Ehis Asibor

Dear Akin, I am surprised you came up with this. I know you as someone who looks at things from a broader perspective. GRV made a big blunder by staying put in the ADC. In politics, one must realize where his strength lies and, more importantly, his or her base. If Tinubu leaves the AD, AC, and ACN base today, he may lose control or influence in Lagos and some states in the SW. That highlights the importance of one knowing his base. GRV's base, right from 2019, has been the Obidients and other non-conservative-leaning residents of the state. They were the ones who gave him that substantial number of votes in 2019 and 2023. Today, 90% of that base is with Obi and leans toward the NDC. If Obi, Tinubu, and Atiku are on the ballot in 2027, Obi and Tinubu are 100% sure of securing 25% of the votes. Incidentally, Atiku isn't. So, by 2027, GRV will have no option but to campaign and vote for Atiku, while Doherty will campaign and vote for Obi. My question is: do you expect Obi's base in Lagos to leave Doherty and vote for GRV? Aside from that base, is it not some indigenous Lagosians who will vote for GRV? Do you see Tinubu's base voting for GRV? I feel that before one undertakes the responsibility of aspiring to the position of governor, he or she should at least conduct a frank analysis of relevant factors. It seems GRV didn't do that.