George T 🦇🔊

@swyx Scary stuff. Anecdotally, I’ve seen this when propting Deep*eek r1. I prompted it around consensus about some annexed territories, and it landed on very interesting (and subtle) conclusions in its thinking. We should prompt models for undisclosed values

incredible work on alignment steganography from anthropic fellows i've been looking for a straussian explanation of why china keeps publishing open models out of the goodness of their hearts if you do stuff like use open models to, idk, clean *ahem* synthetically paraphrase your data to textbook quality you may very well import biases you can't detect until long after it's too late. so if you want to export your value system to the rest of the world this is the most powerful Soft Power tool invented since Hollywood. to be super clear we have no actual proof of this motivating any of the chinese labs. but this paper is a clear step towards a possible explanation.

For all the people that say what you did can’t be done in 2025 without shady tactics (botting etc) have you considered starting a new anon account and building that for that new project? Or would that miss the authenticity people crave right?

I'm helping test @friendtech, the marketplace for your friends on Base 🐰 Get the app and search for my Twitter username to be an early holder of my keys 🤗

@yudapearl Could it be that LLMs actually discovered from reading text what typical causations are for typical variables (not discover by doing like a child, but by just reading about it) and are now doing token predictions with this in mind?

@nic_carter Because some money printing already started while holding current int. rate steady?

almost everyone on here assumes that we're due for a 2017/18 or 2021/22 esque bull run. i'll be the guy to ask why? do you have any basis for this or have you trained a model on 2 datapoints?

@VelodromeFi Pin this message please. Looks like site repeatedly tries to switch networks and approves unlimited spends.

Our frontend is currently compromised. Please do not interact with Velodrome for the time being. The team are investigating and will communicate more here when we have it.

@GergelyOrosz Gives you tinnitus though.

One of my best productivity investments: an active noise cancelling, over-the-ears headphone. Makes a massive difference in a shared office, when traveling, and even when working at home (when there are small noises). I am reminded how useful it is on the days I don’t have it.

That kind of tree on comms is very powerful. Hard to obfuscate bad work this way in the org.

@moving_charlie There needs to be a status type page product that (like a dashboard) to see all parts progressing. Something simple that many parties can append data to. Does anything like this exist that is indie and not connected to any entity?

An agent called me to tell me that a 6-property chain has collapsed, all because the buyer at the bottom of the chain hadn't cleared all the hurdles, and no one told anyone. 5 other people's moves scuppered, back to zero, because one sleepy agent didn't do their job properly. If you've agreed a deal, holding your property transaction together is the hardest part of moving in this market, even if everyone in the chain is keen to proceed. Things you can do to improve the chances of it staying together: 1. Ask your agent to check the chain status (progress of all other transactions in your chain) and report back. "What's the biggest uncertainty or delay in our chain?". Ride them until you get an answer. Don't be fobbed off. 2. Buyers: Don't wait for your sleepy conveyancer to tell you to order your property search packs, tell them to do it immediately if it's not already done. If they um and ahhh, order your own here, it will speed things up (and possibly cost you less than they're charging) mhwc.co.uk/property-pack 3. Chase your own conveyancer, ask them "what more can we do to be fully contract ready?" - the chances are you have an average quality conveyancer, so a polite but firm nudge so they know you're not going to let them doze off at the wheel is a wise move. Do not allow them to fob you off. Insist on specific and straight answers. If you sense them being vague, press harder, insist. 4. I would ask my agent to fill me in on the circumstances of everyone else in the chain. Who is the least motivated? What's the weakest link in the chain (agent or mover) and how can you mitigate it? 5. Double check everything yourself, eg: has everything been done for mortgage funds to be released on time? I saw an exchange delayed today because a conveyancer had FORGOTTEN to initiate the funds request. Everyone in the chain affected - increasing the chance of the chain failing. If you think this sounds like a lot of work, imagine how it would feel for all the time, money, energy and emotion you've invested so far to go up in a puff of smoke because some mediocre unprofessional numpty couldn't be arsed to do their job properly. There''s no guarantee that doing all this will hold your chain together, but anything you can do to improve your chances, you should do. And if your chain is going to fail, the sooner you know the better. Believe me, some agents are very slow to make the call to tell clients things have gone pear-shaped. Good luck!

This is one hours ✈️ traffic landing over my house into @LDNLutonAirport on Monday evening. I sometime think there must have a beacon in my loft!🤬 (Made with travisltn.topsonic.aero)

@Patticus You’ve built treasure on this planet, but are you building treasure for yourself for after you die? Read new testament, some hard hitting truths about our situation in this world, and how to deal with it all.

Last year I went from $19k in my bank account to selling my company for $200M+ Then came what I call "The Champagne Problem Cycle": - Existential Crisis - Cocaine energy - 19 gas stations - A move to Puerto Rico Here's exactly what happens when you get rich 👇

@AriDavidPaul @jasonjohncowart @elonmusk There is an element of “for show” here. Although the position of the earth probably would be more central (although that would spoil the mystery).

The scariest answer to the Fermi Paradox is that there are no aliens at all. They we are the only tiny candle of consciousness in an abyss of darkness.

@moving_charlie @richard_donnell @alexgroundwater In other words if the gov wanted to prop up this ponzi, how would they do it?

Thanks to everyone who watched last night's debate with @richard_donnell and @alexgroundwater here and on YouTube. The objective was to see if anyone would change their views. If you watched the video, what did you think?

@moving_charlie @richard_donnell @alexgroundwater I changed my view and now more agree with Richard. Also what was not addressed is how gov can intervene too

@AndrewPRLevi How effective those subverted agents have proven to be still remains to be seen. You’d think there would try influence more the decision to support Ukraine, and maybe they tried right? Any evidence of that seen yet?

This thread has been lightly edited/ updated/ adapted from the attached article of April 2022 ⬇️ westcountryvoices.co.uk/why-did-they-l…

Why did they let it happen? It won’t take you long - especially following the recent @C4Dispatches about Johnson, the Lebedevs and the Putin regime - browsing through social media, to find such cries. A long 🧵. Get a good mug of tea, and perhaps a bottle of vodka, ready. /1.

@AriDavidPaul Deckine prob tracks awareness level. There is also a potential for people who spend more in the sun to self select by applying it, so those already at risk trying to reduce their risk.

How to lie with statistics, the “false averaging” of sunscreen case study: A. Many sunscreens are harmful, zinc oxide probably isn’t. B. Too little or too much sun both bad, so sunscreen on someone getting too little sun is indeed harmful. /1

@moving_charlie The incentives are all aligned for such bailout! Self preservation is what politician does, and crashing the pound is surely safer for them than criticism of such bailout?

"Calls for aid for mortgage holders need to be largely ignored. There are few unfairnesses greater than the fact that property owners get all the benefits of real estate price booms and low interest rates, but demand bailouts, often successfully, when rates rise and prices fall. In a stabilisation, hard choices have to be made. Let property prices fall, which is disinflationary, and force any restructuring of mortgages to come out of the private sector lenders, not the public budget." ft.com/content/4cf73b…

@TaxLandNotMan @moving_charlie That is true. Land (even unused) is currently not taxed, free to inherit and in fact even provides yield via subsidies. It accounts for 60+% of the value of houses. But politicians own the most land so… 🤷‍♂️

@moving_charlie "It's not housing, it's LAND! The difference between land (everyone's daily source of life) and labor (and the products thereof) is the basis of scientific inquiry into political economy. But land is conflated with houses by establishment "education" to keep society enslaved.

"It's not the economy, stupid. It's housing." -Charlie Lamdin 2023 This is the message our politicians need to hear going into the next election. It stands up to scrutiny, as housing and the economy are so closely linked. But voting for the economy first is cart before horse.

@moving_charlie Don’t you think that politically it is starting to look acceptable to letting the pound drop/drop rates/let inflation continue. If political party changes, that could be the new motto? And that would be the trigger of another property bull run (in the next 6-12 months)

Received overnight from a mortgage broker (and has been the basis of my view since last autumn): “Markets start to seize up. FTBs are the life blood of the property market. If they go on strike as they may, the knock on is the house of cards starts to fall. No one wants a 5yr deal as they’re all expecting rates to drop, which I don’t think they will by the margin some are expecting. Would I buy now is a question I always ask when dealing with a client. In the main and if the numbers stack up the answer is yes I would. If I was a FTB would I buy now with a small deposit? Would I, fuck. Sod that for a game of soldiers Unless the gov or BOE step in with something we’re looking at a disaster. It won’t happen quickly so it’s like the frogs in hot water problem. By the time you realise you’re cooking its too late.”