Erica York

The White House claims tariffs work. Let’s look at each study they cite to see if they’re correct.

@TaxFoundation The first options guide was what got me interested in tax policy in the first place. It was an honor to be part of the team effort in this third edition. taxfoundation.org/tax-reform-gui…

New from @TaxFoundation: OPTIONS GUIDE 3

There are a lot of takeaways from the Options Guide. Expensing rules. But the general wonkosphere understands this now more than it did in 2016 or 2021. The point I think *more people should know* is that there's a lot of revenue potential in income/payroll tax broadening.

Trump's tariff system just keeps getting more convoluted. Wrap your head around this one, folks:

@alumni_cesar @TaxFoundation In general in our model, taxes that impact US savers will have an impact on GNP but not on GDP because of the openness to foreign investment.

@ericadyork @TaxFoundation Is the wealth tax option glitched at 0 in most categories or are we finally at a point where deficit reduction significantly outweighs conventional gdp effects?

New from @TaxFoundation's federal team: the third edition of our Options Guide! We spent the first half of 2026 modeling and writing about 86 different changes to the tax code, and today we're excited to release the full publication and online tool: taxfoundation.org/tax-reform-gui…

I'm not even sure it's the time so much as the fact that you now have demands that absolutely cannot be negotiated with. Adult life has some give. An infant doesn't care if you're sick or tired or just had a car accident; they need what they need.

As a mother of four boys, I can tell you this with absolute clarity: My potential has never been “siphoned away.” It has expanded. The idea that children consume a woman’s youth, vitality, and life force is a shallow accounting of what actually happens. Motherhood has required more courage, more sustained discipline, more patience under pressure, and more genuine love than any professional achievement I’ve ever pursued. But those demands didn’t shrink me, they forged capacities I never would have developed otherwise. The culture insists women must hoard their energy and protect themselves from sacrifice as if self-gift is a loss. I reject that entirely. Real potential isn’t measured by how carefully you conserve yourself; it’s measured by what you become capable of giving and building.

I do not understand anyone who still genuinely believes Trump's tariffs are based on some kind of strategy.

I get it if you are trying to curry favor with the admin or are some sort of True Believer. But if your analysis leads you to *still* believe that they know what they are doing, I do not know what to say.

Must read volume. Buy a second for a friend

An incredibly cool project of great value to policymakers, tax wonks, and the general public alike. Check it out! taxfoundation.org/tax-reform-gui…

Section 301 tariffs apply to about $960 billion worth of imports, slightly less than the $1 trillion under Section 122 due to additional country exemptions. We estimate these tariffs will raise $630 billion over the next decade.

It's a busy day for us at TF. First things first, we have our latest tariff estimates. We find that the 301s slightly raise the average tariff statutory rate by 1 percentage point compared to Section 122.

@TaxFoundation I'm incredibly proud of our team for writing this book. It was a real stress test of our model, our project management systems, and sometimes our sanity. Can't wait for folks to read it (and if you catch a typo, please don't tell me!)

Huge shoutout to @ericadyork, @ahardtospell, @florahq, @alex_durante_, @EconoWill, @GS_Watson, and several others for the work that went into this.

We gotta start walking in places and loudly saying “$20 for a SANDWICH????” and then immediately walking back out

"Trump tariff fine print reveal raft of exemptions" politico.com/news/2026/07/2… "the K Street crowd has been in overdrive to protect stuff" Shocked, shocked, etc etc.

New paper: Trump's "reciprocal" tariffs significantly reduced foreign tourism to the US - especially from "geopolitical allies" like Canada - and thus cost the US economy ~$1 billion per month: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf… A reminder that not all "retaliation" is by governments.