Foster
337 posts
Foster
@Foster
Tech guy, developer, and degenerate. Full time prediction market trader📈 Part time online shitposter 📉
Katılım Haziran 2013
518 Takip Edilen6.9K Takipçiler
Kalshi conference was awesome. Very fun meeting a bunch of super smart trad fi people, super smart traders, and others like @PredMTrader
Also got 1st place in the conference trading leaderboard, pretty cool
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Foster retweetledi
Had a great time at the Kalshi Conference!
Really cool finally meeting so many people in person after talking online all year
Hope to see more events like this in the future!
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@Bonnet657 @PredMTrader Damn the dim lighting really helped me out if this is the sentiment
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You may not like it, but this is what peak Kalshi trading performance looks like
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@camusafk @PredMTrader @judyshel @rigatohni Yeah unfortunately poly mentions are much less volume usually. And the new fees probably wont help too much.
Kalshi has done great embracing the category and obviously the graph shows its working
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@Foster @PredMTrader @judyshel @rigatohni lol, but still Kalshi had way better volume on mentions.
On poly it was 60k during the trump cabinet meeting
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@camusafk @PredMTrader @judyshel @rigatohni Are you saying you dont?
Maybe you're just a late bloomer
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@Foster @PredMTrader @judyshel @rigatohni I used to weight 3kg when I was born and 4.5 the following month.
So by now I must weight 5.48 x 10^42 kg
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@anishbuilds @PredMTrader @judyshel @rigatohni Myself from data on the Kalshi api. Im making a section on my website pp.tools to display more :)
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@douglas_sh_base @PredMTrader @judyshel @rigatohni 180 million x50 every 6 months for next 18 months is 22.5 trillion in monthly volume. If we changed the nfl to having multiple superbowls a year it could maybe even happen sooner too
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@PredMTrader @judyshel @rigatohni Crazy to think people like @PredMTrader are literally on the path to be the next Warren Buffet
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@XPredicter @PredMTrader Glad you enjoy, I make all these for myself firstly and just publish them so Im happy if people use them too!
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Interesting Kalshi profit by entry price dashboard
My takeaway is to buy more penny shares
From @Foster's pp.tools/chart
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@anon629186391 @RookeBrollins @Kalshi Maybe not perfect but definitely the best out there right now. I know of just a handful of markets i've been in recently where they've paid multiple 6 figures to pay both sides 🤷♂️
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Of all the Poly announcements today, this one makes me feel the best. If you're gonna trade a platform, you should trust that the platform will take responsibility when an issue on their end causes losses to users.
For those who weren't aware, a few months ago @RookeBrollins lost ~50k due to a UI bug on Poly, and is now getting a refund.
Kalshi has been great in this regard in my experience, often refunding losses that are their fault from bugs, outages, and poor rules. Sweet to see the same happening on poly nowadays :)
Rooke Brollins@RookeBrollins
Update: While I have been largely silent about this on X so far, I can now announce that @Polymarket has agreed to fully refund the loss caused by the glitch, not in small part thanks to the patient work of @chrund1e, @kea1on and Candiey, really underappreciated team (1/3)
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@DrSlipz @PredMTrader Yeah, a good chunk is catching mistakes, some are good longshots that paid off (like time POTY). I'm not some super predictor calling 1% picks weekly
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@PredMTrader @Foster Are the penny profits not just 99% ppl miss bonding something?
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I highly recommend this podcast episode. This episode with @Foster is on par with some of the great @Domahhhh podcasts
GoldenPants13@goldenpants013
New Episode of the POD out today. Myself and @Sports__Proj interview @Foster - one of the most successful non-sports traders on Kalshi & Poly. Some great stuff in here including a middle on the "Best AI" market, non-sports RFQs and why Foster is willing to buy anything for 1c⬇️
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@ilikestarburst1 @goldenpants013 @Sports__Proj Yeah I did and still do trade sports in bigger events sometimes. I have gotten pretty lucky and am up a good bit on them so far
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@Foster @goldenpants013 @Sports__Proj wait i just listened to the pod when you say you traded sports for a bit thats not announcer markets right? sounded like you only did football but i thought you did nba a bit too?
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Super fun time chatting on here with @goldenpants013 and @Sports__Proj - We talked about a ton, even talked about way back when I was doing chores to play Full Tilt Poker tourneys when I was like 10/11 lol
Give it a listen😁
GoldenPants13@goldenpants013
New Episode of the POD out today. Myself and @Sports__Proj interview @Foster - one of the most successful non-sports traders on Kalshi & Poly. Some great stuff in here including a middle on the "Best AI" market, non-sports RFQs and why Foster is willing to buy anything for 1c⬇️
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