vishwas

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vishwas

vishwas

@gpvishwas20

Breaking down of investment philosophies | Stock market | CSE graduate - NITK '25 | Software developer at Arista Networks

Bangalore Katılım Nisan 2016
119 Takip Edilen565 Takipçiler
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vishwas
vishwas@gpvishwas20·
🧵1/6 Ever felt Screener gives you all the data but not the right comparisons? I built a Proof of Concept that does just that — clean, peer-wise comparisons within a sector that don’t fry your brain. Here’s what I did and why it matters 👇 @Dutta_Souravd @Dynamicinvstr @jha__sumit @money_theory
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Utkarsh Sharma
Utkarsh Sharma@techxutkarsh·
A senior Google engineer just dropped a 421-page doc called Agentic Design Patterns. Every chapter is code-backed and covers the frontier of AI systems: → Prompt chaining, routing, memory → MCP & multi-agent coordination → Guardrails, reasoning, planning This isn’t a blog post. It’s a curriculum. And it’s free.
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vishwas
vishwas@gpvishwas20·
Something interesting is happening in the US markets. If someone's not keeping up, here is a paradigm shift that's happening in how hyperscalers like Google, Amazon and Microsoft are allocating capex towards AI infrastructure buildout. If someone has the belief that AI is a bubble and that these hyperscalers will not make sufficient return on investment, you can still make money investing in AI infrastructure stocks. The wall street was estimating capex for fiscal 2026 to be in the range of 120-140 billion dollars for most of the hyperscalers. These companies shocked the market with 180-200 billion dollars capex planned for 2026. That's easily 50-100 percent jump in last year capex spend for Google at 85 billion dollars. This is the reason why stocks like Microsoft and Amazon were sold off despite beating street estimates. You can still be bearish on AI and the capex buildout but you can still benefit from this planned capex. By the way most of these companies have strong internal cashflows that allow them to fund capex without diluting equity or raising debt. Google's operating cash flow annually is in the range of 180-200 billion dollars and same with Microsoft. If you think this kind of capex spend is mindless it's fine. By the way I am really bullish on the prospects of AI being able to capture a large share of enterprise budgets. I will release another post as to how you can benefit from this AI capex spends by investing in companies like Marvell Technology, Broadcom, Micron etc.
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vishwas
vishwas@gpvishwas20·
@sandeep9036 Yeah we should see some meaningful returns from these investments in the coming years. That could bring back sentiment in the stock. Atleast for the next 6-12 months this sector is an avoid until the dynamics change.
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depressed_sand
depressed_sand@sandeep9036·
@gpvishwas20 BESS/wafers/ingots waaree energies is investing heavily in all these! They are planning to completely revamp their strategy They are incorporating a new subsidiary everyother day now!
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vishwas
vishwas@gpvishwas20·
This is one of the weirdest chart of Waaree Renewable Technology that I have noticed. The stock rises few days before and after the results and immediately gets sold into and this happens with high volumes. Over the last four quarters the bottomline has expanded 100% every time on a YoY basis. I know the sentiment around solar stocks has been negative over the last 6 months. What do they call this kind of behaviour in a stock? Any traders here who can explain this?
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vishwas
vishwas@gpvishwas20·
@BizzarriniL I have seen some discrepancies in different websites. Yahoo finance shows pe around 8 for 2027 forward earnings
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vishwas
vishwas@gpvishwas20·
🧵 1/5 — A stock that shouldn’t exist There is a US company that has gone 3.5× in one year and still trades at just ~14× forward earnings. Not 14× trailing. Not 14× “hope”. 14× on locked-in future profits. That company is Micron (MU). In a market where: • Nvidia trades at 40–50× • AI software trades at 20–30× sales A company sitting inside the AI bottleneck trades like a dying cyclical. That contradiction is where money is made.
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vishwas
vishwas@gpvishwas20·
5/5 — The only real risk There is only one real bear case: If AI data-center spending collapses, HBM demand falls, and pricing power breaks. That is it. But if you are already comfortable owning: • Nvidia • hyperscalers • AI software Then Micron is not riskier. It is cheaper, more levered, and earlier in the profit curve. A stock that: • Already went 3.5× • Still trades at 14× earnings • Is guiding unprecedented margins Is not expensive. It is misunderstood. That is where the best returns come from.
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vishwas
vishwas@gpvishwas20·
4/5 — The valuation absurdity Let’s state the insanity clearly: Micron is: • A direct beneficiary of AI capex • A choke-point supplier to Nvidia • Sold out for multiple years • Guiding record margins And yet trades at: ~14× forward earnings Micron is the cheapest way to own AI compute. You are buying: AI growth with value-stock pricing.
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vishwas
vishwas@gpvishwas20·
Don't know if anyone's looking at what's happening in US memory stocks. Sandisk = 10x in one year ( NAND ) Micron = 3.5X in one year ( HBM ) Western Digital = 4X in one year ( HDD ) Seagate = 3.5X in one year ( HDD ) DRAM prices are up 50-100% in last 3-4 months 😱
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vishwas
vishwas@gpvishwas20·
Motilal oswal has been the worst performing index of 2025 meanwhile the Nifty Midcap index as given 5% return in the same period. Motial oswal midcap fund was designed to invest in high growth companies at elevated valuations. All these companies have delivered exceptional returns in the 2023-2024 bull run. Most of them are in a valuation correction phase where investor expectations on these stocks are moderating. It reinstates the fact that the next bull market winners will be way different from previous bull market winners. It also tells us that we can't do blind investing in mutual funds though they are designed for the common public who have no idea how to invest.
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vishwas
vishwas@gpvishwas20·
@Dynamicinvstr Yeah that 5-10% in the portfolio will generate the alpha for the portfolio like that 4-5% CAGR over the long term than what benchmark indices give
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Unknown Investor ⚡
Unknown Investor ⚡@Dynamicinvstr·
Agreed with you bro . People can say bitcoin is this bitcoin is that it can crash any day , but few points I like about that asset . 1. Limited Supply , unlike currency 2. Big companies are adding some amount of bitcoin in there balance sheet to replacement of ( cash ) 3. Multiple corrections it has already seen and multiple pullbacks ( so less chance of completely going bankrupt) 4. USA and China are adding it to there reserve and we are living in crazy times who knows how much it can value in a decade from now
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Unknown Investor ⚡
Unknown Investor ⚡@Dynamicinvstr·
FOMO is never good : For gold small sip going on , silver bought physical , buying bitcoin with pocket money which I know will be waste anyway . All these 3 contributes 15% of my investments but if one shines like crazy it will have it’s own effect on portfolio 💼
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vishwas
vishwas@gpvishwas20·
@gaze_observer What been the reason behind this spectacular performance in the Indian market? Have they finally got the model mix for the Indian consumer.
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The Cloaked Gaze 👀
The Cloaked Gaze 👀@gaze_observer·
Skoda Auto India Records 107% Growth in 2025, Sells 72,665 Units Skoda Auto India closed 2025 with sales of 72,665 units, registering a 107% increase from 35,166 units sold in 2024. The performance marks the company's strongest year since it entered the Indian market in 2001. The company sold 5,567 units in December 2025, maintaining growth momentum after recording 5,491 units in November 2025.
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vishwas
vishwas@gpvishwas20·
@WeekendInvestng A nice head and shoulder pattern emerging and breaking this neckline along with RSI trending down and forming lower lows mean the pain will continue.
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Alok Jain ⚡
Alok Jain ⚡@WeekendInvestng·
From a chart perspective, ITC will need to revert above the breakdown point to nullify this new down trend. Clarity from Fin Min perhaps may not come before the Budget
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vishwas
vishwas@gpvishwas20·
Quantum of selling is paramount in the last 10 years. Retail participation has indeed created a situation where the market is not allowed to get undervalued at any time for FIIs to invest in which has inturn led to rupee weakening creating a circular deadly loop of FIIs selling due to rupee weakening and inturn which is bringing the rupee down due to the FII selling.
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vishwas
vishwas@gpvishwas20·
@PRSundar64 I am surprised they were net sellers for 5 consecutive years straight
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P R Sundar
P R Sundar@PRSundar64·
FII selling crossed 6 lakh crores in two years. Why FIIs selling so much?
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