Ξlliott Fi₿onacci

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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci

Ξlliott Fi₿onacci

@ewfib

Technical Analysis focused around Elliott Wave, Fibs & Geometry.

Not financial advice Katılım Şubat 2018
651 Takip Edilen3.6K Takipçiler
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib·
2 Years ago #Bitcoin made its low Time for an update of the $BTC chart I made back than(see link) #BTC still follows the grey 2015-2017 pattern more or less(notes on the chart) Will it be a left or right translated cycle? Nobody knows! I think 60% odds for higher for longer
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci tweet media
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib

1 Year ago #Bitcoin made its low. Time for an update of the $BTC chart I made back than (see link). #BTC still follows the grey 2015-2017 pattern almost exactly. Will the #Bitcoin price stay below ATH for another ≈12 month with a price of ≈$40k at the halving?

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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib·
Looks like the rotation is setting up: - BTC.D likely topped 🏔️ - TOTAL3/BTC likely bottomed 📈 - TOTAL3/ETH might dip a bit more ⚠️ → Altseason brewing, but ETH leads first 🚀 What's your altseason watchlist? #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Altcoins $BTC #BTC $ETH
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci tweet mediaΞlliott Fi₿onacci tweet mediaΞlliott Fi₿onacci tweet media
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib·
@TheRealPlanC That’s exactly how I see it too, psychology-wise. Back in 2022 I was fully convinced of the 4-year cycle (see chart) But once everyone follows the same playbook, markets usually flip the script. That’s why I think this cycle might bend the classic timeline x.com/ewfib/status/1…
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib

$BTC Elliott Wave Roadmap 1️⃣ Wave 7 peaks when the monthly RSI hits the red line 2️⃣ Wave 8 = correction 3️⃣ Wave 9 = final blow-off top before the cycle ends In 2017, this pattern played out perfectly Right now, we’re closing in on that RSI trigger again Or is this time different?

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Plan C
Plan C@TheRealPlanC·
Imagine how much it would throw people off if Bitcoin peaked in November or December at $150k–$180k, then spent 3–6 months grinding down to $100k, only to peak again at the end of 2026 at $200k–$300k. In this scenario, we’d see the first of two major cycle tops occur at the same time as the traditional four-year cycle peak in November or December, but this time it wouldn’t be the ultimate top of the cycle. There is precedent for this kind of double-top structure. It happened during both the 2013 cycle and the 2021 cycle. But if this cycle plays out as an extended double top, it would catch many people off guard.
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib·
@Darkfost_Coc Seems I haven’t managed to clearly explain why I used 9 waves for simplicity. The 9-wave count is fully within Elliott Wave guidelines. If other Elliotticians don’t chime in, I’m sure you’ll figure it out yourself in time.
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Darkfost
Darkfost@Darkfost_Coc·
@ewfib Each impulsive wave (1-3-5) are subdivided into 5 wave that’s a normal scheme wich is respected for now even if wave V continue to extend. Let’s see then if we over extend beyond this scheme
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib·
$BTC Elliott Wave Roadmap 1️⃣ Wave 7 peaks when the monthly RSI hits the red line 2️⃣ Wave 8 = correction 3️⃣ Wave 9 = final blow-off top before the cycle ends In 2017, this pattern played out perfectly Right now, we’re closing in on that RSI trigger again Or is this time different?
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci tweet media
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib

8 months later — still below the red line. (see linked tweet below) Same structure. Same question: Will $BTC reach the RSI trendline again — or is this time different?

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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib·
@Darkfost_Coc I’m not disagreeing with the 5 wave structure. But on this macro count, we’re already in wave 7, which means it can’t be a “classic” 5-wave sequence anymore. That’s exactly what Elliott described as an extended 5th – the larger 5th subdividing into 5 waves of similar size
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Darkfost
Darkfost@Darkfost_Coc·
@ewfib You are taking an example of a non identified scheme 😅 For now we are in a V 5 scheme wich is almost perfect
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib·
@eliaven_ Yes, it definitely will be – a “crash” to a level most would still call moon 😄
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eliaven
eliaven@eliaven_·
@ewfib 'BTC Crashes to 140K' is quite the headline
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib·
@Darkfost_Coc Elliott himself noted that an extended impulse can subdivide into 9 waves (or 13) of similar size instead of 5 and both counts have the same technical meaning. My chart is a count with an extended 5th wave If that sounds strange, you probably haven’t dug deep enough into EW
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Darkfost
Darkfost@Darkfost_Coc·
@ewfib Never saw someone talking about Elliott wave and associated 9 wave 😅
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib·
@PavleCYM I was fully on board with the 4-year cycle back in 2022 (see chart). But once everyone knows the playbook, markets tend to change the script. That’s one of a few reasons I think this run might bend the classic timeline a bit. x.com/ewfib/status/1…
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib

Just some time fibs for $BTC 546 days till next #BTC halving I like the time measurements more IF the low is in From a price perspective a little bit lower ~82% would have been more convincing But 78% is within my tolerance ☺️ But you can interpret that chart as you wish😉

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Pavle.base.eth
Pavle.base.eth@PavleCYM·
@ewfib Predictions based on 4 year cycle exact dates. Of course it can be invalidated, but good to be aware since it served us quite well thorough btc history
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib·
@decodejar My original plan from Nov 2022 had the high in Q4 2025. Over the last few months I’ve tweaked it slightly – now leaning towards Q1–Q2 2026 for the high. I’ll be watching your macro indicator closely😉
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Decode
Decode@decodejar·
@ewfib Tbh when I was drawing up the count I wasn't sure if it would stretch out quite as far as you have it labelled here, but I had Q1/Q2 for my EWT target so it's close enough and it aligns with my macro view too.
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib·
@decodejar Glad we’re on the same page again 👍 Always respect your calls – you’re one of the best analysts on here. When two chartists align, it’s either solid confirmation… or the perfect setup for the market to humble us 😄
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Decode
Decode@decodejar·
@ewfib I agree with this 👍
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib·
@PavleCYM Could be – Your analysis is as good as mine – nobody can predict the future, these are just educated guesses. Let’s see how the RSI and structure plays out.
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib·
@johnnyhc179 Wouldn’t bet on exact months yet – esp. for Wave 9. But Q4 ‘25 for Wave 7 and Q1–Q2 ‘26 feels in the ballpark.
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johnny
johnny@johnnyhc179·
@ewfib wave 7: Nov 2025 and wave 9: july 2026 right?
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Decode
Decode@decodejar·
200-300k bitcoin cycle top
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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib·
@XForceGlobal When in doubt, zoom out is great advice. I have a similar but slightly different $BTC view. It’s the same idea I’ve had over the last 2.5 years, and the price still follows the grey pattern I placed on the chart back then. x.com/ewfib/status/1…
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci tweet media
Ξlliott Fi₿onacci@ewfib

Just some time fibs for $BTC 546 days till next #BTC halving I like the time measurements more IF the low is in From a price perspective a little bit lower ~82% would have been more convincing But 78% is within my tolerance ☺️ But you can interpret that chart as you wish😉

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XForceGlobal
XForceGlobal@XForceGlobal·
$BTC Friendly reminder: when in doubt, zoom out. Price discovery can make things feel uncertain, but this chart still shows paramount evidence that we’re in the late stages of the bull market (missing an overall void to the upside - extended 5th wave narrative). #ElliottWave
XForceGlobal tweet media
XForceGlobal@XForceGlobal

$BTC We must go higher if we are strictly following the halving schedule. This is why I have been constantly advocating that the shorter timeframes is all noise.

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TradeDevils
TradeDevils@tradedevils·
$XMR Monero has been unbelievable past 2 months
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Decode
Decode@decodejar·
300k #Bitcoin doesn't seem so outrageous now.
Decode tweet media
Decode@decodejar

My #Bitcoin price forecast is still $300k+ by the end of 2025 and I see no reason to change it. The charts are still saying the same thing to me.

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Ξlliott Fi₿onacci retweetledi
Kun
Kun@0x_Kun·
Dont tie your profile to a position you own Once your profile and emotion gets tied to a position it becomes your identity and then it becomes personal Once its personal you are no longer impartial from a critical thinking perspective and instead you see any negativity or positivity as a tie to your own value and self worth When you then hear someone say "that project has X potential concerns" you dont hear the issues you hear in your mind "you are an idiot" Similarly instead of thinking about both sides you will just like anything said thats positive and you become delusional as its success becomes tied to your self worth
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Keşfet

@TheRealPlanC @Darkfost_Coc @eliaven_ @PavleCYM @decodejar @dt_perspective @elonmusk @BarackObama