Mason
32.5K posts






10 worst states to live in for 2026, per CNBC: 1. Tennessee 2. Texas 3. Indiana 4. Louisiana 5. Georgia 6. Utah 7. Missouri 8. Alabama 9. Oklahoma 10.Arkansas

Too many guys buy the lie that their sexual desires are the source of their wives’ feelings of “pressure.” Your desire is good. It’s your weakness and neediness that makes her desire dry up.











There's a recurring pattern that I keep seeing in work coming from the apocalyptic branch of the AI safety community, and it goes something like this: 1) Pick some intellectual "talent" that might be attributed to a person (e.g. persuasiveness, discernment, charisma, etc.) 2) Model this "talent" as a scalar quantity that is primarily determined by factors endogenous to the individual, as opposed to environmental/situational factors 3) Assume that this scalar quantity can be made arbitrarily large 4) Use this model to make predictions about the future of AI You can see this here with AI 2040's insinuation that "superhuman persuasiveness" is an idea we should be taking seriously It's not obvious to me at all that "persuasiveness" is a human talent, as opposed to a sociological random process that we retroactively perceive as a human "talent" To be clear, certainly it's true that a star debater might be marginally more "persuasive" than someone who's not! But I don't think a cult leader or a popular politician is 1,000x or 1,000,000x more "persuasive" than an ordinary person Rather, they're perceived being "persuasive" because they happen to be the figureheads for a complex sociological preference cascade. Their "persuasiveness" isn't really a thing you can causally influence at the individual level, and definitely not in an unbounded way In general, I think a lot of the AI 2040-style forecasting work does a poor job of dealing with this kind of irreducible complexity inherent to the universe. They usually just like to pretend it doesn't exist Not a huge fan of this pattern
















