hikikomori

Starting this page as an outlet for trading ideas that predominantly go unshared. I manage an 8 figure bitcoin hedge fund. Original investment thesis: 2 trades, one 4-year bitcoin cycle. Buy $BTC, HODL, sell $BTC, buy $ETH, sell $ETH. 6-10x multiple on invested capital. Simple, elegant, high return. I believe one should first master high time frames as a prerequisite to successfully trading low time frames (bong rip). I am one with the market; the market is with me. As such, I am evolving into an incrementally more active strategy over time; long BTC, with occasional short-term, risk seeking degenerate behavior to stack corn. Short-term can be weeks to months. Few reasons and/or opportunities to hold shitcoins longer than that - look, I'm a yield guy, not a venture capitalist. Once capital is fully deployed, only BTC quantity matters. All trades are based on ALTBTC pairs. LPs may care about USD, but it is known… BTC number go up and to right all time. More BTC = more USD over time…. It is known.

@MrJinnah @TheCinesthetic Chris Pine's character was the baby being born - Jim Kirk. The post is correct referencing his father, George Kirk, who was played by Chris Hemsworth.

@TheCinesthetic Is no one going talk about the fact that it was Chris Pine?

The opening ten minutes of Star Trek (2009) still feels like J.J. Abrams firing on every cylinder at once. Chris Hemsworth turning George Kirk into a fully formed tragic hero in barely a few scenes is kind of incredible.

@bllbtlckr @KillaXBT every large account acts like this when they are right then later ask why reply guys attack them when they are wrong literally incentivize people to root against them

@KillaXBT they’re eager to see you get stopped out because of your cheesy and trite emotional reactions to twitter fingers these last three weeks, not because anyone is directly debating your merit as a trader. THis is gOd mOde TraDe agIansT me. lmfaooooo.

So many people are eager to see me get stopped out. I can easily triple my margin & push my liquidation above 120K $BTC. Then what? I don’t trade like most people. This is God mode. The Market Maker strategy. Full conviction. My analysis leaves me completely confident we haven’t bottomed. Because of that, I’m holding my conviction without a single doubt. I live life in the fast lane. So please, trade against me.

@guyontheearth @Sykodelic_ i find diagonals acceptable on RSI but otherwise agree with you

@Sykodelic_ Simply cannot trade diagonal lines in my experiences. Horizontal only. Long term downtrend like this are as good as it gets for diagonal - but I still say steer well clear of investing/trading based on diagonal lines.

Will this be the first time Bitcoin invalidates itself? Every time in the last 6 years that Bitcoin has broken its long term trend on price, and RSI, it has marked a pivotal shift. So why are so many ignoring it this time? The same reason why so many ignore it at the top in reverse. When you get this kind of clean trend break, included with a reclaim of HTF bullish structure... It does not mean nothing. This isn't my opinion, its just an objective fact. We have so many people out there expecting new lows, when in this situation we find ourselevs in, Bitcoin has always bottomed. You combine this with the overall macro data that I shared earlier and it tells us that the bottom is in.

@darren_stallcup diamond handing CA

I wipe my ass with the California “patriots” who gave up on the Golden State the second the taxes got too high and ran to Texas. You traded the redwoods, Yosemite, and Lake Tahoe, the most beautiful land on Earth, for a slightly bigger paycheck and lower property taxes. Yeah some of us actually stayed and fought for what really matters. To anybody still out here in the Wild West and not being a little coward bitch hiding in Texas, I’ve got your back 💪

@SomeGuy40085367 @EvilVillein @KMNDR_ @bestofstarwar ironically a perfect comment for this clip

@EvilVillein @KMNDR_ @bestofstarwar I don't really count info from a show made years after the films came out.

12-year-old me: “This guy cut off Anakin's hand, he’s evil!” 30-year-old me: “You know, there is great validity in what he says.” Also, it’s funny that Dooku literally told Obi-Wan everything here; the Jedi were just too arrogant to listen.

@C26Yxswlx6UTT0F @MrLeadslinger even wealthy, bougie americans will not deny that kirkland is a strong brand. they excel at everything they do.

@MrLeadslinger 日本コストコのカークランドシグニチャー寿司はこれで5000円です 日本コストコの寿司はすごく美味しいですね

Hey Japan, roughly how much would it cost to get a sushi plate like this there? Cost here is equivalent to 4,765 yen.

@kiaran_ritchie agree - they will become a commodity. it will be about the available data inputs. most use the broader internet for data input so any that can have private or moated data could build an advantage.

I don't see how Anthropic, OpenAI or any of the model providers have any hope of defending their moats. And consequently, I think they're going to get wiped out. Right now, in early 2026 they have a meaningful advantage in terms of model capability. But far cheaper and open source models are not far behind. How long can they maintain a meaningful advantage? For the vast majority of use cases, we don't actually need much higher intelligence. It doesn't take 140 IQ to automate Turbotax or powerpoint. Eventually we will be saturated in cheap, local models that are "good enough". Of course some scientific labs and frontier research will always want the latest and greatest. But that market is orders of magnitude smaller than these company valuations can justify. What am I missing?

SoV is a prerequisite to MoE. people first accumulate as they begin to believe it has value. then they spend it once it matures & greater yield can be captured elsewhere. but if bitcoin did nothing but retain value over time, it is useful. no form of money inherently solves for the distribution of wealth. that is a philosophical societal question.

Bitcoin can’t be hoarded, it must be spent in a circular economy. It will not be a stable SoV, until it is a widely used MoE. MSTR buying up BTC supply to lock it up, does not promote BTC, it centralizes it. If bitcoin is not used as money, as was intended, it will not be a useful store of value, IMO.

How long does this continue without any other serious person, business, or country joining him?

@sjdedic war removed uncertainty. markets don't actually care about the war once it is ongoing - just the what ifs leading up to it. then they rotate.

Someone explain to me how we bled for months over some of the most bullish news this industry has ever seen and then rally when an actual war breaks out. Welcome to crypto, where nothing ever makes sense, and the people who admit it outperform the ones who don’t.

Historical best stores of value: real estate, gold. Presently the majority choose gold over BTC. Imo, by design, bitcoin is the best store of value that exists today when factoring in custody + it's cost, liquidity, transferability. RE undefeated but has various tax, jurisdictional risk (even if small), illiquid, can't sell partial units. Gold has massive physical and custodial constraints for worst case scenarios (flee with wealth). This is why bitcoin pays long term holders. Believe it is today what others will eventually believe it is tomorrow.

@saylor During war, Gold or Bitcoin? Which is a better store of value

The Turn of the Century.

@ZedicasZz @DrProfitCrypto 48.5-33=15.5 15.5/33 = 47%

@DrProfitCrypto How is 33k to 48.5k a 50% move 🤦‍♂️?

#Bitcoin – What’s Next? The Big Sunday Report: All We Need to Know 🚩 TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown: Psychological Breakdown In last week’s Sunday report at 78k, I made it very clear that a new box is forming. I expect Bitcoin to move sideways between 57k and 87k, a 33% range, as already stated. This sideways phase is not bullish, it is the preparation for whats coming in the next months. I expect a leg down after this phase, with a breakdown from the box toward lower targets in the coming weeks or months of 44-50k region. One year ago, in 2024, Bitcoin spent an entire year moving inside a box between 58k and 74k. At that time, I repeatedly explained that this box had three main purposes. The most important one was the drawing of future reference lines for the next bear market. I said many times that the 2024 box would play a key role again during the 2026 bear market, in the same price areas. That is exactly what is happening now. Bitcoin is currently trading in a zone where it previously consolidated for an entire year before breaking higher toward 100k. In a bear market context, this same zone is not support, it is structure, and structure eventually breaks. Once the sideways phase is complete, I expect a breakdown below the box. Current Plan and Range Logic I am expecting a large sideways movement between 57k and 87k. My clear intention is to buy between 57k and 60k, which is the bottom of the current box. It is critical to understand that the bottom of the box does not mean the final bottom for Bitcoin. It means the bottom of the current phase. I buy 57k–60k for percentage gains, not for the long term plan as I usually do. As an example, Bitcoin is already up roughly 16% from the 60k buy entry I shared a few days ago. Does this mean 87k is a guaranteed target? No. It means two simple things. First, Bitcoin between 57k and 60k is in a recovery and bounce phase, which usually includes sideways action. Second, the highest level I expect Bitcoin could reach during this phase is around 87k, depending on the strength and duration of the sideways market. If the market allows a visit to the 87k area, I am open to adding more to my existing shorts that were opened between 115k and 125k and are still fully held. Positioning and Execution Some people like to complicate things. From my perspective, it is very simple. I am holding shorts from 115k–125k. At the same time, I placed multiple spot buy orders between 57k and 60k. Some of these orders were triggered around 60k and are already up around 16%. I plan to hold these gains because I expect continued sideways action and no immediate further downside in the coming weeks. I consider 57k–60k the local bottom, not the macro bottom, and I expect this area to be tested multiple times. That is exactly why buying there makes sense to me. There is no reason to sell while upside potential remains. When the moment to sell comes, I will metion once I sold or planning to sell. Bitcoin will move sideways until it no longer does. The largest and most aggressive long-term bets will be placed much lower, between the 50k level and into the low 40s. That is where I will re-enter with serious size for the next cycle, while taking profits from the 115k–125k short, and thats the area I believe Bitcoin will be finally bottomed out. This area is expected to be hit in September-October as my calculations show, in the meantime? A long and boring sideway as mentioned above. Why I am Buying Now in a Bear Market Some ask why I am buying now if I expect Bitcoin to eventually bottom around 54k–44k. The answer is simple: markets do not move in straight lines. Even in bear markets, there are powerful counter-trend rallies. In 2022, Bitcoin dropped from 68k to 33k almost without pause. Then, within two months, it rallied from 33k to 48.5k, a 50% move, before continuing down to the final bottom at 16k. This is how markets work. We are in a bear market. The bounces are temporary and exist to build liquidity for further downside. My ultimate bear market target remains below 50k, in the 40s area. That is where my largest positions will be built. Until then, my short from 115k–125k remains fully open. I am not longing with leverage. I am buying spot between 57k and 60k while keeping the short open. Join premium here: whop.com/drprofit-tradi… THIS IS NO FINANCIAL ADVICE AND EDUCATIONAL CONTENT ONLY

@Crypto_Chase 73, 65, 62.6 58.7 left unfilled

If you planned for and bid the local bottom on #Bitcoin yesterday, feel free to shill yourself below. There's a lot of euphoria today, but yesterday was filled with panic and calls for much lower. If you stayed calm n put your neck on the line with a live call, let's see it $BTC

@Rager @TXMCtrades not saying it will but we was at 90k a week ago. and markets are particularly more volatile under trump. as we are presently experiencing

@TXMCtrades key is its not bouncing to $88k by late Feb and thats how it's different

The most alarming part of this Bitcoin pullback isn’t how deep it is -it’s how fast it happened Last cycle: ~210 days after the ATH before closing below the weekly 200 EMA This cycle: BTC tagged the 200 EMA in just 120 days Much faster unwind

@blackwidowbtc still opportunity if it falls another 20%+ however risk is higher, increasing the further down it goes

“Because it might go lower” Brothers … That’s why we think of that BEFORE a -40% move 🫠

From strictly a long term holder and price perspective (not a trader) If you didn’t sell #Bitcoin above 110K and didn’t sell it at 90K, why would you sell it at 75K ?

firearm homicides represent close to .6% of total annual deaths in the US. there are about 50k deaths per year in the US via firearms - over 50% are via suicide. @grok can you confirm or deny. id reckon the majority of firearm homicides occurs in or around major metros/cities. imo worth the trade off for the ability to defend and protect yourself should the worst come to past. esp considering governments are some of the biggest gun runners. if one group can have them, anyone should be able to have them. US has higher productivity and wealth than europe. all good if people still don't want to come to the US but the ability to make more in the US is irrefutable - but also one variable as to why it is more expensive - more to extract. and eventually inflation comes for all, irrespective of social economic standing.

@ZeroHedge_ Probably, but I have the feeling its not like it was 20 - 30 years ago. Too expensive, people working 2 jobs to survive, and the guns / shootings I dont even want to mention. Its not really the safest country in the world right..

Paying tax on money you make, then having to pay tax on the money you spend, while also having to pay tax on the things you own (that you bought with money that was already taxed), is a scam. That said I still rather be taxed unfairly and still live in the USA than any other place on earth. To each their own. 🤷‍♂️

@crypto_birb each pull back since the 2022 lows has had 1-2 months close below it

Buckle up. Nothing good comes from closing first monthly under 200-day moving average after several years up. 2026 will be "unbelievable" for crypto. Get your parachutes.

@PsyopAnime incredible - keep producing. entertainment industry needs disruption - everyday internet users with ai tools will unlock max creativity, introducing new ideas/stories at low cost. far too much disrespect in your comments. fantastic work.

Maximum Carnage. This project is a non-commercial fan film and technical demonstration. Its purpose is to push these models to their limits and explore what’s possible with new tools in visual storytelling.

@greepinn @JamesEastonUK there is no hidden bear div here (higher high on oscillator, lower high on price) only bear div and hidden bull div which technically cancel one another out. to me, hidden shows the trend beginning to change but not conclude - but it's all probabilities to your point

Bitcoin & its 14 Day RSI. Bullish Divergence you say?

@Matthew35737997 @JamesEastonUK @grok it is both. when a bullish hidden divergence follows a bearish divergence they typically cancel out. i have found that hidden bullish divergences start printing as a trend weakens not concludes. but it's all probability

@JamesEastonUK @Grok is this chart showing hidden bullish or bearish divergence

@appalachain1 @SarahIronside6 subjective. relative to the times one lives during

@SarahIronside6 Let me ask you this. Is morality objective or subjective? I promise there is a point here, but if we go straight to it, we'll just be talking past eachother.

As a liberal, I don't give a single fuck if you want to live your life as a conservative Christian. Why are conservative Christians so obsessed with trying to force liberals to adapt to their ideology?