@SowingAlphaSeed Perhaps I am missing something with the graph, but it shows shorting shares generating a return greater than 100% ? (If adding to the short continually >100% is understandable.)
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Frothy Assets
9.4K posts
Frothy Assets
@frothyassets
Diary for speculative market analysis and frequent political musings.
Katılım Ocak 2021
143 Takip Edilen1.6K Takipçiler
Frothy Assets retweetledi
I don’t know why everyone is worried about the LNG market. Canada is HERE TO BACKFILL QATAR’S LOST VOLUMES.
If we start today, and work all-out around the clock, in just a FEW SHORT YEARS Canada can confidently deliver a preliminary environmental impact assessment. After that it’ll just be a couple of hundred weeks before the indigenous consulting is complete after which the ascension to final decision by the federal environment minister can take place.
When the federal agencies make their decisions, we can FINALLY BEGIN provincial permitting. This won’t take long, and once provincial permitting is complete we just have to execute a short 5 year ecosystem monitoring study. After that, when we submit final plans to the provincial government, we should be GOOD TO GO AHEAD AND BUILD a very comprehensive community information pamphlet for the mandatory 720 day public comment period.
When the public comment period is complete, and the final investment decision is reached, it’ll be SHOVELS IN THE GROUND on the local fencing needed to secure the site for 2 years to give migratory species enough time to change their patterns.
Once migration patterns are changed, and the final hazardous emissions diffusion studies are complete, the community is consulted, and all permits are obtained, CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNDERWAY on the monitoring systems needed to ensure that no local Salmon population feel personally slighted by any new infrastructure.
While this sounds like an arduous process, it’s TOTALLY necessary to ensure Canada remains carbon-competitive. Have no fear all those that may be unable to heat their homes in a few short weeks, Canada is here to deliver ENERGY SECURITY TO THE WORLD… unless it impacts the livelihood of one single snail, then you’re on your own kid.
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@irbezek Good point. I think there is plenty of overlap between value investors and general knife catchers. There are some people who like to call themselves value investors, but they are mostly attracted to buying things down a lot (regardless of valuation fundamentals).
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@tbpn @MartinShkreli Plenty of unknown risks, this should be most stressed.
But the answer to “What is your upside to taking illegally manufactured retatrutide?” is pretty clearly the ability to retain/add muscle, unlike the skinny-fat physique majority get with Ozempic.
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.@MartinShkreli says taking retatrutide is the "worst risk-reward decision you could possibly make":
"The people that are taking peptides, and have these 'peptide stacks,' are mostly people in SF, maybe in NY. They're very wealthy people. They don't know what the rest of the world looks like."
"Nobody else in Middle America is excited to do this. It's not normal to inject yourself with things. This isn't a thing everyone should be doing."
"What is your upside to taking illegally manufactured retatrutide — you can't verify it, etc. — versus just taking Ozempic?"
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Since middle of last year, after any market drawdown people are now expecting a TACO and are trying to front run it. The looming notion of a TACO keeps vol pretty constrained now vs before liberation day. YTD due to the looming TACO expectations, equities haven’t sold off huge (and not a single VIX close above 30).
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@P_Remarks There are zero bonus points for market martyrs, but your points still stand.
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@EffMktHype I suppose a benefit of low birth rates is that the men have more money to buy stocks….if they had a family the money would go elsewhere.
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*KOREA RETAIL TRADERS BUY RECORD 7T WON OF KOSPI STOCKS MONDAY
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@EffMktHype They won’t hike this year, threatening/signaling a potential hike would do plenty to tighten financial conditions (if needed).
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lol i cant wait to see Fed hiking and cutting in the same year
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This is the first global conflict to be fought … in the stock market
OSINT_PK@osintPk
🚨 Fun fact #1: Donald Trump’s new ultimatum expires in 5 days, right when markets close. 🚨 Fun fact #2: In those same 5 days, the USS Tripoli (LHA 7) carrying around 2,200 Marines will be in position. Timing like this is rarely random.
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Frothy Assets retweetledi
I guess the US is negotiating with a faction of Iran…
Is it the faction that controls the missiles and the Strait? That’s the only thing that matters
*Walter Bloomberg@DeItaone
WHITE HOUSE EYES IRAN’S PARLIAMENT SPEAKER AS POTENTIAL US-BACKED LEADER- POLITICO
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It would be neat to listen to George from Upslope Capital interviewed by @ethanrkho or on another podcast.
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Great interview with @orrdavid -good interviewer as well.
I also agree that @UpslopeCapital has a criminally low AUM despite a solid track record.
Ethan Kho@ethanrkho
MUST-WATCH: How David Orr Built Militia Capital David Orr (@orrdavid) played professional poker in Thailand, got squeezed out by bots, then taught himself to invest from scratch. Today Militia Capital manages a multi-PM platform with 1,200 positions. No Wharton MBA. No analyst years. Just 15-hour days reading up on stocks and thinking in expected value. "I don't need to boost my own ego and prove my idea will be right in 30 years. If it's not making money within months or a couple quarters, I'm wrong—and I cut it completely." We cover: - Why the "Bet Against Beta" paper destroyed everything he learned about risk - Finding 200-to-1 odds on inflation using eurodollar futures (risked 0.5%, closed early at 20-to-1) - How he shorted NVIDIA in 2023, got blindsided by earnings, then flipped long: "This could be the most valuable company in the world" - Running 350 positions personally: airports, Japan small caps, natural gas pipelines—themes you can ride for decades - Why pod shops are "fleecing pensions" with factor-neutral mandates & why he gives PMs 90% economics after 3 years - The support role opportunity nobody talks about: operations people who save $2M/year in financing costs - His advice for aspiring investors: "Get an Interactive Brokers account with $10K. Bet small on 30 genuinely different ideas. If you don't want to look at stocks 15 hours a day within the first month, give up." Thanks @orrdavid for the conversation. Highlights: 00:00 From Poker to Hedge Funds 05:38 Exploring Asymmetric Bets: The Search for Value 11:32 The Future of Hedge Funds 17:08 Risk Management in Investing 30:32 Understanding Risk Management in Investment 35:49 The Unique Path to Becoming an Investor 43:47 Building Your Own Investment Edge 50:49 The Importance of Passion & Commitment in Investing 58:26 Exploring Support Roles in the Investment Industry
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@UpslopeCapital gold -3%
Not super relevant in my mind, but slightly relevant for those who view it as “digital gold.”
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@orrdavid @ToplelWhonk @Ryandally08 @John_Hempton Especially when their beliefs/actions line up with their religious texts.
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@ToplelWhonk @Ryandally08 @John_Hempton How about when people tell you who they are, you believe them.
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#BREAKING A large group of Middle Eastern men march through Sydney’s Pitt St Mall screaming “Allahu Akbar”
Welcome to Anthony Albanese’s multicultural Australia.
This would be very confronting for any normal Australian just trying to go about their day.
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@ToplelWhonk @orrdavid @Ryandally08 @John_Hempton The key point there is “unfairly dislikes.”
It is very fair to dislike a group of people who hold values and beliefs that are incompatible in a flourishing society.
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Frothy Assets retweetledi
wtf did i just read LMAO
ai-powered cows worth $2 billion are using an algorithm called the “cowgorithm” to boost farming productivity (i’m not fucking joking)
- Halter makes ai-powered cow collars that virtually monitor health, location and herd cows
- farmers literally tap a button on the app and the cows gather for milking
- 600,000 cow collars already live
- peter thiel is backing their latest round worth $2 billion
every fucking time i think ive seen the most ridiculous (but cool) application of ai i am proven wrong.
Bloomberg@business
Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund is backing a company bringing AI to cow herding at a $2 billion valuation bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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A Seattle man who shot and killed an eight-month pregnant Korean-American woman and nearly killed her husband when they were driving to work has been found not guilty by reason of insanity.
Cordell Goosby m—rdered Elina Kwon and her unborn baby in June 2023 when they were stopped at a red light. Prosecutors did not charge him for killing the baby due to concerns about protecting abortion in the liberal state.
After hearing testimony from defense medical experts that Goosby was "insane" at the time of the shootings, the prosecution agreed to have the case ended through the not guilty motion.
Goosby will be committed to an institution and regularly evaluated to see if he is fit to be released to the public. ngocomment.com
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Trump’s public obsession with the stock market reveals a clear pressure point that adversaries can target.
محمدباقر قالیباف | MB Ghalibaf@mb_ghalibaf
Alongside military bases, those financial entities that finance the US military budget are legitimate targets. US treasury bonds are soaked in Iranians' blood. Purchase them, and you purchase a strike on your HQ and assets. We monitor your portfolios. This is your final notice.
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@orrdavid For a right tail, short dated OTM bitcoin calls look cheaper than I would have thought. IBIT May $45 for around $1:
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