
• The fact that onions and box office tickets are carved out from CFTC purview remains hilarious every time I hear it.
• I think the conversation around the difference between gambling and prediction markets (particularly and especially in the sports sector) is the most important conversation to have.
Derek Brown@derekbrown
For those interested in CFTC policy, @ChairmanSelig is sharing his agenda for the commission this morning. Watch live here: youtube.com/watch?v=o10gZ_…
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For those interested in CFTC policy, @ChairmanSelig is sharing his agenda for the commission this morning.
Watch live here:
youtube.com/watch?v=o10gZ_…
YouTube
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@SamBroner indeed. next time, get them to order a cortado, extra milk, but have them blow bubbles in the milk first.
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