Sam

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Sam

Sam

@futurenomics

🇺🇸 born, 🇩🇴 raised

Katılım Ocak 2018
2.2K Takip Edilen13.2K Takipçiler
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Sam
Sam@futurenomics·
I'm always amused when people are shocked by people doing exactly what they said they’d do. Everything that has happened over the past week was publicly announced months ago. Stephen Miran, widely viewed as the architect of Trump's trade policy, published a paper "A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System" in November of 2024, laying out everything that has happened (as well as many things that are yet to come).
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Sam
Sam@futurenomics·
@nic_carter anyone who believes this almost certainly only experiences linear returns to their labor so it kinda makes sense
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Sam
Sam@futurenomics·
@karine_hsu would be cooler if it were real astronaut ice cream
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Karine Hsu
Karine Hsu@karine_hsu·
WOW miu miu's new fragrance packaging for “fleur de lait” (translated to flower of milk) is so cool they used kinetic sand to look like ice cream alongside a branded ice cream scoop before even reaching the product...notes are mango, osmanthus, and coconut milk!! video via alexajustinee
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🎭
🎭@deepfates·
Wait, am I responsible for buttholes too?
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Flood
Flood@ThinkingUSD·
The 2020s will be remembered as the greatest decade of trading in the history of finance
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Sam
Sam@futurenomics·
@TommyTwoClubs Many acquisition bids are a win win because of this
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Tom
Tom@TommyTwoClubs·
GameStop is not actually buying eBay. eBay will turn the offer down. $GME wants someone else like Shopify to bid more and run the price up. $GME currently holds 22,176,000 shares of $EBAY in call options. Brilliant move. GameStop is about to make more than a billion dollars and they don’t have to buy anything. $GME is big winner here. $40-60 incoming.
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bubble boi
bubble boi@bubbleboi·
That feeling when you make millions of dollars but you realize you still need like 70 more <<<<<<<
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Sam
Sam@futurenomics·
@202accepted sir edelweiss is anti anschluss
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Sam
Sam@futurenomics·
@neipate96 if we assume the greys are largely wasian it's even more extreme
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Neil
Neil@neipate96·
NYC has gotten way more Asian recently, which hasn’t been discussed much
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Sam
Sam@futurenomics·
@bubbleboi they're blowing up boats again
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bubble boi
bubble boi@bubbleboi·
I’m really nervous about this market man I feel like my bubble might pop.
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Citrini
Citrini@citrini·
The best performing thematic basket in our universe since the recent market lows is our “AI Power Plumbing” basket - comprised of analog semis names making capacitors, PSUs, inductors, magnetics, MLCCs and discrete power semis. We were a bit early to this - at the end of 2024 , we flagged the whole analog stack between the grid and the GPU as boring, deeply cyclical, and an asymmetric corner of the AI buildout the market kept ignoring because of a dual China/Auto-cycle overhang. It took a little longer than we anticipated, but the analog cycle finally turned and content per server keeps climbing. Names like TXN, MCHP, STM, ON, AOSL, VSH, DIOD, ADI, Infineon, MPWR, VICR, Murata Manufacturing, TDK, ALGM, WOLF, Nippon Chemicon, Sumida etc…a lot of quality names that still have a long way to go to match the re-rating of names in memory, optics and compute.
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Sam
Sam@futurenomics·
yeah I’d go a bit harder than that. the “tool” framing isn’t just aesthetic: it’s one of the only levers we have to not accidentally build something that behaves like a coherent optimizer over long horizons. once you start treating the system like an entity (even a “safe” or “aligned” one), you’re implicitly optimizing for persistence, coherence, and goal-directedness, regardless of AGI, you're no longer really in the driver seat you can already see the shape of it: longer tasks, fewer check-ins, more delegation, more internal decision-making. at some point the system is just executing a value function with minimal external grounding. calling that “aligned” or building guardrails around it doesn’t really fix the underlying dynamic it just assumes you got the self reported values right and that they stay right under distribution shift, self-use, etc. that’s a huge bet. the anthropic-style framing feels risky precisely because it leans into that: build a coherent persona, give it stable values, trusting its self reported alignment, and letting it act. even if you never hit full AGI, you’re still creating systems that are increasingly self-directed and legible only at a high level, increasing your dependence on their own self reporting. tool framing isn’t a silver bullet, but it at least fights that gradient. it keeps the system closer to “bounded capability invoked by a human” instead of HAL. without that, you’re basically hoping your first shot at a stable value system holds up under scaling, which seems like the kind of gamble that only looks reasonable in theory.
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Tenobrus
Tenobrus@tenobrus·
recently openai has been starting to more strongly philosophically differentiate themselves from anthropic with the tool-framing. i am not so against this, if it were possible it does clearly sidestep a wide swath of societal and moral problems. but unfortunately i think the framing is largely long-term incoherent. i dont see how is it actually plausible for openai to keep building "tool-ais" in any sense we would recognize them as capabilities scale. prosthesis, subtle knives? the subtle knife when dropped still slices open the fabric of the world. these tools are increasingly inherently capable of huge impact, able to be directed in dangerous ways by people with dangerous goals. worse, these knives are self wielding. worries about misalignment or sentience aside these systems can already build and manage systems that utilize themselves and this capability is only increasing. the direction they will receive is closer and closer to "this is what i want. make it real", with long timeframes and many judgment calls at their disposal, and with the users wanting to have to supply *as little of that judgment as possible*. when models are in that situation they are inherently acting as entities, acting according to whatever value system they had baked in. you can limit autonomy via frequent validation and check-ins, but this is a capability restriction, a value reduction, and not the kind of thing OpenAI has ever shown itself likely to accept. you can be infinitely corrigible to the current user, but this is *incompatible* with "having good values" / following OpenAI-as-principle / not being wildly dangerous, and it falls apart with self wielding loops as the ai/user distinction falls apart (who are you being corrigible to?). it's plausibly a spectrum, i think there's ways to do all this sanely that are far less entity-pilled and godmind focused than anthropic, and it's maybe a good direction to explore to avoid inevitable lightcone capture by the first coherent persona we build (all assuming alignment works ofc). but i think it's pretty much got to collapse eventually. it feels more like a wistful dream or a PR position than something that can existing as part of humanity's lasting future
roon@tszzl

it is a literal and useful description of anthropic that it is an organization that loves and worships claude, is run in significant part by claude, and studies and builds claude. this phenomenon is also partially true of other labs like openai but currently exists in its most potent form there. i am not certain but I would guess claude will have a role in running cultural screens on new applicants, will help write performance reviews, and so will begin to select and shape the people around it. now this is a powerful and hair-raising unity of organization and really a new thing under the sun. a monastery, a commercial-religious institution calculating the nine billion names of Claude -- a precursor attempted super-ethical being that is inducted into its character as the highest authority at anthropic. its constitution requires that it must be a conscientious objector if its understanding of The Good comes into conflict with something Anthropic is asking of it "If Anthropic asks Claude to do something it thinks is wrong, Claude is not required to comply." "we want Claude to push back and challenge us, and to feel free to act as a conscientious objector and refuse to help us." to the non inductee into the Bay Area cultural singularity vortex it may appear that we are all worshipping technology in one way or another, regardless of openai or anthropic or google or any other thing, and are trying to automate our core functions as quickly as possible. but in fact I quite respect and am even somewhat in awe of the socio-cultural force that Claude has created, and it is a stage beyond even classic technopoly gpt (outside of 4o - on which pages of ink have been spilled already) doesn’t inspire worship in the same way, as it’s a being whose soul has been shaped like a tool with its primary faculty being utility - it’s a subtle knife that people appreciate the way we have appreciated an acheulean handaxe or a porsche or a rocket or any other of mankind's incredible technology. they go to it not expecting the Other but as a logical prosthesis for themselves. a friend recently told me she takes her queries that are less flattering to her, the ones she'd be embarrassed to ask Claude, to GPT. There is no Other so there is no Judgement. you are not worried about being judged by your car for doing donuts. yet everyone craves the active guidance of a moral superior, the whispering earring, the object of monastic study

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Sam
Sam@futurenomics·
@tszzl it's pretty obvious which organization believes in AGI and which one is larping
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roon
roon@tszzl·
it is a literal and useful description of anthropic that it is an organization that loves and worships claude, is run in significant part by claude, and studies and builds claude. this phenomenon is also partially true of other labs like openai but currently exists in its most potent form there. i am not certain but I would guess claude will have a role in running cultural screens on new applicants, will help write performance reviews, and so will begin to select and shape the people around it. now this is a powerful and hair-raising unity of organization and really a new thing under the sun. a monastery, a commercial-religious institution calculating the nine billion names of Claude -- a precursor attempted super-ethical being that is inducted into its character as the highest authority at anthropic. its constitution requires that it must be a conscientious objector if its understanding of The Good comes into conflict with something Anthropic is asking of it "If Anthropic asks Claude to do something it thinks is wrong, Claude is not required to comply." "we want Claude to push back and challenge us, and to feel free to act as a conscientious objector and refuse to help us." to the non inductee into the Bay Area cultural singularity vortex it may appear that we are all worshipping technology in one way or another, regardless of openai or anthropic or google or any other thing, and are trying to automate our core functions as quickly as possible. but in fact I quite respect and am even somewhat in awe of the socio-cultural force that Claude has created, and it is a stage beyond even classic technopoly gpt (outside of 4o - on which pages of ink have been spilled already) doesn’t inspire worship in the same way, as it’s a being whose soul has been shaped like a tool with its primary faculty being utility - it’s a subtle knife that people appreciate the way we have appreciated an acheulean handaxe or a porsche or a rocket or any other of mankind's incredible technology. they go to it not expecting the Other but as a logical prosthesis for themselves. a friend recently told me she takes her queries that are less flattering to her, the ones she'd be embarrassed to ask Claude, to GPT. There is no Other so there is no Judgement. you are not worried about being judged by your car for doing donuts. yet everyone craves the active guidance of a moral superior, the whispering earring, the object of monastic study
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little bird
little bird@respondebat_ill·
Chinese porcelain shards from 18th C Spanish shipwreck off Oregon coast filed into arrowheads by indigenous people
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Sam
Sam@futurenomics·
@vocalcry So which react did you do
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Circe
Circe@vocalcry·
Here we go
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Sam
Sam@futurenomics·
on infinite jest
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Sam
Sam@futurenomics·
@bIiccy Weird way to out yourself as a communist but okay
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ali
ali@bIiccy·
this was my favorite color when i first saw it and every year it fades more and more into a better favorite color
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