Josh Morgerman

ICYMI: Behold mighty #MELISSA in #Jamaica. High-end Category 5. Possibly the most intense #hurricane to make landfall in North America. And the fiercest of all the hurricanes I've witnessed. WATCH: youtu.be/siq-DdmBUIY

@ineedsnow2286 Oh, I saw. Nutty.

@iCyclone I'm sure you have already.. but check out the 0z EPS... HMMM

Gonna be honest: this Gulf swirl is getting interestin'. It's not what I'd call gorgeous workmanship, but 1) cloud pattern shows definite arcing, 2) low center is turning W (meaning more time over Gulf), & 3) computer models have gotten more aggressive. Folks in FL, AL, MS, & LA need to watch this—& some models suggest TX threat down the road. Me: heading back to the Bay Sunday.

@GNettylee An interesting system which *could* become a tropical cyclone.

@iCyclone Suh Mawgaman what are we looking at here👀

Semi-hawt swirl.

@chasetyrawx Hush!

Semi-Not swirl right now lol

@baugh_elliot Not yet. But there is a hint of potential. 👊

@iCyclone Is it worthy of the Chsaserdude though?

@TDStormRecovery @that_foot_is_me 👊👊👊

@that_foot_is_me @iCyclone @iCyclone IS hurricane season 🙃

Seriously... wtf?

@EarthUncutTV Braggart. Stop.

How you’d expect the West Pacific ensembles to look in second half of an El Niño July. Messy…

@that_foot_is_me Omg no! What is that? I've only been in 85 hurricanes. (Repeat: 85 hurricanes.)

@iCyclone Ever heard of hurricane season?

@PenelopeDbldee Hush!!!

@iCyclone It’s whispering tingly sweet and dulcimer tones…Perry Perry Perry That reunion you didn’t hope El Niño might serve this season. 🤭

The 12Z ensembles are kind of a buzzkill because they mostly keep this mysterious feature scrunched up in the NE armpit of the Gulf without a lot of room to get magical. But we'll see.

@Starks56 Hush...

@iCyclone If a wet fart were a storm 😆

@Earl7773 Actually, it's a *system* of organized thunderstorms associated with an upper-level low that several computer models show transitioning into a tropical cyclone. <sigh!!>

@iCyclone Just a super organized little summer thunder storm ... sigh !!

@DarKKlusteR As a pro stormchaser I can confirm this be a potential tropical cyclone that most of the ensemble models are picking up on.

@iCyclone As a Floridian I can confirm this be Florida doing its thing

@10minmanicure Actually, no. It is a *system* of organized thunderstorms associated with an upper-level low that several computer models show transitioning into a tropical cyclone. You're welcome. ❤️

@iCyclone It’s a thunderstorm

@hurricanecnote Fewer members go W than in previous runs.

@iCyclone I see a lot of ensembles west though? Are am I looking at the wrong thing

@BobbiStorm Awww. ❤️❤️❤️

@iCyclone you have a real gift for mirroring all of our thoughts and putting them into words….. ????

@SCweather_wx Flagging this obscene content.

12z HRRR going wild with our area of interest. Before you hit me with the "this isn't a good model to use for the tropics".. What other short range model we suppose to use?

New Tropical Weather Outlook. Does it make you tingly that there's now an X to mark that li'l swirly thing on radar? Tell the truth. It's ok.