DogeBillionaire
16.9K posts
You can pretty much take any crypto asset that’s not undergoing unlocks, identify a dip, set bids, set a reasonable stop, and target multiples of risk higher.
This is a bullish market; buy the dips.
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*HASSETT: WE SEE SIGNS OF SUCCESS IN TRUMP'S POLICIES IN CPI
*HASSETT: NAVY HAS MADE PROGRESS HELPING FRIENDLY SHIPS IN GULF
zerohedge@zerohedge
*HASSETT: A WHOLE BUNCH OF GASOLINE DEFLATION ON THE WAY *HASSETT: IT'S REALISTIC TO GET GASOLINE PRICES TO $3 A GALLON
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CPI hot take:
"This is great news for Kevin Warsh and the Fed. Everyone expected energy to drop, but there was also good news in car prices, shelter and apparel. However, these trends might not last if renewed conflict in the Middle East lifts oil prices" - David Russell, TS
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CPI came a lot lower than expected. This is going to calm down the interest rate hikes fears. So i'm expecting some relief in the short term at least
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Textbook fakeout by $BTC market makers yesterday.
Study it.
The playbook is pretty obvious by now. Spend the majority of the day below the HTF support, then recover it entirely during the last hour to keep the structure in place.
Why?
Bait shorts early in the day with what looks like a HTF break of structure. Recover it by the close to prevent the actual break. Then use those trapped shorts as fuel to manoeuvre the move back to the top of the range.
This is exactly why I mentioned the 4H being the fastest indication of whether we'd truly break structure, or recover back above the neckline by close.
On the 4H, we simply put in a higher low while imitating a break of structure on the HTF.
I have very little doubt that if we revisit $64.8K, all of those positions trapped yesterday will be used to force the breakout above resistance.
Ardi@ArdiNSC
$BTC The 4H structure is saving BTC from a deeper flush right now. The HTF double top neckline (12H, daily) has been penetrated, but there's still a quarter of the day left until the close for a potential recovery. Since we've seen those timeframes wick early in the day and recover towards the close, I'm watching the 4H neckline at roughly $61.6K to see if it holds as support before then. That's the fastest indication of whether we flush deeper into the range, or hold and recover into the HTF closes. The 4H isn't a clean double top like the higher timeframes, but structurally it's the same setup. We've gotten relatively close to testing its neckline, but so far price has simply put in another higher low. Worth noting - when this base was being built the first time, it did the same thing. A flush, a higher low, then a revisit of the range highs. So I'm not overly bearish before those closes, unless we lose the 4H structural support first.
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@crypto_condom what's your opinion on july if war keeps going, hormuz stays shut and oil keeps climbing..
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@blknoiz06 they won't fall as long as Iran war goes on..
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if expectations of rate hikes rest of year fall considerably then this is good for our coins bros
MP@MoneyPrinter0x
@Shoulder_Brah now weak jobs and cool cpi => timer for rate hike exp to fall & warsh trend talk
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@elerianm lower numbers due to fake Iran peace.. that is all gone now
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US CPI inflation came in notably softer than expected across the board (Bloomberg table below).
This print should help temper what had become an excessively hawkish market tilt to the monetary policy outlook.
However, this softer print won't fully resolve the debate over the forward-looking relevance of these numbers (please see prior posts).
#economy #markets #inflation
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@PILTR_XBT oil going back up so july numbers will be fucked again..
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$BTC
CPI came in significantly cooler than expected.
> Core CPI and headline CPI both missed to the downside.
> Supports the case for earlier/more Fed rate cuts.
> Bearish for the USD, bullish for risk assets.
Initial reaction favors BTC & equities, assuming the move isn’t already fully priced in
-> waiting for stabilization before taking action
-> out on $ETH on entry with profits
PILTR@PILTR_XBT
$BTC | CPI day Today’s main event is US CPI. Historically, CPI prints have leaned bearish for BTC this year, although every release is obviously context-dependent -> after deviation from expectations, positioning is aggressively hunted. acceptance is built afterwards More recently, labor market data has pointed toward a softer economy, reinforcing expectations for eventual Fed easing. Bullish for risk assets: > CPI comes in below expectations (especially Core). -> Weaker inflation -> weaker USD -> more room for rate cuts -> supportive for BTC & equities. Bearish for risk assets: > CPI comes in above expectations. -> Sticky inflation -> stronger USD -> fewer/delayed rate cuts -> headwind for BTC & equities. Expect elevated volatility around the release. Stay reactive. -> positions are secured. main plan remains the same
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JUNE U.S. 🇺🇸 INFLATION DATA:
CPI 3.5% YoY, (Est. 3.8%)
CPI -0.4% MoM, (Est. 0.0%)
Core CPI 2.6% YoY, (Est. 2.9%)
Core CPI 0.0% MoM, (Est. 0.2%)
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@exitpumpBTC cpi positioning.. they will try to push it lower if numbers suck
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@ThePumponomics fart is easy 3-5x from here imo. but not for a while
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i top blasted $2.4m of fartcoin (down ~12% rn).
screenshot attached.
some context, i spent all of 2025 convinced meme mindshare had topped.
recent events made me reassess that. i kept coming back to the same question.
why does retail buy crypto?
every cycle the answer is the same: as a lottery ticket. a shot at turning $1k into $100k in a month. and in a bull run, memes pay out on that bet more often than the actual lottery does
but i have zero experience hunting new memes at $500k market cap and zero edge doing it. i'm too old and lazy for the trenches and i like being concentrated in a few charts i can actually watch.
so if i wanted meme exposure the criteria became: timeless, universally funny, tied to nothing that can go stale.
fartcoin fit that well. everyone farts. a 10 year old laughs at it and so does my mother. it spent stretches of 2025 leading risk sentiment through fomc meetings while triggering every tradfi account on this app.
it topped at $2.5b, a fraction of what the big dogs hit in 2021, and it's only one cycle old, so the lower highs death spiral that kills most alts hasn't had a chance to form.
this is a long term play. no, i don't know where it bottoms, i could be underwater for a long time waiting for risk on season. that's okay, im good with my entry.
i started buying down 92% from the high with a bullish divergence printing on the weekly rsi. the divergence alone is a coin flip, but it did make me feel better about hitting the buy button.
the underrated part: buying a meme lets me turn my brain off. no roadmap to track, no team to lose faith in, no tech thesis that can quietly break. the whole idea fits in one line: if times get good, people buy funny things and hold them while they go up.
people will ask for a target...
hot air rises.
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Bitcoin is Digital Capital. Strategy transforms it into Digital Credit. $BTC
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GMMMMM cpi expert 😆The chaos I’m seeing on my CT homepage right now is amusing, to say the least.
Accounts that change their narrative every single day, posting completely contradictory analyses just to make a splash and chase engagement.
Today they’re super bullish, tomorrow a crash is imminent, and the day after that they’re back to setting crazy targets.
If every market movement forces you to rewrite your outlook, perhaps you don’t have a strategy: you’re simply reacting to the price.
In the markets, it’s not the ones who make the most noise who win. It’s those who stick to a plan, manage risk and remain consistent even when the crowd changes its mind every 24 hours.
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@CryptoLuffyOG one green month makes everyone forget how bear markets are
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$BTC:
With everyone thinking that we have bottomed out in crypto markets just because we have had a pullback in july I thought I would share some analysis and thoughts on why we are not at the bottom just yet.
Any thoughts/comments and feedbacks are much appreciated and I am just another trader like all of you guys :)
#CryptoHolders #Cryptoinvestment #Bitcoin
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@5morewhooppers people are over estmating the demand for internet funny coin in time of AI
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People really expecting sub 50k are vastly underestimating the sheer amount of money there is in the world and overestimating how big Saylor really is for Bitcoin.
LGW
hedgedhog@hedgedhog7
if saylor thought the past 12 months were bad, the next 12 are going to be worse imo that being said you have to bid 52k (pre-trump range lows), 42k (eft range) I don't see any reason to bid aggressively on $btc since you can wait for it to break 67k to fill long-term bags
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