john smith

346 posts

john smith

john smith

@ichez5

Katılım Ocak 2012
34 Takip Edilen29 Takipçiler
Gublo 🇨🇦
Gublo 🇨🇦@Gubloinvestor·
Why my bag is being pumped here? $asts
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john smith
john smith@ichez5·
@yianisz "Now imagine that same demand dynamic applied to a company with ~$45B+ RPO, $NVDA alignment, inference economics and software on top." That stuff only matters is if it translates into free cashflow. It hasn't. At this point the $nbis software layer is just a fancy wrapper.
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Yiannis Zourmpanos
Yiannis Zourmpanos@yianisz·
$CIFR just proved the market no longer cares about current neocloud earnings.. Revenue missed, EPS missed, stock +23%. Why?? contracts.. $11.4B backlog. Third hyperscaler signed. $2B bond at 6.125% was 6.5x oversubscribed. That’s the real story. For $IREN this matters more than people realize. The market is basically saying: “show me credible long-term AI demand and I’ll ignore near-term noise” so if IREN confirms another hyperscaler / GPU deployment ramp tomorrow, the setup changes fast. and for $NBIS? CIFR may have accidentally validated the entire bull case. CIFR is just space + power. No GPUs. No inference layer. No software stack. Yet the market rewarded it like crazy because hyperscaler demand clearly has no ceiling. Now imagine that same demand dynamic applied to a company with ~$45B+ RPO, $NVDA alignment, inference economics and software on top. The stack matters and the market is finally starting to price it.
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john smith
john smith@ichez5·
@FrameworkWisely Hyperscalers don't want software. $NBIS deals with HS are bare metal. Software layer offering is for the non-software native customers like governments and other large enterprise.
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Framework A³C³E
Framework A³C³E@FrameworkWisely·
I disagree. $IREN acquiring Mirantis shows that software is a must-have for neoclouds, not a moat. That's why I've always been more bullish on $NBIS than $IREN. Without a software layer, $IREN was negotiating from a weak position. Hyperscalers had the upper hand, and the deals available weren’t compelling enough to lock in. Unlike $NBIS, they weren’t plugged into direct enterprise relationships (think companies like Shopify). That limited both demand visibility and their ability/flexibility to capture higher-value contracts.
Daniel Romero@HyperTechInvest

Can we now put to sleep the argument that software is not a moat for neoclouds? Once you need to spend $600M+ to cover just a fraction of the software stack, that thesis gets reduced to ashes $IREN is just starting its road to building a software stack, while a company like $NBIS is already at the top That gap should deserve a valuation premium

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Lorenzo2cents
Lorenzo2cents@BastianelliLore·
I thought software was not important and with Claude you could build the same anytime 😂 $IREN
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Lukas Frijek
Lukas Frijek@LukasFrije1re·
For comparison, $IREN just bought this layer So hold your horses, you guys still have a long way to go
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Yiannis Zourmpanos
Yiannis Zourmpanos@yianisz·
$IREN buying Mirantis tells you one thing: raw power + GPUs isn’t enough anymore. They’re trying to move up the stack into orchestration and enterprise tooling. Needed? Yes. Late? Also yes. Doesn’t fix the real issues no anchor tenant, $6B ATM, execution risk. pure compute is getting commoditized. Platform players $NBIS win.
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john smith
john smith@ichez5·
@MB_Hogan Possible the two are not related? They want to build out software capabilities to deliver to smaller customers while also negotiating with HS customers for bigger sites. Probably they want to acquire now to win business now.
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Mark Hogan
Mark Hogan@MB_Hogan·
$IREN UPDATE: IREN acquires a software company Mirantis, a cloud infrastructure company that provides kubernetes-based orchestration. Imo the timing of this acquisition may signal no imminent Hyperscaler deal for IREN, because otherwise why not wait until after a big deal is announced and acquire it for cheaper w/ stock? Thoughts?
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john smith
john smith@ichez5·
@DeepValueBagger Keep up this same energy when $NBIS fails or delays to deliver on its agreements because it can't find power.
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DVB
DVB@DeepValueBagger·
This is good news for $IREN but I'm old enough to remember that the whole $IREN community argued that software layer wasn't as valuable as hardware layer, hence IREN was superior to $NBIS. The CEO himself repeatedly said many times that they couldn't build software like hyperscaler, so it's not worth doing. I'm guessing a lot customers said no, with the feedback that it takes too much time to deploy from KVM, remote server, to an actually usable cluster. This only proves that they're still playing catchup, and $NBIS was right all along building world class software platform team from the top (CEO/engineer), all the way down. Would be interesting to see how fast Mirantis can get things moving.
IREN@IREN_Ltd

IREN is acquiring Mirantis. Our advantage is infrastructure and execution. This builds on existing capabilities and strengthens how compute is deployed, managed and operated. Read more: iren.gcs-web.com/static-files/8…

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Ww Rd
Ww Rd@wwrdbruh·
@yianisz As an early NBIS and IREN investor...aren't you embarrassed by your posts? Absolutely pathetic!
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john smith
john smith@ichez5·
@CipherInc At what point do we learn more about the third lease?
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Cipher Digital
Cipher Digital@CipherInc·
Cipher Digital Provides First Quarter 2026 Business Update - Development Timeline on Track at Barber Lake and Black Pearl Data Centers - Signed Third AI Data Center Campus Lease with Investment-Grade Hyperscale Tenant - Secured $200 Million Revolving Credit Facility Supported by a Syndicate of Leading Global Financial Institutions Read the full press release here: investors.cipherdigital.com/news-releases/…
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john smith
john smith@ichez5·
@JoshInvestsAI did you see the post about 150k GPU secured? also preferred partner status with NVIDIA
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Compute Capital
Compute Capital@JoshInvestsAI·
@ichez5 Chip deliveries are something you need to be in line ASAP for, they are the bottleneck for time to compute for iren.
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Compute Capital
Compute Capital@JoshInvestsAI·
$IREN SW energization is great, but massive amounts of capital is needed to fund this unicorn site. Shareholder dilution is too costly. Energize, Sign, and Execute (1/3) ✅
IREN@IREN_Ltd

Sweetwater 1 has been successfully energized – a key milestone in the development of the broader 2GW Sweetwater campus. @danroberts0101, Co-Founder and Co-CEO of $IREN commented: “Delivering Sweetwater 1 substation energization on schedule reflects our disciplined execution, the strength of our supply chain relationships and the efficiency of our vertically integrated development model. It is another example of our ability to design and construct large-scale infrastructure reliably and at speed to meet market demand.” Learn more: iren.gcs-web.com/static-files/d…

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Compute Capital
Compute Capital@JoshInvestsAI·
@ichez5 No, but the question of when they decide to sign is relevant to shareholder returns. They clearly have been waiting to sign deals to try and achieve better economics, but my point is building the site using the ATM and signing later in the year is pretty harmful to returns.
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AlphaOwlTrading
AlphaOwlTrading@AlphaOwlTrading·
$NBIS hasn't disclosed deals with Microsoft, Meta, Nvidia? $NBIS doesn't have operations in Finland, New Jersey, Missouri, UK, Iceland and France? $NBIS hasn't raised Convertible notes and equity worth $4.3B? I dont mind debating but don't use complete false information. I support $IREN too and I will say the same to an $NBIS investor in the reverse.
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AlphaOwlTrading
AlphaOwlTrading@AlphaOwlTrading·
Let's settle this... who do you think does the biggest multiple in 5 years???? $NBIS $CRWV $IREN
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john smith
john smith@ichez5·
@Gubloinvestor The only thing the Canadian government doesn't fail to do is steal from it's citizens.
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Gublo 🇨🇦
Gublo 🇨🇦@Gubloinvestor·
I am in the top 1% of earners in Canada. Guess what? My chances of being audited by the Canada Revenue Agency are higher than the remaining 99%.
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john smith
john smith@ichez5·
@mikealfred This is called the "Mike Alfred discount". The stocks that he is bullish $IREN and $CIFR always underperform their peers.
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Mike Alfred
Mike Alfred@mikealfred·
WULF has become untethered from CIFR despite having a very similar business and operating model. Interesting relative value opportunity. I expect them to re-converge as they have several times since 2024. WULF is currently $22.53 and CIFR is $18.22. Likely meet at $40-50. Mark it
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john smith
john smith@ichez5·
@ilzmcfly but there is a software layer on top of that 5MW
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McFly
McFly@ilzmcfly·
$IREN Signed a deal with Microsoft in November for 200MW Critical IT. In 6 months they have GPU’s Installed, cooled and powered at H1. Deployment may be ready to go any week now. In comparison $NBIS who relies on colocation started construction beginning of last year and has claimed to deliver 50MW to Microsoft beginning this year. But their NJ facility is only pulling 5MW and Thermal Images show it is not operational as they wait for air-permits for BTM gas generators. Know what you own folks 🙌
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