Erhan BLC

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Erhan BLC

Erhan BLC

@erhanBLC

Polymath wannabe, Economist, Investor, Flaneur, Skeptic^ 🌐📈📊🏛️📜⚖️⚛️💾🤖📚🧮📐🏗️🌽🥑🏙️🗽 #EconTwitter #FinTwit #NYC #Philosophy #Science #Data

New York, USA Katılım Nisan 2009
4.8K Takip Edilen2.4K Takipçiler
Erhan BLC retweetledi
Nicholas Decker
Nicholas Decker@captgouda24·
The case for free buses is actually really strong. They take people off the road, and make traffic better for everyone. At the very least, we should not expect them to make back their expenses at the farebox. Read it all below:
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Alex Imas
Alex Imas@alexolegimas·
I’ve now seen this paper posted by several “BREAKING” accounts (and we hopefully know what that means by now). But: 1) there is no mathematical “proof” and 2) the assumptions you need for this prediction don’t hold in practice. I wrote out the economic conditions you need for such demand collapse here: open.substack.com/pub/aleximas/p… There is a formal model linked in the post. TLDR: you need preferences to fully satiate (ie a person doesn’t want literally anything else) for demand collapse to happen, and even if that’s the case, there are many very simple policies can prevent it.
Priyanka Vergadia@pvergadia

🤯BREAKING: Researchers just mathematically proved that AI layoffs will collapse the economy: and every CEO already knows it. The AI Layoff Trap. A game theory paper from UPenn + Boston University is glaringly important! 100K+ tech layoffs in 2025. 80% of US workers exposed. And no market force can stop it. → Every company fires workers to cut costs → Every fired worker stops buying products → Revenue collapses across every sector → The companies that fired everyone go bankrupt It's a Prisoner's Dilemma with math behind it. Automate and you survive short-term. Don't automate and your competitor kills you. But everyone automating destroys the demand that makes all companies viable. UBI (universal basic income) won't fix it. Profit taxes won't fix it. The researchers found only one solution: a Pigouvian automation tax "robot tax" The AI trap on the economy is here!

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Erhan BLC
Erhan BLC@erhanBLC·
@JeremiahDJohns Around 75% of households in NYC earn less than $150k, with an average household size of about 2.3 people.
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Jeremiah Johnson 🌐
Jeremiah Johnson 🌐@JeremiahDJohns·
Four impossible households according to the angry replies to this post. If you believe you can't live well in NYC unless you make 150K, you need to get out and talk to more real people.
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Jeremiah Johnson 🌐@JeremiahDJohns

you do not need 150K for a single person to live comfortably in NYC the reason you believe this is that you have political psychosis and have no idea what the state of reality is. Median *household* income in nyc is 80K.

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Dr. Émile P. Torres (they/them)
Part of the mythology of capitalism is that people worked themselves to the bone before the Industrial Revolution. Just false. If you go back far enough, before the Neolithic Revolution, people hardly "worked." Everything they needed to live a Good Life was readily available.
Nate Hagens@NJHagens

If our cultural values and ways of life are what got us here, rooted in narrow-boundary, cold, and logical thinking – then perhaps moments of turbulence like these actually call on us to change our way of thinking entirely.

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Sheel Mohnot
Sheel Mohnot@pitdesi·
Fuck Everything, We're Doing Five Agonists
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On The Pen™@ManOnThePen

🚨 BREAKING @EliLillyandCo NEWS: $LLY will release animal study data for at QUINTUPLE AGONIST at #ADA2026 For reference: Tirzepatide = GLP1/GIP Retatrutide = GLP1/GIP/Glucagon New Mol = GLP1/GIP/Glucagon/Amylin/Calcitonin Early rat studies outperformed retatrutide!

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Daniel Aldana Cohen
Daniel Aldana Cohen@aldatweets·
It’s just incredibly rightwing and wrong. And while we’re at it, oat milk tastes good. But compared to soy, its such a scam.
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Daniel Aldana Cohen
Daniel Aldana Cohen@aldatweets·
There’s a lot of big thingd I want from a big green state. But the small thing I want is banning coffee shops from charging extra for plant milk.
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Glyph
Glyph@glyphikon·
Outside of the insulated world of today's Beltway milieu of neoliberal shills, Phil Magness's specious word search/counting method of scholarship doesn't actually pass muster among actual serious scholars. Reducing intellectual history to this sort of primitive misuse of quantitative analysis is a textbook case of what most serious historians and classical liberal thinkers would call out as "scientism". econjwatch.org/articles/shoul…
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Erhan BLC
Erhan BLC@erhanBLC·
@aldatweets Meaning: Other people should fund my choices. Otherwise, it's right-wing.
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Quantіan
Quantіan@quantian1·
You're telling me that for the past 50 years there's been a one-line closed form expression for Black-Scholes inverse volatility that nobody bothered to discover until some rando shadow dropped this on ArXiV? arxiv.org/pdf/2604.24480
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Paul E Williams
Paul E Williams@PEWilliams_·
Matt wasn’t appointed to Mamdani’s transition team like I was, so we have to forgive him for his ignorance here. Populism in the front, abundance in the back is exactly how most people on the transition and even inside the administration describe his housing policy.
Matt Stoller@matthewstoller

Mamdani is a straight up populist, so the fact these guys are trying to claim him as theirs shows how their whole framework is a shallow attempt to confuse Democrats with money and lies.

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John B. Holbein
John B. Holbein@JohnHolbein1·
"The legalization of mobile sports gambling in America was a policy mistake and that the evidence is now clear enough to say so."
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Erhan BLC
Erhan BLC@erhanBLC·
@FranNunesEcon I hear a lot of heterodox voices of various types from Spain. Is it just a coincidence, and if not, what is going on?
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Francisco Nunes
Francisco Nunes@FranNunesEcon·
Hola Alberto, ya te han respondido sobre el salario real e IRPF así que te voy a responder sobre el último punto. Dices “Resulta que un siglo de debates entre keynesianos, postkeynesianos, neoclasicos y marxistas, entre otras escuelas, está “resuelto” por unas cuantas fórmulas en Excel”. No, el debate no está resuelto por unas cuantas fórmulas de Excel, está resuelto por la realidad. Ningún economista serio se define como “postkeynesiano”, “de escuela austriaca”, “marxista” o de ninguna otra escuela. Le economía hace mucho que dejó de ser una lucha de ideologías y quienes siguen empeñados en ellas solo demuestran que no están al tanto del desarrollo de esta ciencia. Están los economistas que utilizan modelos dejando claros sus supuestos y los resultados que de estos se desprenden, midiendo con datos qué tan bien explican la realidad esos modelos, y los que evitan las matemáticas para que la fría lógica y los datos no empañen su ideología. Dicho de otra manera, están los economistas y los activistas. Por suerte, en academia dominan los primeros. En política no lo tengo tan claro.
Alberto Garzón🔻@agarzon

La derecha de este país lleva décadas innovando argumentos con los que decir lo mismo de siempre. El salario real expresa siempre una tensión entre salarios y beneficios. Una subida de la inflación puede deberse a más salarios o a más beneficios (o, normalmente en menor grado, a más impuestos o mayores precios de importación). En España y Europa desde 2022 los datos señalan que la inflación está desproporcionadamente impulsada por los beneficios (hasta el BCE y la OCDE lo reconocen): shock de oferta -> suben márgenes de beneficios -> suben precios -> pérdida de poder adquisitivo de clase trabajadora. Para no hablar de beneficios empresariales, la derecha “innova” desplazando el foco hacia el Estado (vía culpabilización al IRPF) y denunciando que los salarios reales están penalizados por impuestos crecientes. Por arte de magia… ¡La pérdida de poder adquisitivo ya no es responsabilidad de los márgenes de beneficios, sino del Estado! En realidad, si se quiere descontar el “coste” del IRPF, un análisis serio sumaría al mismo tiempo los beneficios que se derivan del mismo (prestaciones, servicios públicos, infraestructuras…). El salario total es la suma del salario nominal, el salario diferido (pensiones) y el salario indirecto (servicios públicos a coste menor que en el mercado). En EEUU hay menos “mordida” del IRPF, pero cuando pillas cáncer no lo cuentas por mucho tiempo y tu cuenta de ahorro se desploma, y puedes ver a gente corriente con 80 años todavía trabajando. Pero no nos despistemos que business is business y aquí se ha venido a desprestigiar lo público. Quizás lo más gracioso es que se nos indica también que “no es ideología, solo datos”. Resulta que un siglo de debates entre keynesianos, postkeynesianos, neoclasicos y marxistas, entre otras escuelas, está “resuelto” por unas cuantas fórmulas en Excel. 🤦‍♂️ Está propuesta es pura ideología. Y es tan descarado que el autor lo reconoce al invitar a sumarse únicamente a partidos de derechas. Que son, en el fondo, los que pueden sentir atracción hacia una narrativa que ataque a lo público y desvíe la atención sobre la responsabilidad de los beneficios empresariales en la pérdida de poder adquisitivo.

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Erhan BLC
Erhan BLC@erhanBLC·
@StarobinskiA In Soviet Russia, 89% of Politburo members were engineers. (1986)
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Alan Starobinski
Alan Starobinski@StarobinskiA·
No se por qué hay una idea de que si una persona estudia ciencias sociales sale de izquierda o algo así. Acá en Argentina queda bastante claro que los matemáticos y físicos son bastante zurditos eh. Los únicos más a la derecha somos los economistas, pero es una excepción.
Cadena SER@La_SER

🔴 ÚLTIMA HORA | La princesa Leonor estudiará Ciencias Políticas en la Universidad Carlos III de Getafe (Madrid) sin ninguna distinción respecto a sus compañeros Informa @manjavacas cadenaser.com/nacional/2026/…

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New Left EViews
New Left EViews@NewLeftEViews·
About as shallow an engagement with political ideas as you can expect from your average academic economist.
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde@JesusFerna7026

As reflected in many of my posts over the past few months, I have been reading (and re-reading) a lot of social theory. What strikes me is that most critics of “capitalism” (whatever “capitalism” might mean, and regardless of the value of those critiques) are really critics of modernity, understood as the organization of society around technology, formal institutions, and rational criteria. I teach the economic history of the Soviet Union and socialist China, and all the pathologies (pollution, reliance on fossil fuels, inequality, depersonalization, consumerism, alienation, you name it) that you can find in a poor neighborhood of 2026 Philadelphia appeared in the same way, or even more, in a factory in Leningrad in 1970 or on a collective farm in Jiangsu in 1978. Critics seem to lack a vocabulary (or, if you prefer, a cognitive framework) for distinguishing “capitalism” from modernity. For example, people everywhere tend to link personal relationships to displays of consumption. There are likely deep evolutionary reasons for this. De Beers did not invent spending a lot of money on a useless engagement ring: it rode a pre-existing disposition into a particular form of consumption. Couples in Leipzig in 1982 were as interested in conspicuous consumption as those in Chicago in 2026. Talking about “Love and the Cultural Contradictions of Capitalism” misses the point completely. Of course, you can try, as some of the more perceptive Trotskyists did, to argue that the Soviet Union or China were not truly socialist countries, but this is just a lazy application of the “no true Scotsman” fallacy, and, consequently, their complaints failed to gain much traction outside some departments of cultural studies. But this is not just a matter of poor analytic skills, as bad as those are. More importantly, it means that 99% of the policy proposals activists put on the table to correct the problems of “capitalism” are doomed to fail because they do not understand where the root cause of the phenomena they complain about lies. I see this at the university. Do you think the corporation you deal with is self-serving and incompetent? Wait until you need to deal with the Graduate School at a private Ivy League university. The incentive problems (asymmetric information, career concerns, lack of timely feedback, pressure toward conformity) that cause dysfunction in the former are even more pronounced in the latter because of the absence of a profit motive, the sharpest disciplinary mechanism. At a very fundamental level, Marx got modernity wrong; Weber got it right. Time to spend much less time with Marx and much, much more time with Weber.

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