michael

Our world operates according to the fundamental laws of physics.amidst the uncertainty that shrouds our future, one truth remains immutable: exponential growth, must eventually yield to the forces of nature. it is not if but when. youtube.com/watch?v=Ip5l1L… x.com/nephologue/sta…

We’re collectively standing inside a black swan event — the deceptive calm before its force Inexorably reshapes the world. The lag between cause and effect is closing fast. no borders, markets, or systems will be left untouched. Brace yourself. #IranWar‌

Is climate change a problem or a predicament? A problem is something you can solve with better information,smarter choices,or more adaptive agents.A predicament,by contrast you can only respond to because physical laws set the ultimate trajectory. ⬇️⬇️ @EconomicGrowthandCollaps-np2yp" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">youtube.com/@EconomicGrowt…

4/4- Conservation of energy and the entropy law impose that no decision rule can bypass resource depletion or declining Energy Return on Investment (EROI). Agents may learn and adapt, but they cannot negotiate with thermodynamics.

3/4-This framing aligns with open-system thinking, where external energy and innovation continually relax the limits. A predicament, by contrast, recognises that physical laws—particularly the first and second laws of thermodynamics—set the ultimate trajectory....

@CollapseAcademy @ProfMattEngland you don't need to subscribe paywall free link archive.is/fQDes

@ProfMattEngland Why share an article we have to subscribe to?

Super El Nino: Rare weather event could bring 'globally catastrophic' extreme weather and spike global temperatures smh.com.au/environment/cl…

New preprint out by myself and Matheus Grasselli in @EGU_ESD showing how a global hyperinflationary shock is an expected consequence of climate change, plausibly emerging in the next few decades. egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026…

Let me explain what just happened 👇 5 minutes before the President announced a halt to attacks on Iran… someone placed a $1.5 BILLION bet on stocks going up and dumped $192 million in oil. 5 minutes… These trades were 4 to 6 times larger than anything else in the entire market. Whoever did this wasn’t guessing. You don’t risk $1.5 billion on a hunch. There was zero public indication this announcement was coming. No leaks. No press. Nothing. The only people who knew were in the room when the decision was made. Someone in that room picked up a phone. And within minutes they made more money than most Americans will earn in a thousand lifetimes. In a single trade. On a war that cost you $4+ a gallon gas and $16 billion in tax dollars. American citizens funded this war. Politicians are profiting from it. This is not the first time. Every major announcement from this administration has had massive suspicious trades right before it dropped. Tariff reversals. Policy shifts. War decisions. This is the most blatant insider trading operation in the history of American politics. It’s not even close. And it’s happening over and over in broad daylight. You would go to federal prison for trading on a tip from your cousin. These people are front running war decisions with billion dollar bets and nobody will ever ask a single question. Nobody will be investigated. Nobody will be charged. By tomorrow this will be buried under the next satisfying headline. Just like last time. And the time before that. The game is rigged. And they’re not even trying to hide it anymore…

@ctindale who are "they"...do "they" rule in a collapsed civilisation?

They are literally praying for the collapse of civilisation as a way to solve climate change .

Note: In a connected world, the only number that matters is total global fossil fuel consumption.Until the total flux of carbon from reservoirs to atmosphere drops,the planetary heat engine keeps running up, regardless of where the fuel happens to be burned.

El Nino strength is important, but the extraordinary, accelerating, warming of global sea surface temperatures is much more important. See Super El Nino? – mailchi.mp/caa/super-el-n… Also available on Substack: jimehansen.substack.com/p/super-el-nin…

@janrosenow x.com/i/status/20347…

When I started working on UK energy in 2007, fossil fuels provided ~78% of electricity. Coal alone: 34%. Wind & solar: less than 2%. Today: wind & solar 33%, fossil fuels 28%, coal 0%. The chart below tells the story better than words can.

@JKSteinberger Nous sommes déjà venus ici...it's not the first time we've discussed agency & deterministic outlook.glad to see you feeling better Julia. I had a better outcome discussing this subject with Carey King recently x.com/fardos/status/…

@ClimateBen x.com/fardos/status/…

scientists, 2024: "the rate of global heat uptake has more than f*cking doubled!" US empire, 2026: "time for another horrific end times oil war"

From a deterministic outlook,its always been "very,very late"...The eventual state has never been a matter of probability but of necessity,baked into the original thermodynamic state. x.com/nephologue/sta…

@fardos Honestly nonsense and I'm a trained physicist. Cheers

@JKSteinberger Tim's problem isn't that he's wrong—it's that he's arrived at a thermodynamically sound conclusion that happens to be super duper unpopular. Being the bearer of factual news in a world that prefers comforting fictions? That's a lonely job. But reality doesn't negotiate.🙃

@fardos I love Tim but he is super duper wrong on this.