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148 posts

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@faradhbt

Katılım Eylül 2021
128 Takip Edilen57 Takipçiler
Yamco
Yamco@Yam_Trades·
$SPX Data from @ConvexValue This morning was an ok trading day. - Took some longs, took some shorts and am positive - I would love to say I shorted 5550 and rode it all the way down, but I didn't. 1) Took a long over 5425 (took ~25% off 5435 and stopped BE on rest). Positive gamma and positioning caused this to be a strong bounce throughout the morning. Once we lost 5515, it was a strong dip into 5490-5495. 2) I took a long at 5496 when we flushed 5490 and backtested it, but ended up stopping out at BE when we went up to 5502 and failed to continue on (At the time, deltas were turning positive). Deltas were inflecting up after we flushed 5490 - Deltas stalled and I made the decision to stop BE. 3) I flipped short on the break of 5488 (local low from the 1115 15min candle. Deltas look like a trip into 5440-5460 is likely. As of now, looks like 5440 is likely to hold the party but 5400 might be in the cards if market fails 5440.
Yamco tweet mediaYamco tweet media
Yamco@Yam_Trades

$SPX Data from @ConvexValue Daily Info -POLR has two paths - 5575/5580 upper POLR and 5480 for lower POLR -Overnight volumes are net bought calls near spot up to 5580 with highest with 5600 highest volume call overnight which appears net sold while 5400 put is highest ON volume and net bought (slightly). -Daily straddle is 60 pts giving us a [5465/5585] daily range -Weekly Straddle is [5385/5665] -Deltas on grind up overnight with calls net bought overnight and puts hovering around flat action (was briefly net more net sold but coming around to 0) -Today is an environment with positive gamma so expect PA to grind. Greeks -5490-5495 pivot marked (P) -Under this, the positioning indicates we could go down toward 5460 (Friday Cash Low) where until we break, we remain in BTD mode. I lean towards dips being bought until a headline changes the environment (Iran/Israel, China/EU tariffs). -(1) 5550 is an upside target while 5570 (2) is an upside target I'd imagine stops price action for the day. -If you're itching to fade a move up, 5575-5580 is where you can try but It's not for me. -(3) 5440-5445 could be a strong support. $BTCUSD $IBIT $MSTR $HOOD complex remains strong from my first posts on 04/17 and repeated posts last week.

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F H
F H@faradhbt·
@alphatrends Are you still long $spy from Friday?
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Brian Shannon, CMT
Brian Shannon, CMT@alphatrends·
This zone is where $TLT is supposed to find support after being rejected at the 🔴⚓️VWAP from the 12/2021 high 🟢AVWAP April low ⚫️200SMA 🔵YTD AVWAP 🟣VWAP 10/2023 low also a 50% retrace of April low to Sept high
Brian Shannon, CMT tweet media
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F H
F H@faradhbt·
@spotgamma What made $spx jump at 10:42 if there was a headwind from 0dte? Who was the first options or stocks?
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SpotGamma
SpotGamma@spotgamma·
$SPX has a big positive gamma headwind from the 0DTE crew, collecting their free premium selling alpha.
SpotGamma tweet media
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F H
F H@faradhbt·
@spotgamma Why don’t you consider them as the call buyers?
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SpotGamma
SpotGamma@spotgamma·
0DTE put sellers enforcing support $SPX
SpotGamma tweet media
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F H@faradhbt·
@RedDogT3 What a shame! You didn’t even know that you should have been wearing something in front of the camera as a professional!! Not cool!
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Scott Redler
Scott Redler@RedDogT3·
No #630club on Fridays. Perhaps 9:00 today post 8:30 Jobs Data $spy $spx
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F H
F H@faradhbt·
@Banana3Stocks It would be great if you could teach us how to hedge for the risky positions.
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Banana3
Banana3@Banana3Stocks·
$SPY $QQQ How did this play out? 😘 💛🍌🍌🍌
Banana3@Banana3Stocks

$SPY $QQQ If ur a professional u were hedging out risk before the binary event Big money pros were shorting the Futures market all week into the event, why? Cause u don’t have IV crush and premium risk in the futures market. U can do this with NVDA when it’s the biggest stock in the market and will affect the Nasdaq 100 greatly u just short the futures it’s like hedging NVDA along with market risk because of its size Once the event has occurred and sends futures into ur hedge ur selling that and going long futures now. You have already been paid for risk. Now risk can be put on for low cost Futures were down 250 handles in the NDX100 and now just down 140. 110 handles difference, usually crashes don’t have improvements 🤔. Too early to say but exactly what I mentioned is playing out. I’m not guessing, if u run money u are doing this. Doesn’t guarantee a reversal but def sets the stage for one 😘

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F H@faradhbt·
@hmeisler What’s your thought?
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Dune AnaIytics
Dune AnaIytics@DuneAnaIytics·
What is this sell off into the bell? Did the Market Police take the afternoon off?
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Warren Pies
Warren Pies@WarrenPies·
This model is up big over the past two days. The lesson: You don't have to go into low-quality/small caps to participate in the broadening thesis. There is now an ETF tracking the FCT model.
3Fourteen Research@3F_Research

Full-Cycle Trend picks for the month of May. YTD Performance: -FCT +14% -S&P 500 +10% -SP EW +5% - $QUAL +10.7% 1-Yr FCT beating -S&P by 8% -SP EW by 18% - $QUAL by 6% 3-Yr FCT beating -S&P by 17% -SP EW by 30% - $QUAL by 20%

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Imran Lakha | Options Insight
Imran Lakha | Options Insight@options_insight·
These GAMMA levels are going parabolic on $SPX. Explains why we can't break out of a 13 tick range!
Imran Lakha | Options Insight tweet media
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Bob Elliott
Bob Elliott@BobEUnlimited·
Macro Data > Dots Macro Data > Fed speeches Macro Data > Political influence Macro Data > Real short rate theories Macro Data > Short rate market pricing Macro Data > Inflation measures ex this or that Macro Data > "Leading" items in the data Macro Data > Hope for cuts
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Jake Wujastyk
Jake Wujastyk@Jake__Wujastyk·
$TSLA #TSLA Trading right at the covid low VWAP & diagonal trend zone originating from the Covid low.
Jake Wujastyk tweet media
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David Keller, CMT
David Keller, CMT@DKellerCMT·
Dave in late December: "Small caps finally breaking out of a major base. Bullish!" Dave in early January: "Then again, maybe not." $IWM above 200 means a big base breakout and I'm not anticipating another sideways adventure like 2023.
David Keller, CMT tweet media
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F H
F H@faradhbt·
@shortseller How is the chart interpreted?
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Imran Lakha | Options Insight
Imran Lakha | Options Insight@options_insight·
Well that was a waste of premium! The great thing about using 0dte options instead of futures is that you get stopped out so quickly when the market moves in the wrong direction. That’s why so many are using these in this way. Need to size appropriately so not to lose large chunks of your capital, but these option give max leverage.
Imran Lakha | Options Insight@options_insight

@spotgamma Bought some puts, couldn’t resist! Don’t see how Powell can be dovish here.

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Andy Constan
Andy Constan@dampedspring·
What I always find interesting is that 1/2 of the total market cap increase in Russell 2000 has been erased by MSFT today.
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Dune AnaIytics
Dune AnaIytics@DuneAnaIytics·
It is currently 80 degrees here. It is also November 8th. But it is the last of the 'summer' days. It has been fab.
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F H
F H@faradhbt·
@dampedspring Thank you for sharing! Is cash king today?
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Keşfet

@Yam_Trades @ConvexValue @alphatrends @spotgamma @RedDogT3 @Banana3Stocks @hmeisler @Alchingoon