David Curran

@purimfest One difference is average height, just to meet your claimed filter

@purimfest I could tell you lots of differences between Chinese people and Nigerians. Third time lucky, can you make a bettable claim about what you think will happen in Nigeria in relation to calories, gdp per capita or some such metric

Would those who think Ehrlich’s predictions were merely premature be interested in a wager?

@purimfest @cafreiman So again, what is your falsifiable claim?

@purimfest @cafreiman No not really. No not really.

@theshawe @Willob It should be good fun. See you there !

@iamreddave @Willob iontach ar fad! 🛸 agus neo-peata?👽🐶 i'm excited train is booked we're coming from the north will deffo say hi and would love to hear about your project!

People of Ireland, a friend is organising an Irish language & culture hackathon in Dublin this week! Check it out: craicathon.ie

Pet in English comes from the Gaelic word peta for "beloved child". At this hackathon we are going to try make an Irish language computer pet 🐶

@theshawe @Willob Say Hi if you see me there? I'm converting the first Irish sci Fi to modern spelling github.com/cavedave/Manan…

@Willob will be at this 🌀

@bwgoodyear China electricity use ort person is lower than US but not tiny

@JessePeltan @elonmusk When most of the country has minimum electricity, when they get more, it shows as a big statistic. When India went with cellular, the growth rate was vertical but nobody had landlines before.

China Electricity Use (YoY): manufacturing +6.4% high-tech manufacturing +10.6% datacenters +46% EV charging +55%

@PFarleigh Oh brilliant thanks!

@iamreddave @bryan_caplan This paper may be of interest: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ji…

Paul Ehrlich obviously had some incredible charisma. Johnny Carson doesn't keep re-inviting complete duds. But Ehrlich's appeal still eludes me. Why would anyone actually like him?

Happy St Patrick’s Day Everyone. Great memory when I did a Commercial for Harp Lager and became famous in Ireland as Sally OBrien and “The Way She Might Look At You” Have a Fabulous Day #StPatricksDay #SallyOBrien #Guiness #StPatrick

Paul Ehrlich inspired the Club of Rome to make predictions about the future in 1972 and 2004. These were very wrong

@RichardHanania I graphed some Club of Rome predictions against what happened

Paul Ehrlich has passed away, and I wanted to see whether he was as bad as his quotes and short clips suggest. Surely, there might be some nuance or careful thought in his worldview. Nobody is that purely evil. So I picked up The Population Bomb and started reading. It turns out, he's even worse than you think! I’m putting together a thread below. Quotes taken out of context don't get at the degree to which he is consistently evil and misanthropic. He had an entire system that he pursued in which human life was constantly denigrated and devalued, with an eye toward elimination. You’re left wondering what you’re even reducing human population for, since every form of life seems to be not worth living. Some people are racist and just hate poor and brown people. Some hate the rich. Paul Ehrlich doesn't discriminate. He wants you not to exist if he can get away with it. But if he can't stop you from living, he wants you to have a much worse quality of life. Ehrlich has a plan for both advanced and poor countries. He has blueprints for entire regions of the globe. Humans do not have agency in Ehrlich’s world. They’re simple consumers of resources, with no ability to create, better their circumstances, or exert individual agency to make the world a better place, except to the extent that they ensure fellow humans no longer exist. You might find all of this depressing. But I’ve found reading Ehrlich invigorating. It is a reminder of how much evil there is in the world. Recall that Ehrlich was not some guy in his room putting out diatribes. He was a professor at Stanford, a highly decorated scientist, and one of the most prominent public intellectuals of his generation. While reading Ehrlich today, know that he has intellectual descendants in the form of degrowthers and other environmental extremists, along with anti-capitalists who don’t understand the basis of prosperity and prioritize redistributing wealth over all else.

@simongerman600 The Neo Malthusian predictions graphed

I can think of another body part…

@RLangford18 @cafreiman I have made a bettable claim. If you want to make one let me know?

@iamreddave @cafreiman David, Can your prognostications ever match the uplift of Trump's Cosmic Nostradamic tarot card predictions of DJT or that of the Cabinet Chorus of Trump?

@vulpine2020 @cafreiman

@cafreiman Hmm depends on the timescale? Few million years, who knows?

@purimfest @cafreiman Ok lets make that bettable then. Hell in Calories per person, industrial output, GDP per capita? Which of the Club of Rome claims?

@cafreiman For the 600 million future Nigerians life will be absolute hell and, at least to them, Ehrlich will have been correct

@RLangford18 @cafreiman Ok we bet on Agricultural yield in 2030? I bet it wont match the decline predictions of the Club of Rome

@cafreiman I would always bet against your claim/prediction that your libertarian+ love crony capitalist approach will lead to social and economic nirvana.

Paul R. Ehrlich (1932–2026) leaves a lasting legacy, with his groundbreaking work on surplus population still guiding our understanding. His research informed countless policies, shaping societal management and legitimizing the idea of expendable lives.

Wow! Huge congratulations to graduate Richard Baneham & team on their third #oscars win! Absolutely incredible victory bravo 🙌 we are so proud #vfx #film #bcfe