Mano

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Mano

Mano

@ellmanoo

@Polymarket is my church

Katılım Kasım 2020
1.3K Takip Edilen303 Takipçiler
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🀅@ecomchigga·
the entire info product backend can be built in a single weekend. not a stripped down version. the actual full system. i know because i've done it from scratch 4 times this year alone and helped others do it even faster let me walk through exactly what gets built and in what order because the fact that people spend 3-4 months "getting ready" to sell digital products when the whole infrastructure takes 48 hours to set up is genuinely wild to me saturday morning. build the product. pick the one specific problem you keep seeing people complain about in your niche. go on twitter. go on quora. screenshot the 40 best answers, frameworks, and breakdowns on that topic. reorganize them into a logical sequence. add context from what you actually know. use AI to help expand and polish but rewrite everything in a voice that sounds like you, not a robot. format it into modules. you now have a real info product. this takes 3-4 hours. maybe less saturday afternoon. create the free guide. take the structure of the full product but strip out the implementation details. show people WHAT needs to be built without showing them exactly HOW. 8-11 pages. the guide should make someone think "okay i understand the model now but i need the actual system to execute it." that gap between understanding and execution is what makes them buy. this takes 2 hours max saturday evening. set up the money infrastructure. gumroad account. upload the product. write a description that explains what they get, who it's for, and what result to expect. price it. $293-$497 range for mid ticket. takes 30 minutes. then create the free community. telegram group or discord. takes 10 minutes. pin the free guide in there. pin a welcome message explaining what the community is about sunday morning. build the content engine. sit down and batch write 21 tweets. that's one week of content at 3 per day. use the 40/40/20 split. roughly 8-9 authority tweets. 8-9 personality tweets. 4-5 CTA tweets. schedule all of them in tweethunter across the next 7 days. set up the auto-DM so when someone comments on a CTA post they automatically receive the free guide link and community link. this whole thing takes 60-90 minutes once you know the rhythm sunday afternoon. the part that everyone skips and then wonders why they make no money. start real conversations. go find 20 people in your niche who posted about a problem related to what you teach. reply to their tweets with something genuinely helpful. DM 10 of them with a real message offering the free guide. not a pitch. just value. this takes an hour sunday evening. make the community feel alive. post an intro about what you're building. share an insight. ask a question. if you have even 1 friend in the space get them to join and post something. the community can't be dead when the first wave of leads arrives from monday's tweets that's it. that's the whole setup monday morning you wake up and the first 3 tweets go live automatically. the auto-DMs are armed. the free guide funnels to the community and the paid product. the content engine is loaded for the week. the conversations from sunday are warming up in DMs by friday you have leads in the pipeline. a community with its first 20-30 members. and if you've been having real conversations you might even have a sale i've seen people stretch this exact process across 3-4 months because they keep tweaking fonts on their gumroad page or rewriting their bio for the ninth time. meanwhile someone who just built the thing in 2 days and started talking to people is already making money the infrastructure is not the hard part. the hard part is actually pressing go and talking to real humans about real problems. everything else is a weekend project i put together a free doc that goes deep on this full system. the offer structure, content strategy, DM framework, community mechanics, launch playbook. everything mapped out step by step RT this + comment "weekend" and i'll send it to you (must be following)
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berserk
berserk@random_berserk·
@Baheet_ Probably in 2 months. (Longest duration for big projects between trademark submission and token issuance is 3 months. And it's been a month since the trademark submission.)
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Meekdonald
Meekdonald@meekdonald·
afer days of getting rugged on @BagsApp chasing web2 AI startups a quick follow the money and you will see MM doing what they do best before every token unlock Because tell me why, $BERA is this strong on a weekend Either I’m missing something… or we are about to get giga farmed thoughts?
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SecureZero 
SecureZero @securezer0·
This prediction market copies Polymarkets Markets 1:1 - a complete carbon copy! Which for us arbitrage traders is great news, it means we can buy YES + NO < $1 In this case we’re buying YES + NO for $0.953 That means for every $1 we spend we make around $0.047!
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Mano
Mano@ellmanoo·
@securezer0 Ok, I get the idea. Thanks. Could be the case here as well
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Mano
Mano@ellmanoo·
@securezer0 Ok, I understand now. Could you tell me what was the criteria for being an active wallet on Hyperliquid and what criteria you have chosen in this calculation?
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SecureZero 
SecureZero @securezer0·
I ran the numbers on a potential Polymarket airdrop by comparing it to HyperLiquid... it's actually crazy If Polymarkets airdrop was to be as successful as Hyperliquids… Which given how Polymarket is valued at $12B it very well might be You'd want to be in the Top 5% of Traders, The Top 5% on Hyperliquid made $540K (10,000 Tokens * $54 @ ATH) Hyperliquid was valued at $15B at that time! Not far from Polymarkets $12B Valuation today... To be in the Top 5% of traders on Polymarket today you need to have over $1,515,160 in trading volume! Volume is the key to a big airdrop! Lucky I already have a thread on how to farm volume, read that next!
SecureZero @securezer0

I have accidentally created the Greatest @Polymarket $POLY Airdrop Farming Bot in the world... It has an effective win rate of 100% It's generated over $1,000,000 in Volume And when i built it i wasn't even thinking about Airdrop farming, but now a $10K Airdrop is coming my way. First, what is #1 for $POLY Volume As confirmed by Polymarket CTO: Volume is key. The more volume, the bigger airdrop So just predict more? The problem is predicting is hard, unless you're an OpenAI employee with access to their annual release schedule you probably dont have an edge strong enough to guarantee consistent profit. And in the drive to 'predict more' you're forced either into markets you dont understand (no edge) or putting more money on the line for markets you do (more risk) If you blow out your portfolio over-predicting then no airdrop is going to satisfy the loss you took Whats the alternative? If you could generate volume without the risk of losing money, and with the guarantee of profit, even if the profit is small, overtime your volume accumulation will grant you a massive airdrop in the future Thats what i've been doing- albeit initially unintentionally. My Arbitrage Trading Bot has been showing me ways in which i can profit from two matching markets on Polymarket <> Other PMs Buying YES in one place and buying NO in the other With the knowledge that if one side looses the other side is guaranteed to win. + profit from the 'spread', the difference in price between the two sides. Its not as exciting as winning big on a predicting, but its a whole of a lot less risky. Its been a new steady income stream + consistent volume accumulation There are too many arbitrages for me to take them all alone, so i released a version of the bot on my website (AlertPilot). If you're an Airdrop Farmer, or a Arbitrage Trader, im sure you'll find the bot useful. Want to know more about how the Arbitrage works? Read this other thread: x.com/securezer0/sta…

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predict.fun
predict.fun@predictdotfun·
Drop your predict invite link below 👇
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m33k@mwchld·
White Christmas markets are here This is the GOAT of weather bets. "Will we have a white Christmas?" has been the classic December wager for literally centuries. Your grandparents made this bet. Their grandparents made this bet. Now it's on @Polymarket with clean NWS data resolution. But unfortunately no Europe Imagine: "Will London have a white Christmas?" "Will the Alps get fresh powder for Christmas week?" "Will it snow in Stockholm on Christmas Eve?" Europeans are OBSESSED with white Christmas traditions. The cultural significance is massive there too. These markets would print. White Christmas playing in the background polymarket.com/event/which-ci…
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Mano
Mano@ellmanoo·
@matatomik My answer is: No ATH I believe it is not an end of a bullmarket, we won't come back that fast though.
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Angel 🔆
Angel 🔆@matatomik·
“ETH ATH by Dec 31” This market is literally asking: does ETH pull off a Christmas miracle or not. Polymarket is pricing around 9 to 12 percent for "new all time high by Dec 31". The previous high sits near 4.9k. Spot is closer to 3k after a heavy drawdown, roughly 35 to 40 percent below the top. For a Yes to pay, you need a clean sequence in a very short window: • macro not breaking • Fed leaning easier, not tighter • risk on back in full force • crypto flows flipping from forced seller to FOMO buyer For a No to pay, you mostly need… no vertical squeeze. ETH can even have a decent bounce, retest 3.8k or 4k, and the market still resolves No if it never tags a fresh high. Narrative loves the idea of one last violent leg up into year end. The structure of the bet pays you if that story simply fails to materialize on time. I treat this as an "anti miracle" ticket: small size, leaning No around 0.88, assuming that grinding higher is more likely than a face ripping new ATH in the next few weeks. The odds look richer than the calendar.
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Xatacrypt
Xatacrypt@xatacrypt·
will Trump say Polymarket? new market on Polymarket that is almost impossible to predict Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31? this market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions Polymarket between november 19 and december 31 2025 the market is pricing the odds on "Yes" at 13% > back in october 2025 Trump company announced the creation of its own prediction market called Truth Predict in partnership with crypto com. so far, the app still has not launched but > in august 2025 Donald Trump Jr. joined the Polymarket advisory board, and his venture fund 1789 Capital invested a large sum in Polymarket but that does not mean his father will mention Polymarket _______ any market related to Trump and what he will say is hard to predict he could literally say "Polymarket" tomorrow
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Xatacrypt@xatacrypt

Mohammed bin Salman at a dinner in the White House told Trump that he would heard about the markets on Polymarket > just imagine how many incredible, influential people are already using Polymarket, or at least know something about it prediction markets have long ago moved beyond just being another crypto narrative i am really glad that Polymarket made this happen and this is only the beginning

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Mano
Mano@ellmanoo·
Yesterday my Polymarket PNL flashed red again — not fun. Today I’m giving it another shot and aiming to turn it green. A Capitals win should do the job. 🏒📈
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JoCrypto
JoCrypto@CryptoJooooooo·
Both NBA picks from yesterday hit again on @Polymarket 🔥 Knicks W✅ Nuggets W✅ Another clean step forward for the $200 → $10k challenge. We stay patient, we stay disciplined, that’s the key. I’ll take the time to study the board today and see if we can find more good spots. More picks coming later. 🏀
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JoCrypto@CryptoJooooooo

We keep pushing on the $200 → $10k challenge. Today’s picks on @Polymarket : Mavs 🆚 Knicks: Even without Brunson, the Knicks are far superior to a very disappointing Mavericks team this season. Expectations were much higher for Cooper Flagg. Pick: Knicks win (74%) ✅ Pelicans 🆚 Nuggets: I expect an easy Nuggets win led by Jokic. The Pelicans are really struggling this season with only 2 victories so far. Pick: Nuggets win (89%) ✅ Only two bets today 🏀

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Senzer
Senzer@senzer·
Polymarket content changed everything ✍️ in 5 weeks ↓ > 723 new followers (↑40%) > 230k impressions (↑878%) > 20k engagements (↑1K%) > 2.3k profile visits (↑1K%) > 4.1k likes (↑958%) > @PolymarketTrade badge > @zscdao member > spoke as a guest on @smoltalk about Polymarket > built connections with Polymarket builders/KOLs Opportunities multiply as they are seized 🤲 Polymarket supercycle is just getting started
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Angel 🔆
Angel 🔆@matatomik·
GM GM Polyfam Half of @Polymarket is people trying to predict reality. The other half is people trying to predict how wrong the first half will be. Only one group understands what is really being traded.
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m33k
m33k@mwchld·
Trump mentioning Polymarket by Dec 31 at 18%. Polymarket's literally everywhere right now so who knows
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Mano
Mano@ellmanoo·
@HopeAlpha_ Just click on volume in leaderboard
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Mano
Mano@ellmanoo·
1/ Finally my PnL is green! Yesterday’s Islanders vs Stars win turned everything around. 🔥🏒
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