Dexter retweetledi

📉Crypto's wild ride continues📉!
🚨Let's break down the state of the market & sentiment over the past 6 months
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Compare to the 2021 cycle, and gauge if alt season is incoming. Using key indicators like Fear & Greed, BTC dominance, and Alt Season Index. Buckle up! #Crypto #Bitcoin
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Past 6 months: Crypto started strong in May with BTC above $100K & sentiment in "Greed" territory (Fear & Greed hit 68 in late June). But volatility kicked in—summer dips to fear levels (down to 42), brief neutral phases in Aug/Oct, and now extreme caution. Market shed $1T+ since Oct peaks, with BTC sliding from $126K ATH to ~$100K.
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Sentiment snapshot: Fear & Greed plunged to 24 (extreme fear) early Nov, lowest since April. Social buzz mixed—pessimism dominates (net score ~5/10), with traders calling it "bearish" for weeks. Alts bled hard, DeFi TVL shrunk, but whales hoarded BTC amid dips. Overall: Cautious reset after hype.
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Compare to 2021 cycle: That bull was euphoria-driven—BTC to $69K, sentiment greedy for months, fueled by retail FOMO & DeFi boom. Crashed on fraud (FTX, Luna) & macro (rate hikes). 2025? Similar 4-year cycle rhythm, but BTC broke ATH pre-halving thanks to ETFs/institutions. No big frauds, but sentiment more "fearful" now vs. 2021's greed peaks.
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Key diff: 2021 had wild alt pumps mid-cycle; 2025's been BTC-heavy with alts lagging (most down 3-11% monthly). Sentiment less manic—2021 Google searches for "altcoin" spiked, but 2025's pro-crypto policy (Trump reserve) tempers fear without full greed. Cycles aligning, but this one's institutional, not retail frenzy.
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Alt season on track? Indicators say... not yet. Alt Season Index (75% of top 50 outperforming BTC in 90 days) is low—alts underperformed amid BTC's rebound. BTC dominance at 60-63%, near 2021 highs (up from 56% YTD). For alts to moon, need BTC.D drop below 62% & index near 75.
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Signals backing delay: Alts bleeding (e.g., ETH below $4K, SOL TVL to $55B). Analysts predict no true altseason till 2026—if ever—due to BTC focus & retail caution. But hints of setup: 6-week BTC.D decline earlier, bullish divergences in alts. Extreme fear often precedes bottoms.
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Hypothesis: We're mid-cycle correction, like 2021's summer dip before alt explosion. On track for altseason IF BTC stabilizes ~$100K & dominance falls (watch for policy unlocks like BTC reserve). But risks: More outflows ($1B+ BTC/ETH ETFs), macro jitters. Not full steam yet—patience for 3-10x gems.
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TL;DR: 2025 sentiment more fearful than 2021's greed, market resetting after peaks. Altseason delayed but possible Q1 2026 if signals flip. Stack dips, DYOR! What’s your take—bear trap or deeper red? #Altseason #CryptoMarket
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