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2.6K posts

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@grubes_2

Academic nomad

Vienna Katılım Ekim 2013
303 Takip Edilen91 Takipçiler
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Melanie D'Arrigo
Melanie D'Arrigo@DarrigoMelanie·
If your initial thought after a shooting is: “Our president needs a luxury ballroom funded by hundreds of millions of dollars from anonymous donors who are excluded from conflicts of interest oversight,” and not: “Dangerous people who are a threat to others shouldn’t be allowed to legally buy guns” then you’ve lost the thread.
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Bill Johnson
Bill Johnson@Bill43111·
The unbelievable story about the missing pilot that was rescued disappeared faster than Trump’s ear injury.
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HealthRanger
HealthRanger@HealthRanger·
Why did Trump capitulate? The answer lies in a disastrous covert mission that was his last desperate gamble. Reports indicate the White House was 'seriously considering a ground operation to seize Iran's enriched uranium stockpile'. This mission was an attempt to create an 'off-ramp'—to physically remove the nuclear pretext for the war and declare a victory. It failed spectacularly. Iran shot down U.S. fighter jets, including an F-35, and the operation left destroyed aircraft and dead soldiers. This failure stripped away Trump's last credible military option. Domestic pressure then forced his hand. Over 100 U.S.-based legal experts declared the strikes on Iran 'possible war crimes'. Calls for impeachment grew louder. With no viable path to victory on the ground and political collapse at home, Trump had no choice but to seek a deal from a position of profound weakness. His extension of the deadline to April 6 was not a sign of progress, but a recognition of impending disaster. The myth of American military invincibility in the Persian Gulf has crumbled.
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c.g.@grubes_2·
So the move now is to walk away and pretend like you achieved something. Which would be an extreme stretch for any normal person, but i believe in trump! His powers of delusion are second to none, this is his moment.
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Timothy Snyder
Timothy Snyder@TimothyDSnyder·
Morally, legally, economically the war on Iran is disastrous and the disaster goes on for years no matter what happens now. But what cannot be overstated is that in pure national security terms it is also an unmitigated catastrophe.
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Arnaud Bertrand
Arnaud Bertrand@RnaudBertrand·
So, if I got that right, here's the narrative: - A US F-15E fighter jet got shot down over Iran, despite Trump saying 2 days beforehand in his nationwide address that Iran has "no anti-aircraft equipment. Their radar is 100% annihilated." (apnews.com/article/donald…) - The plane's weapons systems officer - a "highly respected Colonel," according to Trump - ejected from the plane and got "seriously wounded" (still according to Trump: @realDonaldTrump/116351956955900185" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTru…) - He still managed to "hike up a 7,000-foot [2.1km] mountain ridgeline and hide in a crevice" in the Zagros Mountains, despite his wounds (time.com/article/2026/0…) - U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drones started killing all "Iranian military-aged males believed to be a threat who got within three kilometers of [the American's location]" (x.com/ByChrisGordon/…) - To retrieve him the U.S. managed to seize an "abandoned airport," 200 miles deep inside Iran, near Isfahan (bbc.com/news/articles/…), which happens to be where Iran's largest atomic scientific center is located (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isfahan_N…) - They landed two MC-130 military transport planes in that airport (theaviationist.com/2026/04/05/u-s…) in an operation involving "hundreds of special forces troops and military personnel" (time.com/article/2026/0…) - Both MC-130 planes got "stuck in the sand" and the U.S. destroyed them themselves "to prevent them from falling into Iranian hands" (theaviationist.com/2026/04/05/u-s…) - They deployed "three new aircraft to extract all the U.S. personnel" on the ground (theaviationist.com/2026/04/05/u-s…) - There are videos circulating online of "heavy clashes" with presumably Iranian missiles raining down in Kohgiluyeh County, in the Zagros Mountains during that night (x.com/Afshin_Ismaeli…) - Iran sent pictures of the aftermath at the "abandoned airport" and it's a sight of utter destruction, with US plane and MH-6 helicopter parts scattered all over the ground, still smoking (turkiyetoday.com/region/wreckag…). Iran claims they are the ones who in fact destroyed all the aircraft. - Meanwhile a second U.S. plane, an A-10 Warthog, also crashed on Friday near the Strait of Hormuz according to two U.S. officials speaking to the NYT (#47863db0-d61e-51bf-b7e1-6c4a9dc988e7" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">nytimes.com/live/2026/04/0…). In that instance too the lone pilot was apparently "safely rescued." - In all this, after the multiple planes and helicopters destroyed or shot down, the documented heavy clashes, the "hundreds of special forces troops and military personnel" operating deep inside Iran, not a single US soldier was reported killed "or even wounded" (according to Trump: @realDonaldTrump/116350133044957842" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTru…). - And the 'highly respected Colonel' this was all for? No name. No photo. No interview. Nobody has spoken to him nor knows who he is. So to sum up: anti-aircraft equipment that supposedly didn't exist shot down an F-15 (and, apparently, an A-10 Warthog the same day). A seriously wounded man climbed a 2.1km mountain. The US seized an airfield 200 miles inside a country it's at war with, next to one of its most strategic nuclear sites, and deployed hundreds of troops all apparently unimpeded. Lost two planes to "sand" and destroyed their own helicopters. Videos show heavy clashes, missiles raining down - but not a single person got "even wounded". And the man at the center of it all? Nobody knows who he is, completely anonymous, zero pictures, but Trump says he is "SAFE and SOUND." And so is the rescued A-10 Warthog pilot, who also remains anonymous. Trump concludes this all proves the US has "achieved overwhelming Air Dominance and Superiority over the Iranian skies" (@realDonaldTrump/116350133044957842" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTru…), despite the whole episode only happening because Iran shot his planes out of the sky. Basically, the only thing that's "overwhelming" here is the audacity of the storytelling...
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Abier
Abier@abierkhatib·
Trump’s “victory timeline” claims. Mar 3: "We won the war." Mar 7: "We defeated Iran." Mar 9: "We must attack Iran." Mar 9: "The war is ending almost completely, and very beautifully." Mar 11: “You never like to say too ⁠early you won. We won. In ​the first hour it was over.” Mar 12: "We did win, but we haven't won completely yet." Mar 13: "We won the war." Mar 14: "Please help us." Mar 15: "If you don't help us, I will certainly remember it." Mar 16: "Actually, we don't need any help at all." Mar 16: "I was just testing to see who's listening to me." Mar 16: "If NATO doesn't help, they will suffer something very bad." Mar 17: "We neither need nor want NATO's help." Mar 17: "I don't need Congressional approval to withdraw from NATO." Mar 18: "Our allies must cooperate in reopening the Strait of Hormuz." Mar 19: "US allies need to get a grip - step up and help open the Strait of Hormuz." Mar 20: "NATO are cowards." Mar 21: "The Strait of Hormuz must be protected by the countries that use it. We don't use it, we don't need to open it." Mar 22: "This is the last time. I will give Iran 48 hours. Open the strait" Mar 22: "Iran is Dead" Mar 23: "We had very good and productive talks with Iran." Mar 24: "We’re making progress." Mar 25: “They gave us a present and the present arrived today. And it was a very big present worth a tremendous amount of money. I’m not going to tell you what that present is, but it was a very significant prize.” Mar 26: "Make a deal, or we’ll just keep blowing them away." Mar 27: "We don’t have to be there for NATO." Mar 28: No major quote Mar 29: Claimed talks were progressing Mar 30: "Open the Strait of Hormuz immediately, or face devastating consequences." Mar 31: Claimed a deal was "very close" and that Iran would "do the right thing" Apr 1: "We’ll see what happens very soon." Apr 2: Repeated that a deal was likely, while warning of continued strikes if not Apr 3: "Something big is going to happen." Apr 4: Said Iran must comply "immediately" or face further consequences. Apr 5: "Open the fuckin' Strait, you crazy bastards, or you'll be living in Hell - JUST WATCH! Praise be to Allah." 😂
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Acyn
Acyn@Acyn·
Moulton: I know active duty Marines who now refer to Pete Hegseth’s department as the department of war crimes. That's because they do things like this, destroy civilian infrastructure, which, just to be clear, is a war crime. It's meant to hurt civilians.  This is the same stuff that we criticize Vladimir Putin for doing in Ukraine. He doesn't know how to get out. So what is he doing? He's resorting to war crimes. It's an embarrassment.
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c.g.@grubes_2·
Quitting and walking away is prob the best the us can do at this point. But they will have attacked Iran for no reason, spiked oil prices which will remain high, and achieved nothing except a strengthened Iran. Congrats. Trump and Netanyahu both belong in the Hague.
Anderson Cooper 360°@AC360

"It seems as though they're preparing for a strategy where they simply leave": CNN's Fareed Zakaria reacts to Pres. Trump's comments that the US could end its war with Iran within two to three weeks.

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Anderson Cooper 360°
"It seems as though they're preparing for a strategy where they simply leave": CNN's Fareed Zakaria reacts to Pres. Trump's comments that the US could end its war with Iran within two to three weeks.
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Seth
Seth@mikemcC2192990·
@AC360 This is so insane, Iran did nothing, the USA and Israel barely gave a coherent statement about why they attacked, they dropped 13,000 bombs and blew up several schools, now they’re just going to leave, how are these people not on trial in The Hague? Since when is this okay?
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Francesca Albanese, UN Special Rapporteur oPt
Dear UN Member States, As I prepare to deliver my 8th report to the UN, I reiterate: Israel poses a threat to international peace and security. I have documented its most egregious crimes. Now the obligation to act, and stop it, sparing innocent lives, rests with you.
Nimer Sultany@NimerSultany

Since 1948, no other state in the Middle East: - destroyed more civilian infrastructure than Israel. - destroyed and displaced more communities than Israel. - occupied lands of several nations longer than Israel. - initiated more wars than Israel

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c.g.@grubes_2·
I had this same experience when I visited Israel 15ish years ago. Only place I have ever been where I heard openly genocidal talk like this. Granted it was only 1 person but thats still 100% more than anywhere else, and im sure it's only gotten worse.
Furkan Gözükara@FurkanGozukara

"Israeli society has gone full fascist. It's like Berlin 1930." Abby Martin describes her horrifying experience in Jerusalem where every single person she spoke to espoused casual genocidal rhetoric against Palestinians. The footage speaks for itself.

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Mohamad Safa
Mohamad Safa@mhdksafa·
Imagine if Iran bombed Washington, killed the U.S. President, politicians, diplomats and top generals, what would you call it? Terrorists. The U.S. bombed Tehran, killed its head of state, politicians, diplomats and top generals. Why do you call it a "pre emptive strike"!
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Richard
Richard@ricwe123·
It is truly refreshing to hear someone as Jeffrey Sachs laying bare the brutal facts.....
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c.g.@grubes_2·
Iran is def trying to goad trump into a ground war, and he has no other option except retreat and defeat..and Iran is likely to keep hormuz closed as long as Israel doesnt also admit defeat and retreat. So nothing will be achieved, except 1 clear message: dont trust the US.
Arnaud Bertrand@RnaudBertrand

This is probably the most important article of the month: an op-ed by Oman's Foreign Minister, who mediated the talks between the U.S. and Iran, in which he writes that the U.S. "has lost control of its foreign policy" to Israel. He repeats that a deal was possible as an outcome of the talks (something confirmed by the UK's National Security Advisor, who also attended: x.com/i/status/20341…) and that the military strike by the U.S. and Israel was "a shock." Interestingly, given he is one of Iran's neighbors and given that Oman has been struck multiple times by Iran since the war began (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Iran…), he writes that "Iran’s retaliation against what it claims are American targets on the territory of its neighbours was an inevitable result" of the U.S.-Israeli attack. He describes it as "probably the only rational option available to the Iranian leadership." He says the war "endangers" the region's entire "economic model in which global sport, tourism, aviation and technology were to play an important role." He adds that "if this had not been anticipated by the architects of this war, that was surely a grave miscalculation." But, he adds, the "greatest miscalculation" of all for the U.S. "was allowing itself to be drawn into this war in the first place." In his view this was the doing of "Israel’s leadership" who "persuaded America that Iran had been so weakened by sanctions, internal divisions and the American-Israeli bombings of its nuclear sites last June, that an unconditional surrender would swiftly follow the initial assault and the assassination of the supreme leader." Obviously, this proved completely wrong, and the U.S. is now in a quagmire. He says that, given this, "America’s friends have a responsibility to tell the truth," which is that "there are two parties to this war who have nothing to gain from it," namely "Iran and America." He says that all of the U.S. interests in the region (end to nuclear proliferation, secure energy supply chains, investment opportunities) are "best achieved with Iran at peace." As he writes, "this is an uncomfortable truth to tell, because it involves indicating the extent to which America has lost control of its own foreign policy. But it must be told." He then proposes a couple of paths to get back to the negotiating table, although he recognizes how difficult it would be for Iran "to return to dialogue with an administration that twice switched abruptly from talks to bombing and assassination." That's perhaps the most profound damage Trump did during this entire episode: the complete discrediting of diplomacy. If Iran was taught anything, it is: don't negotiate with the U.S., it's a trap that will literally kill you. The great irony of the man who sold himself as a dealmaker is that he taught the world one thing: don't make deals with my country. Link to the article: economist.com/by-invitation/…

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Carrie Coon
Carrie Coon@carriecoon·
Anne Applebaum nails it:
Carrie Coon tweet media
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