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Soaps and Sci-Fi@SoapsandSciFi·3d

@puakev @will99668 @speechboy71 I could see that being the case, but I also think the country that elected Obama is long gone.

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Swann Marcus@SwannMarcus89

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Michael A. Cohen (NOT TRUMP’S FORMER FIXER)@speechboy71·3d

This is just a galactically bad take. Republicans are deeply unpopular today, hobbled by an even more unpopular president and their policy agenda has little support … and even worse they have no long-term strategy for competing nationally without Trump on the ballot. I know it’s pro forma to shit on Dems but Republicans are in such a worse place over the long term and it’s not close. The only thing that keeps Republicans in power is the structural imbalance in the Senate and to a lesser extent, the House.

Long term the Democrats are completely fucked. They keep moving left and 60% of American voters already think the Democrats are too liberal. The party is overwhelmingly hated and it will get worse The Democrats are only able to compete because Donald Trump is still alive

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puakev@puakev·3d

@SoapsandSciFi @will99668 @speechboy71 Sure the right wing media will try to portray any Dem as a commie, but those portrayals are a lot less credible when you speak like Obama did about illegal immigration. And those portrayals are more credible if you’re out there saying “abolish ICE” or “no human is illegal”.

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Soaps and Sci-Fi@SoapsandSciFi·3d

@puakev @will99668 @speechboy71 Unfortunately, even if they did, the media would still paint them as very to the left and the public would go along. The public just sees bigotry and cheap prices and that's all they want. And no one will beat Republicans on that front.

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puakev@puakev·3d

@will99668 @speechboy71 It’s not about being GOP lite. Being a standard liberal Democrat from 2008 or 2012 would work fine.

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Sherv@will99668·3d

@puakev @speechboy71 It's a ridiculous take because "be GOP lite" is a losing strategy. GOP voters aren't switching to that and you lose a lot of the base. Drop 3 voters for every 1 you gain

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Spencer Pratt@spencerpratt

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puakev@puakev·3d

@ODouglas_Stan I don’t want Pratt to win, still think he’s unlikely to win. But this kind of visceral populism is very potent, particularly at a time when people are so fed up with the state of things in LA.

They not like us

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Kalshi Politics@KalshiPolitics

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William O. Douglas Stan 🇺🇦🇵🇸🇹🇼🇦🇲🇽🇰@ODouglas_Stan·3d

People who don’t live in LA If Caruso couldn’t win, how tf is Spencer Pratt winning?

JUST IN: Spencer Pratt’s odds to be the next Los Angeles Mayor have doubled to 26% from 13% just 10 days ago

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puakev@puakev·3d

@CoreyWriting The real test will come if/when a Dem President takes power in 2028. If a Dem president loosens restrictions at the border of if in the face of a border surge he/she reacts the way Biden did in 2021-23, we’ll know that nothing’s changed.

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Swann Marcus@SwannMarcus89

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Corey Walker 🇺🇸@CoreyWriting·3d

Dems could probably dominate electorally if they moved to the center on social issues while adopting economic populism. Instead they continue lurching leftwards. They're just as unpopular as the GOP despite Trump's toxicity. They hope to be bailed out by anti-Trump backlash.

Long term the Democrats are completely fucked. They keep moving left and 60% of American voters already think the Democrats are too liberal. The party is overwhelmingly hated and it will get worse The Democrats are only able to compete because Donald Trump is still alive

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puakev@puakev·3d

@ijbailey Of course they’re overwhelmingly against Trump. But Harry might also be right that they’re less against Trump than they were in his first term. Both of those things can be true simultaneously.

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@ijbailey@ijbailey·3d

@puakev This gets really tiring, man. Black people are clearly OVERWHELMINGLY against Trump by all measures. But Harry and others keep pretending that we are moving to Trump.

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(((Harry Enten)))@ForecasterEnten

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@ijbailey@ijbailey·3d

This is piss poor analysis, more entertainment than news, which is much of what Harry does. He’s basing this on party ID and an approval rating change from 12% to 16%! Other surveys have Trump Black approval at 13%. Most importantly: Who has been winning elections in 2026?

Trump's GOP is holding on to the generational gains they made with Black voters in the 2024 election. The GOP has gained 12 pts on the Dems on party id with African Americans vs. Trump term 1 at this point. Trump's approval with Black voters is higher than it was in term 1.

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puakev@puakev·3d

@ijbailey Dems did very well in the 2017-18 elections. Trump was also very unpopular during that period. But none of that negates the possibility or even the likelihood that he’s still doing better among Blacks than he did back in 2017-18.

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@ijbailey@ijbailey·3d

@puakev No, because all these numbers are post-Obama. He’s touting the difference between 12% and 16% - 16% approval! (Others have it at 13%) If his analysis is accurate, why have Dems been performing so well since 2024?

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puakev@puakev·3d

@ijbailey But given that, why is it so hard for you to believe that Trump’s support among Blacks is higher now than in his first term? Wouldn’t the reversion in the Black vote to the pre-Obama era make that more plausible?

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@ijbailey@ijbailey·3d

@puakev As I’ve been saying for years, the post-Obama era has seen the Black vote (and Latino vote) go back to where it was before Obama, specifically the Black dude vote. Obama was a one-off, historic.

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Spencer Pratt@spencerpratt

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puakev@puakev·4d

@SwannMarcus89 Like, I don't want Spencer Pratt to win because I don't think a reality TV star who was on The Hills is the best person to run LA. But this is the kind of the stuff that is killing Dems among normies. x.com/spencerpratt/s…

Crazy council woman Nithya Raman doesn’t care if homeless drug addicts are shooting up, defecating, and exposing themselves to your kids right in front of their schools. And when moms object, she rolls her eyes and says “whatever”. This radical socialist is a serious threat to your kids and she must be stopped from being Mayor.

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Swann Marcus@SwannMarcus89·4d

Long term the Democrats are completely fucked. They keep moving left and 60% of American voters already think the Democrats are too liberal. The party is overwhelmingly hated and it will get worse The Democrats are only able to compete because Donald Trump is still alive

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puakev@puakev·4d

@mattyglesias The Dems hard turn to identity politics in the last decade-plus has been so counterproductive. It has resulted in minorities becoming less Democratic and has caused the public to be less accepting of trans people. Never has activism failed so badly.

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(((Harry Enten)))@ForecasterEnten

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Matthew Yglesias@mattyglesias·4d

Trump being the guy who drastically curbed racial polarization in the electorate is one of the great ironies of history x.com/forecasterente…

Trump's GOP is holding on to the generational gains they made with Black voters in the 2024 election. The GOP has gained 12 pts on the Dems on party id with African Americans vs. Trump term 1 at this point. Trump's approval with Black voters is higher than it was in term 1.

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puakev@puakev·4d

@ForecasterEnten Starting in 2014 Dems began leaning hard into identity politics and the end result was that the minority groups they were pandering to have moved away from them. There’s a very valuable lesson there for Dems.

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(((Harry Enten)))@ForecasterEnten·4d

Trump's GOP is holding on to the generational gains they made with Black voters in the 2024 election. The GOP has gained 12 pts on the Dems on party id with African Americans vs. Trump term 1 at this point. Trump's approval with Black voters is higher than it was in term 1.

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puakev@puakev·6d

@oaklandamerican @thomashawk @SFBART You’re the one who’s full of shit. Used to see people jumping the gate everyday. I’ve seen like 2 people tailgate since they installed the new gates. And there’s far fewer antisocial morons on the trains than before.

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The guy that's tired of this shit.@oaklandamerican·6d

@thomashawk @SFBART You're full of shit dude I just saw someone do it a few days ago. The gates take too long to close when you go through, saw a guy walk right up behind another guy and go through pretty easily.

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Thomas Hawk@thomashawk·6d

I’ve seen hundreds of people jump the old fare gates at the MacArthur @SFBART station in Oakland over the years. Since they installed the new ones though about a year ago I haven’t seen a single person go through without tapping. It’s not that it’s impossible to tailgate with these new gates, or climb around, but I think it curtails 99% of the fare evaders who used to simply do a quick little hop of the turnstile. Back before these gates a fare evader once stabbed and killed a woman at this station. The crazy thing is that it took SOOOOO long to get these gates installed and the woke “transit should be free” crowd fought them so hard. MacArthur BART in Oakland was one of the last stations to get the gates even though it’s where some of the worst offenders jumped the old turnstiles. These gates are a big reason why things have gotten better on BART trains in the past year.

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puakev@puakev·27 Nis

@n8gallagher @gregorykennedy BART ridership is up since the gates were installed in part because it is a much better experience now that antisocial, fare-evading retards can’t access it at will. bart.gov/news/articles/…

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Gregory Kennedy@gregorykennedy

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Nate@n8gallagher·27 Nis

@gregorykennedy "A much better experience" Yeah because it was empty. Nobody is riding and the entire BART system is going to collapse. And people like you are happy they wasted money on this crap.

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Gregory Kennedy@gregorykennedy·26 Nis

I took Bart the entire time I was here, and it's a much better experience than it was in the past. But let's not forget how many on the lunatic fringe fought this sensible and civilized approach for years and years. It took a long time, but eventually, common sense prevailed. It should be celebrated.

I was in San Francisco today. It's a wonderful city. Full of much beauty. But nothing has ever surpassed this as the as the most gorgeous sight I have ever seen in all of my life:

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puakev@puakev·25 Nis

@yashar @RealCandaceO Rare W for President Trump

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Yashar Ali 🐘@yashar·25 Nis

WOW. Candace Owens has been critical of President Trump for a while now — as far back as 2022 — and until recently, he has not responded to her criticism, attacks, etc. In this case, he continues to defend Brigitte Macron, the First Lady of France, who is currently suing Candace.

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puakev@puakev·16 Nis

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puakev@puakev·10 Nis

@tufpraise There's been a lot of talk about how Muslims need to assimilate into American culture. Well, by being accepting of gay rights, Mamdani is a perfect example of that assimilation. So what exactly are people complaining about here?

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Praise@tufpraise·10 Nis

The Christian conservative mind cannot fathom someone being simultaneously religious and not hateful

David@dqveed

Why is a Muslim mayor openly joining an LGBT pride march? Something doesn’t add up.

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puakev@puakev·10 Nis

@dqveed There's been a lot of talk about how Muslims need to assimilate into American culture. Well, Mamdani is a perfect example of that. So what exactly are we complaining about here?

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David@dqveed·10 Nis

Why is a Muslim mayor openly joining an LGBT pride march? Something doesn’t add up.

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puakev@puakev·10 Nis

@OGMayoMonkey @Daily_MailUS Actually I'm sure liberals and leftists support Bryon Noem's desire to transition. What we're appalled by is the hypocrisy of Bryon's wife working for an administration that vilifies people who want to transition their gender.

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