Faisal Sherjan

عوام کو گر اب بھی سمجھ نہیں آئی تو پاکستان کا کوئی مستقبل نہیں۔ یہ ناجائز حکومت ہے۔ اس کو عوام نے منتخب نہیں کیا۔ اس میں سہونیت داخل ہو چکی ہے۔ اب سے ہے اس کو مکمل مسترد کرنے کی۔ آج سے اپنی گاڑی اور موٹر سائکل صرف امرجیںنسی میں استعمال کریں' شہروں کے درمیان صفر کرنا مؤخر کر دیں، سکول، کالج، دفتر اور مارکیٹ جانا بند کر دیں. کاروبار بند کر دیں. دکانیں بند کر دیں. یقین جانیں آپ مریں گے نہیں ایک ہی نعرہ لگائیں #ناجئز_حکومت_مسترد ہفتوں میں یہ حکومت گرے گی۔ یہ نا کیا تو نسلیں روئیں گی

So, after all the breathless hullabaloo, we’re now promised radio silence because, naturally, “such negotiations require confidentiality.” How convenient. The story is strategically leaked, and the stenos dutifully report it without an iota of skepticism or follow-up. And then, just like that, another “scoop” dissolves into thin air. No further questions asked. Tomorrow, it’ll be rinse and repeat with the next one. Here’s what @amanpour reported about these supposed talks (with Tweedledee and Tweedledum allegedly already in Islamabad): “…even the White House, sort of off the record, people are saying, actually, these so-called talks are nowhere near being, you know, fully thought out or even meetings being scheduled yet. This is just messages that are being passed, I think, probably from the United States to Iran via third parties. And they’ve mentioned, you know, parties like Pakistan, Turkey, Egypt. But at the moment, there’s been just a massive denial from Iran. I mean, whether we ask them by our own means of reaching them or whether they say it on their broadcasts and on their social media, they say this is fake news—it’s just Donald Trump trying to play the market. And they insist that the only way to have any negotiations is, A, once the bombing stops, and, B—at least they say—that they’ll only stop if there’s some kind of agreement to ensure they never get attacked again and that sanctions get lifted.”

Every military dictator promises recovery, stability, growth and global relevance. And every time the public falls for this new adventure. The failure rate so far of a military dictator delivering on any of the promises in Pakistan is 100%. They have a proven track record of failure backed by data, reality, and their own acknowledgement. Yet, the paid argument is that this time it's going to be different.

Here are my thoughts based on historical facts and evidence around Pakistan's latest attempts to be the mediator between US and Iran, how it impacts Pakistan, and what can we predict based on data. 1. Nothing sells better than Geopolitics It works like opioid on the masses, delivers escape from governance and accountability to the ruling elite, and provides the surest ladder for a military dictator to take over. But there are still those, even the smart ones, that fall for these big foreign policy wins, chest-thumping centrality, and strategic relevance, every single time they are fed these lies. Luckily, some of us have done enough academic work on the subject to identify the patterns and predict how this latest geopolitical con will end, so that people are not duped into it, again! 2. This isn't the first time Pakistan's geopolitics obsessed ruling elite has played a pivotal role in geopolitics for last 7 decades at an enormous price to the country and its people. Gen Yahya Khan brokered an icebreaker between the US and China that shifted the power balance in favour of the US during the Cold War. Kissinger literally came to Pakistan, pretended to be ill, and ended up in China. It was Pakistan's biggest geopolitical moment. But here is a problem that these geopolitical hacks don't mention. While Gen Yahya was brokering peace between US and China in the summer of 1971, he used that as a leverage to unleash tyranny in East Pakistan, and by Dec 1971, neither Nixon/Kissinger nor Zhou Enlai could prevent the collapse of Pakistan and the creation of Bangladesh. It was the obsession with geopolitics and arrogance that came with the sense of US support, that turned the top military and political leadership blind. We are witnessing the exact same blindness again today in 2026. A few years later, the script reset with General Zia who literally was pivotal in bringing down the Berlin Wall, and US winning the Cold War. Pakistan fought as a front line state against the Soviet Union, running one of the greatest proxy wars in history. But it came at a price of Pakistan losing its population to militancy, extremism, and sectarianism that destroyed every fibre of Pakistani society, from inside out. It did make some military and civilian leaders very rich, generational rich. For the rest of the country and people, every geopolitics win added to the misery. A little over decade later it was time for Gen Musharraf who positioned Pakistan as the front line state fighting the War on Terror, becoming the most critical partner of the US. President Bush was the biggest of Gen Musharraf and saw in him as a "true friend". The price? Pakistan droned its own people, destroyed the tribal areas including KP, and permanently lost Baluchistan. Even very recently, Pakistan played a critical role through Doha Accord to help US exit Afghanistan and end the war. We all are seeing live, exactly what price we have paid since then. Is it going to be any different with another round of geopolitics? Highly unlikely! 3. Short-term personal survival over long term national stability. Here are some facts. Pakistan's geopolitics is heavily geared to achieve domestic political goals for the ruling elite. The reason because, what we have in Pakistan is an illegitimate regime run by a military dictator, who has imprisoned the most popular public leader for the last 2 years. The lack of legitimacy and credibility requires the military dictator to find external source of strength and support, from the US. Therefore, since President Trump won the elections, Pakistan has danced to every single tune of the White House. Trump said we want critical minerals, Pakistan announced it has the largest critical minerals reserve in the world and hosted an expo. Trump said he was interested in Crypto, Pakistan presented itself as the crypto capital of the world despite the fact that Crypto remains banned in Pakistan. Trump mentioned Gaza, and Pakistan jumped to become part of the Board of Peace. So now, as Trump is struggling in Iran, the regime in Pakistan is presenting itself as the mediator to solve all problems. The fundamental problem here is, in hopes to appease President Trump and survive in power, Pakistan's military regime has given up on sovereignty and national interest. Instead it has prioritized and peg itself to the American interest. It is comfortably happy with a pat on back from the President Trump, as long as it survives in power, but the country is up in flames with terrorism, economic crash, inflation, political breakdown and judicial collapse. What regime trolls, and geopolitics experts don't get is that geopolitics only serve the ruling elite, a military dictator, not the country or its national interest, and certainly not the people. Their big wins in the geopolitics, are big losses for the people and their freedoms and livelihood back home. 4. So what we can predict? If a hostile intelligence was to undo Pakistan, this is exactly what it would be doing right now. What is bizarre is that, Pakistan has already gone through exactly like just over 50 years ago, and faced a collapse. Yet, another military dictator is going through the exact same script all over again, expecting a different outcome. It's literally the definition of madness. Every piece of data, evidence and signal is suggesting, that unless major course correction, Pakistan is facing another collapse, and the regime will walk right into it chest-thumping and cheering over it as a big win.

@Ali_Abbas_Zaidi دلالوں کا ٹولہ

Unsurprisingly: Difa e Pakistan Council (group of many banned outfits) has been activated. They held a press conference against Iran yesterday in Karachi. DPC include banned Sipah e Sahaba, Jamat ud' Dawa amongst several 4th scheduled extremist leaders.

پاکستان کی شرح نمو 6 فی صد سے 3 فی صد پر لا کر قسمت بدل دی۔ پاکستان کا بیرونی قرضہ 88 ارب ڈالر سے 138 ارب ڈالر پر لا کر قسمت بدل دی۔ بیرونی سرمایہ کاری 1 اعشاریہ 81 ارب ڈالر سے 0 اعشاریہ 98 ارب ڈالر پر لا کر قسمت بدل دی۔ ڈالر کی قیمت 184 روپے سے 279 روپے تک پہنچا کر قسمت بدل دی۔ پیٹرول کی قیمت 149 روپے فی لیٹر سے 321 روپے فی لیٹر تک پہنچا کر قسمت بدل دی۔ تجارتی خسارہ ساڑھے تین ارب ڈالر سے بڑھا کر 3 ارب 71 کروڑ ڈالر تک پہنچا کر قسمت بدل دی۔ پاکستان کو دہشت گردی کے عالمی انڈیکس میں 6 فی صد اضافے کے ساتھ پہلے نمبر پر پہنچا کر قسمت بد دی۔ کامیاب خارجہ پالیسی کے تحت اپنے پڑوسی ملک افغانستان کے ساتھ جنگ میں الجھ کر قسمت بدل دی۔ داد تو بنتی ہے عباسی صاحب۔

"Prisoner number 804: the plot to erase Imran Khan It’s one thing to remove a PM from office, as happened to the former cricketer in 2022. But it’s another thing to try to eradicate the most famous person in Pakistan’s history" theguardian.com/world/2026/mar…

To my dearest Hassan, my warrior, my pride, Happy Birthday. I am more proud of you today than I have ever been. Your struggle is noble, and your conviction is a light in this darkest hour. Like your Mammu, you chose the difficult path of truth to obtain the Pakistan that Iqbal dreamed of and Ali Jinnah fought for. Knowing that you spend your days learning the Quran is the greatest comfort to your Amma’s heart. In that sacred knowledge, you are strengthening your soul, finding resilience, and walking the path of our all pious predecessors who were also often oppressed by the powers of their time. Let every ayah you learn be a shied against despair, and every chapter a reminder that victory belongs to those who are patient and steadfast. Remember the words of the Creator: "Do not think that Allah is unaware of what the wrongdoers do" (Surah Ibrahim, 14:42)

Yesterday I spoke to my father. He asked me to relay the following message: “The judges in this country should be ashamed of themselves. Time and time again we have gone to the judiciary. But they have sold their souls for their paid personal privileges. They have sold their integrity. They know they cannot break me, so they turn to my wife. How they can allow this inhumane treatment to Bushra BiBi, simply to blackmail me. She spends 24 hours a day in isolation, except for 30 minutes with me per week - and even that is often ignored. It is unislamic to harm women, children and the elderly - and their motives are plain and clear. The judges are responsible for the justice in a society. They should be ashamed of themselves.”

The best analysis and predictions on Iran war are not coming out of academics that spent decades studying Iran. It’s coming from guys doing global macro at the hedge funds, supply chain experts, and government contractors. Academics have never been more redundant at a time when they should have been most active.

افغانستان کی پالیسی پر جو یہ بند کمروں میں پالیسی بناتے ہیں ہم اس پر تنقید کرتے ہیں تو ہمیں کہتے ہیں کہ افغانستان چلے جاؤ ۔ جب ہم کہتے ہیں کہ ایران کے معاملے میں قوم کو اور پارلیمان کو اعتماد میں لو تو کہتے ہیں کہ ایران چلے جاؤ۔ یہ پاکستان تمہارے باپ کا ہے؟ یہ پاکستان میرا ہے، میں ہوں اس پاکستان کا مالک، میں ہوں پاکستان کا عام شہری اور پاکستان کا عام شہری ہی ریاست ہے۔سہیل آفریدی کا پشین میں جلسے خطاب

میں نے تو سنا تھا۔۔۔ شہادت ہے مطلوب و مقصود مومن نہ ڈی ایچ اے پلاٹ، نہ فلیٹ ان دبئی

This may sound funny, or even non-serious, but it is absolutely the best startup advice that I learnt the hard way. If you can't sell the idea of it, don't build the product out of it.

@tayyabaraja_ @Beenishpakistan اور حرمین کی ذمہ داری کا چورن جو بیچ رہے ہیں وہ ایک قیدی کو عدالت تک لانے کی سیکورٹی کا ذمہ دار نہیں ہے اور اب تو پی اس ایل میں تماشایوں کی سیکورٹی سے ہاتھ اُٹھا گیا ہے

Pakistan has become NO COUNTRY FOR YOUNG PEOPLE

معاہدے کی پاسداری کی فکر انہے ہے جنہوں نے حلف کی پاسداری نہیں رکھی۔ بھئ واہ

کسی کو اس جاہل یزید کو بتانے کی ضرورت ہے ریاست مدینہ انصاف کے اصول پر قائم کی گئی تھی- یزید کا کیا کام انصاف کے ساتھ؟

@SaadRasooll @fsherjan مست مست مست قلندر✨

اکھی جا ملنگا تو علیؑ علیؑ علیؑ علیؑ اکھی جا ملنگا سبھ آپے من لین گے اج نئیں تے کل سارے علیؑ علیؑ کیہن گے

@OfficialShehr دو ٹکے کا ٹائوٹ

ان کی تعریف 🤔؟؟؟؟

They want credit for everything, but don’t want to be accountable for failing at one and only job they actually have. They are cursed.