ilaks

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ilaks

ilaks

@ilaks

Do not let your fire go out, spark by irreplaceable spark in the hopeless swamps of the not-quite, the not-yet, and the not-at-all.

Richmond Hill, Ontario Katılım Mayıs 2008
178 Takip Edilen476 Takipçiler
ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
No longer profitable for the suppliers. LoL. They’re too cheap to make. But seriously, against modern air defences, the warthog would have a tough time. This is a unique situation because large parts os Iranian air defences have been neutralized and there are many open corridors where they own the skies absolutely.
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Midwest State of Mind
Midwest State of Mind@mwstateofmind·
@awstar11 I love the A10 and not sure why they always want to get rid of it, it's perfect for this sort of conflict
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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
@awstar11 The rank and file absolutely love the warthogs. That’s what any military buff will tell ya.
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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
@jmaher568869 I guess his 1000 page Magnus Opus explaining why we Kant base Right and Wrong from Feelings or Outcome will never see the light of day. The irony would have brought a chuckle if Socrates was still around to witness this.
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julia kassem
julia kassem@jmaher568869·
Iranian politician - PhD in quantum physics of philosophy, authored 17 books, fought in 3 defensive wars while doing 4th dissertation, speaks 3 languages US politician - borderline illiterate pedophile
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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
@DavidFSWD @GoUncensored You need centrifuges which are difficult to hide. Then lots of time to enrich uranium. People will know you bought too much uranium. Spies will tell the world. The barrier is not the technology knowledge. It’s the time and equipment as the world will know what you’re trying.
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fullstack
fullstack@DavidFSWD·
@GoUncensored I think somebody with chatgpt could build a nuclear bomb. The technology is 86+ years old
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Uncensored.AI
Uncensored.AI@GoUncensored·
The average Iranian IQ is 105. This means some of their scientists have IQ’s in the 140’s and 150’s. Robert Oppenheimers IQ was 120. If Iran wanted nuclear weapons they’d have them.
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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
There is nothing theoretically difficult about making a nuclear bomb. The only deterrent is you need centrifuges that can work to enrich uranium to 90%. Why 90%? Because then the critical mass for a chain reaction is light enough to fit into a missile or bomb. In fact, even with 60%, with a beryllium deflector, the critical mass is now 40kg. Lots of countries know how to do it, but few choose to do so. This means the only deterrent is the centrifuges and attempts to enrich beyond 20%. There is no known use for uranium enriched beyond 20%. Except as a bomb. So if a country is willing to start a program to enrich uranium towards 90%, then the only issue left is assembling a bomb. From actual practical uses as a deterrent, having a few bombs won’t work, because once the real nuclear powers believe you want to use them, that moment between having 12 to 100 is going to be very difficult. You need missiles to launch as a deterrent. In fact, when it is clear you will use them, you will be nuked before you get to 100 bombs. This also means that you really need nuclear submarines hiding in the ocean for the final deterrent : when cities are all bombed with nukes, and the land based missiles are gone, you actually need nukes launched from submarines as a final revenge. Nuclear bombs are a weapon of suicide. It can’t be used first but works well as a deterrent. Which means when rational actors have them, the fear of dying works for MAD (mutual assured destruction). When people want to enter heaven, MAD no longer works, because if the whole intention is to enter heaven, then dying is actually the goal and there is nothing to fear about global thermonuclear war if you’re convinced there’s 72 of those things waiting for you in heaven.
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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
@GoUncensored The Iranian FM told Steve Witkoff they managed to stockpile 460kg of 60% enriched uranium.
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Uncensored.AI
Uncensored.AI@GoUncensored·
So Iran has hypersonic missiles, cluster munitions, the most advanced, war ready and cost efficient drone model on the planet and they've effectively been fighting 6 countries at once for 3 weeks with a yearly budget of $10 billion. and we're supposed to believe they never figured out how to build nuclear weapons? Nonsene. If Iran wanted a nuclear weapon, they'd have one. They don't and never did. Joe Kent's telling the truth, they literally voted against developing them in 2004. "Iran must NEVER get a nuclear weapon" is the "Saddam Hussein has weapons of mass destruction" of 2026. This entire is treasonous and based on a total lie.
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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
@IknowNothing83 @TimePreference_ Prices will rise when local workers are paid more. It’s basically first punish the companies who offshore the products. Even if the companies or suppliers eat the tariff to maintain market share, eventually they must pass the cost down to the consumers.
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Iknow Nothing
Iknow Nothing@IknowNothing83·
@TimePreference_ Tariffs are a tax on third world slave labor. You want that cheap stuff, made by violating the rights of others, pay the tax. It would be better if we just didn't do business with those countries, but that's not possible at the moment. So tariffs will have to do.
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Time Preference
Time Preference@TimePreference_·
tariffs don't protect domestic industry they protect inefficient producers at the expense of consumers every tariff is a tax on your purchasing power to subsidize businesses that can't compete
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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
One man’s inefficiency is the misfortune of another man’s neighbor or family. At the heart of comparative advantage lies the cruel calculus of ignoring protections for issues of kinship. If you follow that logic, no parent would try to help their child if there are smarter students at school. All forms of social welfare would also dictate people who fall through the cracks or are unable to get a job should ever be helped. The question is how do you maintain a balance between cost control and greater good for those closest to you. Henry Ford chose to pay his workers extraordinarily large salaries for blue collar assembly of cars. He had an idea that his workers would be able to afford his cars. Clearly not thinking about how much cheaper he can build his cars if he finds an improverished state (or country) with starving people willing to do the same job at half the wages. That comparative advantage taught in macro economics has a dark side that can really bite. But of course you can’t just protect inefficient expensive workers forever as this is not sustainable with competitors. The question of how does one strike a balance and find an optimal point after decades of deindustrialization?
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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
I’m not sure how people do scenario planning here. Someone must have visualized likely cause and effect here. What makes no sense is why anyone in Iran would assume that if they shoot enough missiles and drones at their neighbors, their neighbors are going to help them fight the Americans. I mean, it’s Iranian drones and missiles landing in hotels, condos and airports. What would make their neighbors’ citizens rise up to help people who shoot missiles at them? What would Kant say when looking at scenarios planning? It seems that general principle of causality would apply here. Each Alternate scenario would have to follow coherent causal chain governed by a priori necessity. There won’t be room for wishful thinking when it fails universality. So it seems to me no true student of Kant can possibly hatch this odd strategy.
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Day 19 of this war, and the most important thing happening is flying under the radar. While everyone watches the missile and nuclear strikes, Israel is running a deadly parallel campaign, taking out the actual men keeping the regime in power. They just killed the 2 top enforcers behind the brutal crackdowns. But here's the real shocker: Iran’s attacks on the Gulf have completely blown up in their face. The same neighbors who used to defend them are now pushing Washington hard to finish the job and destroy Iran’s military for good. In 3 weeks, they turned their last friends into enemies. Massive strategic fail. Source: WarFronts
Mario Nawfal tweet mediaMario Nawfal tweet mediaMario Nawfal tweet media
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇸 Tulsi Gabbard: "I'm here today to present the 2026 annual threat assessment. What I'm briefing here today does not represent my personal views or opinions." That says way a lot more than any other question he answered 👀

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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
@dsonoiki Beyond Parody. Beyond Satire. There lies true wisdom and the sip,from a nice glass of iced tea in the middle of a heat wave.
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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
Think of Americans in the 1930s. Don’t assume anyone in the US cares about anything else besides the price of gas and groceries. Until Pearl Harbor, those Americans refused to send soldiers anywhere. Politicians who try to go against the voters have a timer before the voters lose patience. This is why people lost interest in Ukraine. Fundamentally it’s not their war. In a sense, the EU (and US) are not dependent on the supply of oil through Straits of Hormuz, only Asian countries need that oil. It’s mostly China, India, Japan, South Korea. But the EU is mostly dependent on imports for energy and oil and gas. Oil prices jump because of perceived risk of supplies and straining existing channels of demand. So with exception of a few countries like Norway who must be grinning from ear to ear with the windfall profits, this will hit the EU hard. The US consumers and industry won’t like the high oil prices, but the US as a net exporter of oil and gas, can partially offset this since the oil producers in the country (like Norway) will be happy at the windfall. In a net basis, for many weeks, this will wash out. Longer term, inflation will rise and it will get bad, but in the short term, this won’t hit US as hard as it will countries who import most of their oil and gas.
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John Ʌ Konrad V
John Ʌ Konrad V@johnkonrad·
Dear Europe, I know you feel outrage. I have talked to many of you on the phone. I know politicians and media on both sides of the Atlantic are furious. I attended a conference with mostly Europeans. The worry and frustration was palpable. I get it too. You are dependent on Middle East oil and aluminum and fertilizer and shipping and LNG. Dubai is a vital travel hub for you. Vital. But don’t worry. Trump will lose the midterms and Congress will flip and side with you. Or maybe not… I live in the bluest town in the bluest state, where protests are practically a seasonal sport. I drove over eight hours across New England this week past the usual corners where outrage normally lives. This time? Nothing. Left, right, center. I’m hearing almost no one talk about this war. MAGA doesn’t even care. Ask someone and you’ll get the expected talking points. But in coffee shops, kitchens, real life? Silence. Hard truth: most Americans just don’t care. And since the weather warmed, not a single keffiyeh in sight. So when Trump says you need to go protect the ships and airports that are vital to YOU, I think he means it. Because the vast majority of Americans don’t care. And it’s not that we want to see you spin into an energy and food shortage. It’s that even the most TDS-inflicted liberal American is getting tired of your BS. Hating Trump is one thing. Almost half of America is OK with that. But your anti-American vitriol and arrogance and weakness is exhausting. Nobody likes a needy person who is angry and thinks they are better than you. It’s literally the worst combination in a person. And you might not want to admit it, but you are needy. You need us to reopen Hormuz. You need our banks and our markets. You need a lot. “We will not participate in this war” is fine. Nobody is asking you to bomb civilians. What’s weak is you won’t surge defensive missiles and planes to protect European-owned ships and property. When exactly did defense make you a participant? Defense of innocent life and property isn’t a “war crime.” And you DO own the majority of ships getting attacked. Ships that you are unwilling to defend maybe because you outsource the labor to Indonesia, the Philippines, and Ukraine. You are the wealthy lords who abandoned the mansion but told the help to stick around and defend it. So you might want to send a few warships and missile defense units to protect YOUR property. Or at least leave them at anchor and send the innocent crews home. You want us to defend the Strait because we started this mess? That’s reasonable. Problem is the reaction from most of America to your demands is: ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
@DavidMKeyes There’s an infinite depth of talent in the bench. They claim they can go forever with the strategic martyrdom plan until the Americans beg for mercy.
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David Keyes
David Keyes@DavidMKeyes·
Eliminating the head of the Basij won't work because other Basij will just take his pl -- oh shit the new guy is gone too. But a new Basij leader will still repla -- fuck he's gone too. OK, maybe this will work.
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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
The money people want them retired so they buy expensive stealth jets. The rank and file loved this plane and Congress blocked that attempt. The key advantage is this plane is cheap to fly. The Gatling gun is very effective. It turns out that when you own the skies the warthog is the cheapest way to get lots of kills against 150kph drones and speed boats, it’s like shooting turkeys. And it’s cheap as heck.
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Status-6 (War & Military News)
Chairman of the JCS Gen. Dan Caine: "The A-10 Warthog is now in the fight across the southern flank and is hunting and killing fast attack watercraft in the Straits of Hormuz."
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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
The money people want them retired so they buy expensive stealth jets. The rank and file loved this plane and Congress blocked that attempt. The key advantage is this plane is cheap to fly. The Gatling gun is very effective. It turns out that when you own the skies the warthog is the cheapest way to get lots of kills against 150kph drones and speed boats, it’s like shooting turkeys. And it’s cheap as heck.
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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
@Johnny_Joey The assumption if an air war with advanced weapons and air defences. This situation in Iran is unique as it’s unexpected as it’s not often you get complete air superiority with no air defences.
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Joey Jones
Joey Jones@Johnny_Joey·
For those of you not familiar. The A-10 Warthog is the ugliest, most absurdly beautiful killing machine to ever take flight. A flying chunk of titanium molded around a gatlin gun style cannon; the equally absurd 30mm GAU-8. It commands the adoration of troops on the ground as the sound of its unmistakable mating call the “brrrrrrp” overhead means several enemy fighters have been neutralized. It flies low and slow delivering death more intimately than any other fighter jet could fathom. Cloaked in armor, it’s rumored to be able to take damage to 70% of its airframe and still land with ease. It doesn’t need a long or even paved runway. The uppity nerds running the Air Force have decided to “phase them out” this year… yet here they are continuing to “get some”. I personally think that @USMC should take the them over… they fit perfectly in our “take old shit and make it great” culture.
Status-6 (War & Military News)@Archer83Able

Chairman of the JCS Gen. Dan Caine: "The A-10 Warthog is now in the fight across the southern flank and is hunting and killing fast attack watercraft in the Straits of Hormuz."

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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
@AngelicaOung Video is incomplete without the roasted duck (酱板鸭).
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Angelica 🌐⚛️🇹🇼🇨🇳🇺🇸
Did YOU want to watch CCTV's AI Martial Arts cartoon about the Straits of Hormuz crisis? Complete with fighting Persian Cats? Well I subtitled it for you so you can enjoy it in all its trope-laden glory! Remember kids, the mountains will stay standing while the green water flows, and the true art of war is not figuring out how to fight, but how to stop!🥷😼🦅
Steve Hou@stevehou

Chinese state media made an AI-generated cartoon about the US-Iran conflict. Extremely well done!

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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
@RyanceyReturns When air defences are completely down, and you own the skies in a region, even slow ancient planes will do amazing job. Warthogs are way cheaper to fly and against drones, it’s like a turkey shoot.
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R͓̽Y͓̽a͓̽n͓̽C͓̽e͓̽y͓̽
How much longer will we pretend old designs can’t outlast the new ones? Case in point: A-10 Warthog Satellite images just showed 24 A-10 Warthogs parked at a Jordanian airbase, right on Iran’s doorstep. This jet was supposed to be retired years ago—too old, too slow for modern air wars. But Iran doesn’t fight with fighter jets. It fights with swarms of cheap Shahid drones, fast attack boats in the Strait of Hormuz, and proxy militias that hide in civilian areas. Against those threats, the A-10 is a perfect predator. They’ve fitted it with laser-guided rockets to swat drones out of the sky without wasting million-dollar missiles—some Warthogs already sport drone kill markings on the fuselage. Its 30mm GAU-8 cannon turns small boats into scrap metal, and its ability to loiter for hours makes it a nightmare for anything moving on the surface. In February 2026, A-10s were photographed circling U.S. mine-hunting ships, training for exactly this fight: low, slow, and devastating. The bird isn’t dying. It’s being reborn for the asymmetric wars of tomorrow. What does it say about modern warfare when a 50-year-old plane is suddenly the best answer to today’s threats? Follow for more daily mind-blowing American wins.
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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
@NuevoRoma01 @ImtiazMadmood @Waltika All systems and organizations at some point has to be analyzed as individuals motives and choices. The aggregate decision are dependent on individuals.
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Right Wing Populism now
Right Wing Populism now@NuevoRoma01·
Do that and Iran does everything possible to blow every major refinery up in the region. Its a non nuclear mutually assured destruction. Is Israel worth destroying the global economy? Absolutely not. Trump needs to back out and let Israel fight Iran alone. And if Israel targets critical infrastructure cut them off completely from everything.
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Imtiaz Mahmood
Imtiaz Mahmood@ImtiazMadmood·
CHECKMATE IRAN Even when checkmate still lies 10–20 moves ahead, any master or serious student of the game can already see the end written in the pieces; The trap is closed. Every escape route has vanished; They concede. It is long past time for Iran to concede a match it never had any chance of winning. Yet as a death cult that mistakes suicidal defiance for courage, it will reject surrender and lurch forward into its final, total humiliation; cut to absolute smithereens until nothing remains but dust and the echo of its own stupidity. Iran today is a terminal patient on life support, gasping its last ragged breaths while the United States literally stands on its oxygen line. Seizing Kharg Island would deliver the fatal strike that finishes what remains of the regime. At this point we can scarcely even call it a regime. Virtually all first-, second-, and even third-tier clerical and IRGC leadership has been exterminated. The few still breathing like the Foreign Minister, the President, and the rest survive only at the mercy and according to the plans of the US and Israel. Kharg Island is Iran’s oil jugular. Roughly 90 percent of the country’s entire crude exports flow through its terminals; pipelines from the giant southern fields converge there, feeding supertankers that load directly offshore. These oil sales are the Islamic Republic’s main source of hard currency; the lifeblood that funds the IRGC, its patronage networks, and its proxy wars. The economy was already strangled by sanctions when this began, its currency had cratered long ago, and the ongoing conflict has closed the Strait of Hormuz to most shipping due to insurance risks. Conveniently, this closure does not affect US oil. Capturing Kharg Island would be the ultimate prize, the strategic equivalent of seizing Aladdin’s genie lamp. I have no doubt that China, sensing the inevitability of collapse and Trump’s iron resolve, is frantically working right now to ensure the regime falls before the United States destroys the oil export infrastructure. Mark my words, Beijing will strike a deal with Washington and throw the Ayatollahs under the bus without hesitation. IRSG sufficiently weakened, a people’s uprising would soon topple whatever is left, without any outside boots on ground. The dark night of 47 years is about to see the light of liberty. It’s about time to congratulate the Iranian people. This Nowruz will be a new dawn on the civilisational history of Iran. - Khalid Umar @ukilaw
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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
@ImtiazMadmood It depends on the depth of the bench signing up for strategic martyrdom.
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ilaks
ilaks@ilaks·
There’s nuances in who wants what. I can almost believe that Khamenei had religious reasons against the actual nuclear bomb, just as most of the IRGC wanted one. The problem is the strategy to continue getting the capability and wanting this as leverage to warn the US that they will continue with that assembly if they don’t get what they want. Asking the US to accept mere promises that they won’t do that last step after all the pieces are ready is like asking people to have a level of trust when they’ve seen you fund all these proxies. It’s a severe miscalculation of their cards at hand and the misunderstanding of what the US military and IDF intelligence is capable of. A sad outcome to a wrong strategy.
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Tousi TV
Tousi TV@TousiTVOfficial·
🇮🇷 Islamic Republic: Our goal from the beginning was to build the nuclear bomb Former Director of the Counterterrorism Center Joe Kent: Iran didn’t want the bomb The deep state liberals continue to get exposed.
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