@ijbailey

175.9K posts

@ijbailey banner
@ijbailey

@ijbailey

@ijbailey

Husband. Black dad. Stutterer. Davidson College Professor of Practice. Harvard Nieman Fellow. CIDP survivor. Epileptic. S.C. native. Free expression dude.

Myrtle Beach, S.C. Katılım Aralık 2008
3.9K Takip Edilen18.1K Takipçiler
Sabitlenmiş Tweet
@ijbailey
@ijbailey@ijbailey·
I’m one of the Black professors on Kirk’s watchlist of professors he smeared and wanted to have fired. How is that doing things exactly the right way? Grieve his death, yes. But don’t whitewash his life.
Kelsey Piper@KelseyTuoc

Ezra got this one exactly right, and a lot of you are betraying a total inability to tell the difference between "this person went about the process of advocating for his beliefs in the right way" and "his beliefs are correct."

English
98
664
5.6K
252.3K
@ijbailey retweetledi
Peter Baker
Peter Baker@peterbakernyt·
When Trump pulled out of the international nuclear agreement with Tehran in 2018, Iran lacked even a single bomb's worth of uranium. Since then, it accumulated 22,000 pounds of enriched uranium. @BlackiLi @WilliamJBroad nytimes.com/interactive/20…
English
845
4K
7K
687.9K
@ijbailey
@ijbailey@ijbailey·
@TPCarney Dude, you rooted for Trump in 2024. So if you want to go there, let’s.
English
1
1
35
714
Tim Carney
Tim Carney@TPCarney·
You’re supposed to admit, if you support platner over collins, that every single time Dems claimed to hear a dog whistle from a Republican, the Dems and the reporters parroting the attack were all partisan liars.
Matthew Yglesias@mattyglesias

What is the upshot of the Platner tattoo discourse? Let's say I find his story fishy. I'm supposed to worry that this seemingly left-wing guy supported by all the left-wing people is secretly a Nazi just pretending to be a progressive populist?

English
34
115
1K
46.7K
@ijbailey
@ijbailey@ijbailey·
I remember another conservative writer who suggested all we had to do in a similar situation was send in some “Jack Bauer-types,” the character from “24” who always did impossible things by sheer force. Because war is that easy, you see. These are the guys with massive platforms.
Marc Thiessen 🇺🇸❤️🇺🇦🇹🇼🇮🇱@marcthiessen

Trump should unleash the final 14 days of bombing, finish off Iran’s leadership and offensive capabilities, open the Strait, declare victory, and then RUN ON IT IN THE MIDTERMS! When this operation is a clear success, he can campaign against Democrats who were rooting for Iran to win and voting to cut funding for our troops.

English
0
5
24
1.1K
(((Harry Enten)))
(((Harry Enten)))@ForecasterEnten·
Trump's GOP is holding on to the generational gains they made with Black voters in the 2024 election. The GOP has gained 12 pts on the Dems on party id with African Americans vs. Trump term 1 at this point. Trump's approval with Black voters is higher than it was in term 1.
English
509
1.5K
9.4K
1.2M
@ijbailey
@ijbailey@ijbailey·
@puakev This gets really tiring, man. Black people are clearly OVERWHELMINGLY against Trump by all measures. But Harry and others keep pretending that we are moving to Trump.
English
1
0
1
50
@ijbailey
@ijbailey@ijbailey·
@puakev No, because all these numbers are post-Obama. He’s touting the difference between 12% and 16% - 16% approval! (Others have it at 13%) If his analysis is accurate, why have Dems been performing so well since 2024?
English
2
0
1
49
@ijbailey
@ijbailey@ijbailey·
This is piss poor analysis, more entertainment than news, which is much of what Harry does. He’s basing this on party ID and an approval rating change from 12% to 16%! Other surveys have Trump Black approval at 13%. Most importantly: Who has been winning elections in 2026?
(((Harry Enten)))@ForecasterEnten

Trump's GOP is holding on to the generational gains they made with Black voters in the 2024 election. The GOP has gained 12 pts on the Dems on party id with African Americans vs. Trump term 1 at this point. Trump's approval with Black voters is higher than it was in term 1.

English
2
7
45
2K
@ijbailey
@ijbailey@ijbailey·
Another thing that makes this absurd. If this was true, it would mean Dems don’t need the Black vote as much, given that the party has been over performing in the overwhelming number of elections since 2024. So either this analysis is wrong, or meaningless. Take your pick.
(((Harry Enten)))@ForecasterEnten

Trump's GOP is holding on to the generational gains they made with Black voters in the 2024 election. The GOP has gained 12 pts on the Dems on party id with African Americans vs. Trump term 1 at this point. Trump's approval with Black voters is higher than it was in term 1.

English
2
2
9
1.1K
@ijbailey retweetledi
Cornell Belcher
Cornell Belcher@cornellbelcher·
This is laughably absurd & another example of just bad reporting. There is no statistical difference between those two numbers, particularly at smaller narrow demographic sample sizes. To be clear, in the last 4 decades NO ONE has had worse numbers among Black voters than Trump
(((Harry Enten)))@ForecasterEnten

Trump's GOP is holding on to the generational gains they made with Black voters in the 2024 election. The GOP has gained 12 pts on the Dems on party id with African Americans vs. Trump term 1 at this point. Trump's approval with Black voters is higher than it was in term 1.

English
36
171
546
38.2K
@ijbailey
@ijbailey@ijbailey·
@puakev As I’ve been saying for years, the post-Obama era has seen the Black vote (and Latino vote) go back to where it was before Obama, specifically the Black dude vote. Obama was a one-off, historic.
English
1
0
0
66
puakev
puakev@puakev·
@ijbailey In 2024 Trump won a higher share of the Black vote than any GOP presidential candidate in decades. It was so bad that Kerry did better among Blacks than Harris did. Why is it so hard to believe that Trump is faring better among Blacks now than in his first term?
English
1
0
0
48
@ijbailey
@ijbailey@ijbailey·
@GerryDales @ForecasterEnten And if you want to project for future elections, you have to at least try to account for the changing racial composition of the voting public, which won’t always be 72% or 70% white, which it has often been. That’s another reason it is entertainment, not news.
English
1
0
5
247
@ijbailey
@ijbailey@ijbailey·
@ForecasterEnten @GerryDales A stats guy more concerned with telling an accurate story than entertaining an audience would be ashamed of having done this segment.
English
1
0
12
349
(((Harry Enten)))
(((Harry Enten)))@ForecasterEnten·
@GerryDales Yes. It's why I have confidence that the small move is real & felt comfortable sharing it... Also yes... I'm not gonna use 25 seconds on explaining that, haha :).
English
6
2
40
5.1K
@ijbailey
@ijbailey@ijbailey·
@Fire1491533 I don’t even know what your point is at this point or why I even bothered with this. Have a good one.
English
0
0
0
13
Pyr
Pyr@Fire1491533·
@ijbailey Right. You seem to be making my point
English
1
0
0
17
@ijbailey
@ijbailey@ijbailey·
I listened to a police officer testify to what happened during a traffic stop. Then the prosecutor played the dash cam video. I thought it would confirm what the officer said. It completely undermined it. I was on the jury. We voted not guilty. The defendant went home free.
Cato Institute@CatoInstitute

New research from North Carolina finds body-worn cameras reduced black incarceration rates by 10.5%. When prosecutors see what actually happened instead of relying solely on police reports, racial disparities in convictions and sentencing shrink, explains Cato’s @jeffreyamiron. ow.ly/GO3y50YR4Z1

English
9
800
11K
241.1K
@ijbailey
@ijbailey@ijbailey·
@TPCarney I know you’d rather Dems not do anything, because you hate them that much. Did you object much when McConnell kept the Supreme Court shorthanded for nearly a year to deny Obama another pick?
English
0
0
1
187

Keşfet

@BlackiLi @WilliamJBroad @TPCarney @GerryDales @ForecasterEnten @puakev @elonmusk @BarackObama