Johan Ekroth

Think Trump has no idea what he’s doing in Iran? It’s not chaos. It’s targeted communication. The fog of war is usually a problem. In this war, it’s a weapon. open.substack.com/pub/johanlekro…

OMXS30: −10% last month. My portfolio: +7.38%. The difference isn’t stockpicking. It’s starting the analysis with the system, not the company. In every complex network, a few nodes capture most of the value. The job is finding them before the market does.

@tekniknisse Analyserade Studsvik igår. Strukturellt en av de starkaste noderna i hela kärnkraftssystemet. Problemet är exekvering: marginalen har konsekvent missat mål och intäktstillväxten är svag trots strukturell medvind. Så jag köpte amerikanskt: $LEU och $BKWT men lägger $SVIK som WATCH

Nu är det momentum även i svensk kärnkraft. Studsvik köper kärnfull next som planerar för GE Vernovas SMR i Valdemarsvik. Ingår även samarbete med Rolls-Royce SMR. Vattenfall analyserar båda tillverkarna för val till Ringhalls. Studsvik har även sen tidigare ett nära samarbete med svenska Blykalla. Studsvik kan bli en betydande spelare med framväxten av SMR. Ett framtida storbolag? Äger med stor vikt i alla tre: -Studsvik -GE Vernova -Rolls-Royce

@GrindeOptions Living the brand?

Can someone explain to me like I’m 10 years old as to why $RKLB is going parabolic today? 👀

@yianisz Agents still need to know what they’re allowed to do, in what order, with what data, under which compliance regime. That’s not a dashboard problem. That’s orchestration and governance, and it gets harder with agents, not easier. You’re missing an entire layer.

The SaaSpocalypse is here.. and most still don’t see it. Everyone is calling this a software correction, but it really isn’t, because what we are seeing is a structural reset of the entire SaaS model happening in real time. Nearly $2T wiped, IGV down 20%+, and names like $CRM $HUBS $TEAM $INTU $ADBE $NOW $WDAY $SNOW $MDB $DDOG $ZETA $PATH all getting repriced.. The reality is much simpler. AI agents don’t use seats, don’t log into dashboards, and don’t care about interfaces they just complete the task which breaks the core pricing logic of traditional software. That’s what the market is finally waking up to. But this is not the end of tech. It’s a rotation. From software… to agents… to infrastructure.

@wiker_elin Det blev mest HALEU-produktion. Köpte den enda tillverkaren utanför Ryssland som kan anrika uran till den koncentration avancerade reaktorer kräver, $LEU. Sen reaktorkomponenter via $BWXT, det enda bolaget i USA som kan tillverka säkerhetskritiska kärnkraftskomponenter i skala.

Lönen är här!! 💰 Vad köper ni? Ge mig inspiration.

Most people buying the nuclear renaissance is buying One of the 127 competing SMR designs. But the critical node isn't the reactor. It's the fuel and the components nobody can quickly replicate. $BWXT and $LEU. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/johanlekro…

Iran didn't close Hormuz. The insurance market did. Gard, Skuld, NorthStandard cancelled war risk cover within 72 hours. 20 ship incidents. Hundreds of paralysed vessels. You don't fight the navy. You fight the underwriters. open.substack.com/pub/johanlekro…

A lot of people debating which LLM wins. Not so many asking who decides what the agents are allowed to do. That layer has been quietly owned since 2004. New analysis on $NOW and the control plane nobody talks about. open.substack.com/pub/johanlekro…

@MalcolmNance Agree. Strait of Hormuz is the real target. Or more likely three small islands in the middle. I wrote a post on Substack on this: johanlekroth.substack.com/p/the-islands-…

EVERYONE REPEAT AFTER ME You CANNOT get to Kharg Island with Marines until you successfully transit the Strait of Hormuz ... which the IRGC will make a living hell with sea mines, suicide boat drones, missiles and aerial drones Once past the SOH its a 20-24 hour dash (380nm) to Kharg along a coast that may be firing off antiship missiles, ballistic hypersonic missiles, cruise missiles small boats and suicide drones of all sorts, aerial, surface and subsurface. Then they can just blow up the islands refineries when you arrive so you have to live in a town of 8,000 who hate you in a cloud of poisonous smoke/gas

@WeTheBrandon Nobody needs to invade anything. It's just about keeping the strait open. It can be done like this: open.substack.com/pub/johanlekro…

We are 💯% invading. Apparently the United States has no Congress...?

@World_At_War_6 Boxer is 3 weeks from the Persian Gulf. That´s not rapid escalation, it's planning for a long presence. My prediction is Tripoli goes to Abu Musa and the Tunbs. There´s a good narrative in giving them back to UAE and keep the strait open at the same time. open.substack.com/pub/johanlekro…

🇺🇸🛑U.S. Gears Up for Ground Invasion of Iran: The U.S. is accelerating the deployment of approximately 8,000 additional Marines and sailors to the Middle East. In a show of rapid deployment, the USS Boxer Amphibious Ready Group is arriving ahead of schedule with roughly 4,000 Marines and sailors. They will link up with the USS Tripoli group, already traveling from Japan with 5,000 personnel. The combined force of six amphibious ships will increase regional force strength by approximately 8,000 personnel. There's no point deploying Marines to the region unless the U.S. intends to launch a full-scale ground invasion of Iran. Their probable objective is to secure the Strait of Hormuz and seize control of Kharg Island. The conflict is poised to escalate sharply in the coming weeks.

Three ships just cleared the Malacca Strait. USS Tripoli. USS San Diego. USS New Orleans. Everyone says escort mission. I think it's something else. ETA Persian Gulf: March 23-24. open.substack.com/pub/johanlekro…

@terhyc STOCK please!

@alden_niklas Jag tror att det fortsätter rida på photonicsvågen ett tag till. Lyfts som nästa $LITE och då är övertygelsen rätt stor.

14:30 när amerikanska börsen öppnar så börjar Sivers att stiga. "Like clockwork". Blir spännande att se hur länge det kan haussas från andra sidan pölen.

Did you jump on the $SIVE hype? Market cap doubled in a week. The milestones didn't. What actually matters: Q3 2026 (Oct): LiDAR ramp on track? Q4 2026 (Feb 2027): Revenue in the numbers? Structure is real. Delivery is not yet.

@semicap The blog that moved $SIVE 70% got the thesis right. But the milestones that justify the new valuation, LiDAR revenue, hyperscaler engagement via POET, are still Q4 2026 and beyond. Structure is real. Delivery is not yet. Maybe that’s the answer?

The fact that not a single 🇸🇪 investment professional has given any comment to financial media about Sivers $SIVE major valuation re-rating over the past days speaks VOLUMES. It’s not like 🇸🇪 has tons of companies with direct exposure to the photonics revolution.

A lot of hype on photonics these days, but my best performing stock is Cloudflare $NET. Up 35.82% since February

@JimFergusonUK Kharg Island is important. But Hormuz is more important. My analysis says USS Tripoli is heading for Abu Musa and the Tunbars.

🚨 BREAKING: USS TRIPOLI SURGING TOWARD THE MIDDLE EAST — MAJOR ESCALATION LOOMING The USS Tripoli has been spotted moving at high speed past Singapore — a clear signal that something serious is unfolding. This isn’t routine deployment. This is a rapid-force projection move. Onboard is a Marine Expeditionary Unit — roughly 5,000 elite U.S. personnel with full air, ground, and logistics capability. These are not symbolic forces. They are America’s 911 response unit — designed for: Amphibious assaults Rapid intervention Seizing strategic targets And the reported objective? Kharg Island, Iran — the heart of Iran’s oil export infrastructure. If that becomes reality, this is no longer containment. This is direct strategic pressure on Iran’s economic lifeline. Why it matters: The Strait of Hormuz is already under severe disruption Global oil flows are being choked Energy markets are on edge Iran has been using: Fast attack boats Drones Anti-ship systems To turn the Strait into a controlled choke point. Now the United States appears to be preparing a response that goes beyond defence… Into offensive positioning. This is a shift. From deterrence → to potential decisive action. And once amphibious forces are in position, events can move very quickly. The timeline being discussed points toward late March. The question now is not whether tensions are escalating… But whether this is the final staging phase before a major operation. The world is watching the Strait. But the real focus may be shifting to what happens next on Iranian soil.

@Investeraren Intressant debut. Tekniken är combat-proven i Ukraina. Det är verkligt. Men intäkterna 2025 var $310K och enda kunden förväntas inte återkomma. Vem köper härnäst, och till vilken marginal?

AI-drönarbolaget 🇺🇸 Swarmer rusade som mest +700% i debuten på Nasdaq igår. Den enorma rusningen fick aktien att handelsstoppas vid flertalet tillfällen. Bolagets teknik sägs bl.a. ha använts i Ukraina för drönarsvärmar. Pentagon har även sagt att de vill massproducera attackfrönare efter insatsen mot Iran #PrataPengar #Finanstwitter