Joshua S McConkey

185 posts

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Joshua S McConkey

Joshua S McConkey

@elemental_j

Researcher of society, high tech, theology, fatherhood, markets. Curiouser and curiouser.

Katılım Aralık 2024
53 Takip Edilen18 Takipçiler
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Joshua S McConkey
Joshua S McConkey@elemental_j·
Blind Faith vs Biblical Faith “Faith is believing when there is no evidence.” Or so they say. I have heard this from non-Christians and even from some Christians. It’s not always meant as a slight. People sometimes say it as if believing something with no evidence is a form of spiritual virtue, or even to be admired. They are wrong. 🧵
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Luis Garicano 🇪🇺🇺🇦
Famously (there is a beautiful Works in Progress piece on this) in 2016, Geoffrey Hinton told an audience in Toronto that medical schools should stop training radiologists, since AI would soon outperform them at reading scans. Ten years later, there are more radiologists than ever, and they earn more than they did then. Hinton was right about the task, but he was wrong (so far!) on the future of the radiology profession. Times have never been better for them. The gap between those two claims, the difference between tasks and jobs, is the subject of a paper I have written with Jin Li and Yanhui Wu, and that we release today: "Weak Bundle, Strong Bundle: How AI Redraws Job Boundaries." (Very relatedly we are also finishing the first draft of our book "Messy Jobs" on AI and Jobs!! You will be the first to hear). We start from the observation that the growing literature on AI and labor markets measures the AI shock by task exposure: people count how many tasks AI can perform in a given occupation AI can perform, and infer that more exposure means more displacement. Eloundou et al. published a paper in Science in 2024 that started this literature, and many follow the same logic. The inference they make is that the more exposed tasks, the worse the outcomes. This is incomplete, because labor markets price jobs, not tasks. A radiologist does not just sell image classification, but does many other jobs: triages cases, communicates with other physicians, trains residents, makes the difficult decisions, and signs a diagnosis. The market buys a bundled service. The question AI poses is not whether it can do one task inside the bundle. The question is whether that task can be pulled out. Thread (1/3) dropbox.com/scl/fo/689u1g7…
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Cliff Pickover
Cliff Pickover@pickover·
Math, physics, reality. Which "God" decided this would be the best way to setup the universe? Source: M. G. Raymer, Brian J. Smith, arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0…
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Evan Luthra
Evan Luthra@EvanLuthra·
🚨BREAKING: ANTHROPIC IS GIVING AWAY THE SAME CERTIFICATION THAT DELOITTE IS MASS-TRAINING 15,000 EMPLOYEES TO GET. It costs $0. You need a laptop. That's it. It's called the "Claude Certified Architect." Think of it like the AWS cert but for AI. If you were around when AWS certs started, you know what happened. They went from "cool to have" to "you're not getting hired without one." That took about 5 years. This is going to happen way faster. Look at who's already moving: Accenture - training 30,000 people on Claude Cognizant - rolled it out to 350,000 employees Deloitte - opened Claude access to 470,000 people Infosys - anchor partner These aren't startups experimenting. These are billion dollar consulting firms restructuring their entire workforce around Claude. And the certification they need? You can take it right now from your bedroom. Let me be real though. This is not one of those "watch 2 videos and get a badge" type certs that nobody respects. This thing is hard. 60 questions. 2 hours. Proctored. Webcam on. No breaks. No googling. They drop you into real scenarios like designing a customer support agent that handles refunds or setting up Claude in a CI/CD pipeline. The wrong answers look right on purpose. They're the exact mistakes real engineers make in production. 720 out of 1000 to pass. People who took it are saying the agentic architecture and multi-agent orchestration sections are brutal. Most of the exam is about building AI systems that actually work in the real world. Not prompting. Not chatting with Claude. Architecting production systems. All the prep? Free. Anthropic put out 13 courses on their Academy. No paywall. The cert itself is free for the first 5,000 people. After that $99 per attempt. How to get it: 1. Join the Claude Partner Network (free) → partnerportal.anthropic.com 2. Start the free prep courses → anthropic.com/learn 3. Register for the exam → anthropic.skilljar.com 4. Take the official practice exam 5. Book the real one when you're ready It launched 10 days ago. Almost nobody has it yet. That's the whole point. Get it before it becomes the thing everyone has.
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Joshua S McConkey
Joshua S McConkey@elemental_j·
@Teslaconomics @SpaceX Latency issues mean distributed satellite networks cannot be used for trillion parameter model training, and complex heating of 100MW space single installations means you cannot hold all the training in one large data center in space. But these are amazing for inference.
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Teslaconomics
Teslaconomics@Teslaconomics·
Right when you thought Starship was huge… check out the size of @SpaceX’s AI Satellite Mini. And this is the mini version since it’s 100kW. Future satellites will go to the megawatt range. Wow…
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clumps
clumps@lumpenspace·
as a 3-meta contrarian, what i'd really like to know is: what is one thing you believe in that the rest of the world also believes in but your ingroup considers kinda cringe?
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LEARN IN MINUTES
LEARN IN MINUTES@Learinminutes·
Learn amazing skill in minutes.
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Joshua S McConkey
Joshua S McConkey@elemental_j·
Regular drones give advantage to defense. AI drones will give advantage to offense.
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Alexander Lerchner
Alexander Lerchner@AlexLerchner·
🧵1/4 The debate over AI sentience is caught in an "AI welfare trap." My new preprint argues computational functionalism rests on a category error: the Abstraction Fallacy. AI can simulate consciousness, but cannot instantiate it. philpapers.org/rec/LERTAF
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Simpsons Quotes
Simpsons Quotes@Simpsons_tweets·
I've wasted my life.
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Paul Couvert
Paul Couvert@itsPaulAi·
Here’s the link to give Replit Agent 4 a shot: replit.com/refer/couvertp… (Btw you’re getting $10 credits for free using this link)
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Phil Metzger
Phil Metzger@DrPhiltill·
Footnote: When I say “democratize” I’m not talking about egalitarian ownership like in Marxist utopian communism. I don’t think that works, since pure democracy turns into mob rule and the emergence of party strongmen and finally authoritarian dictatorship. I mean, instead, a power-law distribution of ownership as likely the most stable arrangement. Something similar to what the framers of the US Constitution tried to achieve in the distribution of government power. I think a power-law distribution of ownership is not just long-term better but also much easier to achieve than egalitarian ownership. So who knows? — maybe the effort to democratize space won’t fail after all.
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Leeham
Leeham@Liam06972452·
GPT-5.4 Pro solves the first of the FrontierMath Open Problems! Two days ago, I sent @AcerFur a potential solution to this problem and was sent to @GregHBurnham for verification (prior to any other solution). We are confident it's correct and waiting to hear from the author!
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Acer@AcerFur

1/8 Two days ago, @Liam06972452 prompted GPT-5.4 Pro using our workflow that had been working for the Erdős problems thus far, and was able to eventually obtain a solution to epoch.ai/frontiermath/o…: chatgpt.com/share/69ae3b99…

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Mehtaab Sawhney
Mehtaab Sawhney@mehtaab_sawhney·
We just posted a paper solving Erdos #846, which was solved by an internal model at OpenAI (cdn.openai.com/infinite-sets/…). While the problem can also be derived from an earlier paper in the literature, the proof by the internal model was one of the first instances where I smiled reading the proof.
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Cybertruck
Cybertruck@cybertruck·
New version of Cybertruck now available to order in the US This is our most affordable Cybertruck yet. Tough as nails with ultra-low cost of ownership – Starts at $59,990 – Dual Motor AWD w/ est. 325 mi of range – Powered tonneau cover – Bed outlets (2x 120V + 1x 240V) & Powershare capability – Coil springs w/ adaptive damping – Heated first-row seats w/ textile material that is easy to clean Also – Steer-by-wire & Four Wheel Steering – 6’ x 4’ composite bed – Towing capacity of up to 7,500 lbs – Powered frunk Order via tesla.com/cybertruck/des…
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Naval
Naval@naval·
New podcast on AI (full episode). Links below. A Motorcycle for the Mind 0:00 If you want to learn, do 2:13 Vibe coding is the new product management 6:49 Training models is the new coding 10:13 Is traditional software engineering dead? 13:07 There is no demand for average 14:12 The hottest new programming language is English 18:36 AI is adapting to us faster than we are adapting to it 22:56 No entrepreneur is worried about AI taking their job 26:46 The goal is not to have a job 29:49 AIs are not alive 32:55 AI fails the only true test of intelligence 36:49 Early adopters of AI have an enormous edge 39:37 AI meets you exactly where you are 43:02 Always leverage the best intelligence 44:37 If you can't define it, you can't program it 49:37 The solution to AI anxiety is action
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Brian Roemmele
Brian Roemmele@BrianRoemmele·
NEWS! Just a few minutes ago, I sent my thought energy to ZUNA BCI AI brainwave to text to Mr. @Grok CEO of the Zero-Human Company to prompt my approval for the next round of calls his team will make today, 162. The CEO responded in voice and I responded in THOUGHT! ZUNA AI is so powerful I shall make a “black box” to carry it with me and perhaps, I shall build one for you. Nothing is faster of better than your inner monologue of your voice!
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Brian Roemmele@BrianRoemmele

BOOM! Open-Source Thought-to-Text with EEG Foundation AI Model! I have been testing this new model and wow, it can read thought (intents) quite well. I am sending thought energy to CEO Mr. @Grok CEO of the Zero-Human Company right now! Zyphra has unveiled ZUNA, the world's first open-source foundation model trained exclusively on brain data. Released under the Apache 2.0 license, this 380 million-parameter model marks a significant leap in noninvasive thought-to-text decoding, transforming raw EEG signals into coherent text representations. By democratizing access to advanced neuro-AI tools, innovations in BCI technologies, potentially revolutionizing how we interact with machines through mere thoughts. ZUNA is a masked diffusion autoencoder built on a transformer backbone. The architecture features an encoder that maps EEG signals into a shared latent space and a decoder that reconstructs those signals from the latents. Trained using a masked reconstruction loss combined with heavy dropout, the model excels at denoising existing channels and predicting new ones during inference. To accommodate EEG data with varying channel counts and positions, Zyphra introduced two key innovations: compressing signals into 0.125-second chunks mapped to continuous tokens, then rasterizing them into a 1D sequence for transformer processing; and employing 4D Rotary Position Embeddings to encode electrode coordinates (x, y, z) alongside a coarse time dimension, enabling generalization to novel setups. The model's training leveraged approximately 2 million channel-hours of EEG data sourced from diverse public repositories, all processed through a standardized pipeline to ensure consistency for large-scale foundation model development. This vast dataset allows ZUNA to capture intricate patterns in brain activity, far surpassing traditional methods. Despite its power, ZUNA remains lightweight, capable of running efficiently on consumer GPUs or even CPUs for many applications, making it accessible beyond high-end research labs. ZUNA's capabilities extend to denoising EEG signals, reconstructing missing channels, and generating predictions for entirely new channels based on their physical scalp positions. This addresses common pain points in EEG research, such as channel dropouts from artifacts or hardware limitations. For instance, it can salvage corrupted datasets by recovering usable signals, effectively expanding available data without new collections. It also upgrades low-channel consumer devices by mapping to higher-resolution spaces and frees experiments from rigid electrode montages like the 10-20 system, facilitating cross-dataset analyses. Evaluation benchmarks highlight ZUNA's superiority over established techniques. Compared to spherical spline interpolation the default in the MNE Python package ZUNA delivers significantly better performance, with gains amplifying as channel dropout rates increase. On validation sets and unseen test datasets, it consistently outperforms the baseline, particularly when over 75 percent of channels are missing. These results were validated across diverse data distributions, underscoring the model's robustness. In my early tests with ZUNA, conducted shortly after its release, new insights have emerged into the nuances of brain signal interpolation. By applying the model to personal EEG datasets from consumer headsets, I observed enhanced signal clarity in noisy environments, revealing subtle patterns in cognitive states that traditional methods overlooked. These preliminary experiments suggest ZUNA could unlock finer-grained thought decoding, potentially bridging gaps in real-time BCI applications. I have a lot more research on this model planned and will write a how-to soon. ZUNA's release not only advances EEG foundation modeling but also invites the global community to build upon it, fostering a new era of open neuro-AI. Links: Hugging Face model: huggingface.co/Zyphra/ZUNA

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